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. 2020 Sep 30;17(170):20200482. doi: 10.1098/rsif.2020.0482

Figure 4.

Figure 4.

Receiver operator characteristics for EWS prior to the Fold (a) and Flip (b) bifurcation in the Ricker model. Area under the curve (AUC) is a measure of performance with values closer to one being better predictors of the transition. Decreasing lag-1 autocorrelation is used to predict the Flip bifurcation.