Table 2.
Top 50 at-risk countries for Scenario 2 (excluding all active countries listed in Supplementary Table S3), with number of confirmed travel-related MERS-CoV case
| Rank | Country | Expected relative risk | Confirmed travel cases from the Middle East |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | India | 1.000 | |
| 2 | Egypt | 0.583 | 1 |
| 3 | Pakistan | 0.435 | |
| 4 | UK | 0.241 | 1 |
| 5 | Turkey | 0.196 | 1 |
| 6 | USA | 0.192 | 2 |
| 7 | Germany | 0.156 | 2 |
| 8 | Philippines | 0.156 | 2 |
| 9 | Bangladesh | 0.153 | |
| 10 | Bahrain | 0.134 | |
| 11 | Indonesia | 0.131 | |
| 12 | France | 0.102 | 1 |
| 13 | Sudan | 0.101 | |
| 14 | China | 0.082 | |
| 15 | Sri Lanka | 0.078 | |
| 16 | Malaysia | 0.073 | 1 |
| 17 | Italy | 0.073 | 1 |
| 18 | Thailand | 0.067 | 2 |
| 19 | Iraq | 0.064 | |
| 20 | Nepal | 0.059 | |
| 21 | Morocco | 0.046 | |
| 22 | Ethiopia | 0.042 | |
| 23 | Switzerland | 0.040 | |
| 24 | Spain | 0.040 | |
| 25 | Australia | 0.040 | |
| 26 | Russian Federation | 0.038 | |
| 27 | Afghanistan | 0.037 | |
| 28 | Canada | 0.036 | |
| 29 | Nigeria | 0.036 | |
| 30 | Singapore | 0.029 | |
| 31 | South Africa | 0.029 | |
| 32 | Tunisia | 0.028 | 1 |
| 33 | Algeria | 0.027 | 2 |
| 34 | Netherlands | 0.026 | 2 |
| 35 | Austria | 0.025 | 1 |
| 36 | Hong Kong | 0.022 | |
| 37 | Kenya | 0.022 | |
| 38 | Japan | 0.022 | |
| 39 | Greece | 0.019 | 1 |
| 40 | Belgium | 0.017 | |
| 41 | South Korea | 0.014 | 1 |
| 42 | Cyprus | 0.014 | |
| 43 | Kazakhstan | 0.014 | |
| 44 | Tanzania | 0.014 | |
| 45 | Ukraine | 0.014 | |
| 46 | Sweden | 0.014 | |
| 47 | Maldives | 0.014 | |
| 48 | Denmark | 0.014 | |
| 49 | Czech Republic | 0.011 | |
| 50 | Ireland | 0.010 | |
| Total number of travel reported cases | 22 | ||