Table 3.
Associations between polygenic scores for age‐at‐first‐birth and disinhibitory behaviors in two birth cohorts
| Outcome | Effect size | E‐Risk cohort (N = 1,999) | Dunedin cohort (N = 918) | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Age assessed (years) | N | Mean [SD] or n (%) | Association | p‐Value a | Cohen's d b | Pearson's r b | Age assessed (years) | N | Mean [SD] or n (%) | Association | p‐Value a | Cohen's d | Pearson's r | ||
| Primary outcomes c | |||||||||||||||
| Low childhood self‐control d | β | 5–10 | 1,999 | 0.01 [0.99] | .07 [.02–.12] | .006 | .15 | .08 | 3–11 | 918 | −0.02 [0.95] | .12 [.06–.18] | <.001 | .25 | .13 |
| Externalizing liability e | β | 18 | 1,863 | 0.01 [1.00] | .08 [.03–.13] | .004 | .17 | .08 | 18–38 | 918 | −0.03 [0.98] | .08 [.02–.14] | .015 | .16 | .08 |
| Criminal offending | RR | 10–22 | 1,857 | n = 208 (11.2%) | 1.16 [1.01–1.33] | .039 | .12 | .06 | 14–38 | 898 | n = 238 (26.5%) | 1.18 [1.04–1.34] | .010 | .17 | .09 |
| Substance dependence | RR | 18 | 1,860 | n = 413 (22.2%) | 1.14 [1.04–1.24] | .006 | .16 | .08 | 38 | 886 | n = 165 (18.6%) | 1.19 [1.02–1.38] | .028 | .15 | .07 |
| Informant‐reported disinhibition f | β | 18 | 1,851 | 0.01 [1.01] | .07 [.02–.12] | .007 | .16 | .08 | 38 | 873 | −0.02 [0.98] | .02 [−.04–.09] | .501 | .05 | .02 |
| Secondary outcome c | |||||||||||||||
| Lifetime number of sexual partners | IRR | 18 | 1,810 | 1.90 [2.00] | 1.12 [1.06–1.18] | <.001 | .25 | .12 | 38 | 914 | 17.39 [15.18] | 1.07 [1.01–1.14] | .016 | .16 | .08 |
The polygenic score was reverse‐coded. Analyses were restricted to the Caucasian samples (E‐Risk: N = 1,999, Dunedin: N = 918). Models controlled for sex. Brackets indicate 95% confidence intervals. β, standardized regression coefficient; IRR, incidence rate ratio; RR, risk ratio.
Our analysis prioritizes the reporting of effect sizes and their uncertainty; however, we also report p‐values for full disclosure. Within each cohort, the Bonferroni‐adjusted p‐value for tests of associations with primary outcomes is .010.
Average effect size across three approaches used to account for the clustering of twins within families. All approaches produced very similar estimates, available on request from the corresponding author.
Primary outcomes were prespecified. Secondary outcome was added in response to peer review.
The self‐control factor was standardized (M = 0, SD = 1) within the full samples (E‐Risk: N = 2,232, Dunedin: N = 1,037). Higher scores indicate lower levels of self‐control.
The externalizing liability factor was standardized (M = 0, SD = 1) within the full sample of E‐Risk participants at age 18 (N = 2,066) and the full sample of Dunedin participants with externalizing data for at least one assessment between ages 18 and 38 (N = 1,000).
Informant‐reported disinhibition was standardized (M = 0, SD = 1) within the full samples of participants with informant‐report data (E‐Risk: N = 2,052, Dunedin: N = 934).