Table 3:
Results of the Monte Carlo Simulation Analysis to Calculate MLE, Low, and High Dose Estimates for Chen et al. (2010)
| Cumulative iAs water exposure, μg/L · years | Dose Scenarios | Mean | Standard Deviation | 0% | 1% | 5% | 10% | 25% | 50% | 75% | 90% | 95% | 99% | 100% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| < 400 | High | 0.802 | 0.014 | 0.764 | 0.775 | 0.781 | 0.786 | 0.793 | 0.802 | 0.811 | 0.821 | 0.826 | 0.837 | 0.852 |
| Low | 0.805 | 0.014 | 0.767 | 0.778 | 0.784 | 0.789 | 0.796 | 0.804 | 0.814 | 0.823 | 0.828 | 0.840 | 0.854 | |
| MLE | 0.804 | 0.014 | 0.765 | 0.776 | 0.783 | 0.787 | 0.794 | 0.803 | 0.813 | 0.822 | 0.827 | 0.838 | 0.853 | |
| 400–1,000 | High | 1.052 | 0.016 | 1.008 | 1.017 | 1.027 | 1.033 | 1.042 | 1.051 | 1.062 | 1.072 | 1.078 | 1.091 | 1.111 |
| Low | 1.052 | 0.016 | 1.008 | 1.017 | 1.027 | 1.033 | 1.042 | 1.051 | 1.062 | 1.073 | 1.078 | 1.091 | 1.111 | |
| MLE | 1.052 | 0.016 | 1.008 | 1.017 | 1.027 | 1.033 | 1.042 | 1.051 | 1.062 | 1.072 | 1.078 | 1.091 | 1.111 | |
| 1,000–5,000 | High | 1.893 | 0.032 | 1.781 | 1.818 | 1.839 | 1.852 | 1.872 | 1.893 | 1.915 | 1.935 | 1.945 | 1.969 | 1.995 |
| Low | 1.887 | 0.032 | 1.776 | 1.812 | 1.834 | 1.847 | 1.866 | 1.888 | 1.909 | 1.929 | 1.940 | 1.963 | 1.989 | |
| MLE | 1.890 | 0.032 | 1.779 | 1.815 | 1.837 | 1.849 | 1.869 | 1.891 | 1.912 | 1.932 | 1.943 | 1.966 | 1.992 | |
| 5,000–10,000 | High | 4.245 | 0.123 | 3.880 | 3.961 | 4.032 | 4.086 | 4.164 | 4.245 | 4.329 | 4.397 | 4.443 | 4.526 | 4.677 |
| Low | 4.238 | 0.123 | 3.874 | 3.955 | 4.026 | 4.080 | 4.157 | 4.239 | 4.322 | 4.390 | 4.436 | 4.519 | 4.669 | |
| MLE | 4.241 | 0.123 | 3.877 | 3.958 | 4.029 | 4.083 | 4.161 | 4.242 | 4.326 | 4.393 | 4.439 | 4.523 | 4.673 | |
| >10,000 | High | 20.487 | 0.597 | 18.322 | 19.152 | 19.481 | 19.720 | 20.083 | 20.478 | 20.867 | 21.292 | 21.477 | 21.858 | 22.285 |
| Low | 18.687 | 0.543 | 16.718 | 17.475 | 17.774 | 17.992 | 18.320 | 18.679 | 19.032 | 19.420 | 19.588 | 19.935 | 20.325 | |
| MLE | 19.555 | 0.569 | 17.492 | 18.284 | 18.598 | 18.826 | 19.171 | 19.547 | 19.917 | 20.323 | 20.499 | 20.863 | 21.271 |