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. 2020 Oct 5;77(12):1–11. doi: 10.1001/jamaneurol.2020.3502

Table 1. Comparison of the UK Population Exposed and Not Exposed to Incident ON.

Characteristic at baseline ON, No. (%) Single-variable IRR (95% CI) P value aIRR (95% CI) P value
Yes (n = 2826) No (n = 10 934 685)
Female sex 1962 (69.4) 5 569 320 (50.9) 2.26 (2.09-2.45) <.001 2.26 (2.08-2.45) <.001
Age group at cohort entry, y
1-10 121 (4.3) 2 070 338 (19.9) 1 [Reference] NA 1 [Reference] NA
11-20 284 (10.1) 1 081 405 (9.9) 4.56 (3.69-5.64) <.001 4.53 (3.65-5.62) <.001
21-30 704 (24.9) 1 984 337 (18.2) 7.81 (6.44-9.47) <.001 6.80 (5.50-8.40) <.001
31-40 796 (28.2) 1 814 484 (16.6) 6.98 (5.77-8.45) <.001 6.04 (4.89-7.46) <.001
41-50 473 (16.7) 1 324 681 (12.1) 4.84 (3.97-5.91) <.001 4.15 (3.33-5.16) <.001
51-60 235 (8.3) 1 045 254 (9.6) 2.92 (2.35-3.64) <.001 2.45 (1.93-3.10) <.001
61-70 125 (4.4) 765 334 (7.0) 2.21 (1.72-2.83) <.001 1.82 (1.39-2.38) <.001
71-80 67 (2.4) 526 666 (4.8) 2.08 (1.55-2.81) <.001 1.69 (1.24-2.31) <.001
81-90 21 (0.7) 270 755 (2.5) 2.11 (1.33-3.36) .002 1.68 (1.05-2.69) <.001
91-100 0 50 687 (0.5) NA NA NA NA
≥101 0 744 (0.0) NA NA NA NA
Nation
England 1943 (68.8) 7 790 740 (71.3) 1 [Reference] NA 1 [Reference] NA
Scotland 452 (16.0) 1 538 041 (14.1) 1.22 (1.10-1.35) <.001 1.19 (1.08-1.32) .001
Wales 285 (10.1) 1 203 405 (11.0) 0.91 (0.81-1.04) .16 0.91 (0.80-1.03) .15
Northern Ireland 146 (5.2) 402 499 (3.4) 1.07 (0.90-1.26) .44 1.08 (0.91-1.28) .38
Townsend Deprivation Index quintile
1 (Least deprived) 599 (21.2) 1 984 597 (18.2) 1 [Reference] NA NI NI
2 511 (18.1) 1 807 282 (16.5) 0.99 (0.88-1.11) .84
3 513 (18.2) 1 910 584 (17.5) 1.01 (0.90-1.14) .87
4 434 (15.4) 1 783 263 (16.3) 0.98 (0.87-1.11) .76
5 (Most deprived) 302 (10.7) 1 314 297 (12.0) 0.95 (0.83-1.10) .51
Missing 467 (16.5) 2 134 662 (19.5) 1.03 (0.91-1.16) .65
Race/ethnicity
White 1192 (42.2) 4 262 489 (39.0) 1 [Reference] NA 1 [Reference] NA
Black 42 (1.5) 177 881 (1.6) 1.21 (0.89-1.65) .22 1.16 (0.85-1.58) .34
Mixed 12 (0.4) 131 325 (1.2) 0.58 (0.33-1.03) .06 0.52 (0.30-0.92) .02
Other 13 (0.5) 70 383 (0.6) 1.05 (0.61-1.81) .86 1.14 (0.66-1.97) .64
South Asian 31 (1.1) 262 376 (2.4) 0.55 (0.39-0.79) .001 0.56 (0.39-0.80) .001
Missing 1536 (54.4) 6 030 231 (55.2) 0.87 (0.81-0.94) <.001 0.97 (0.89-1.05) .40
BMI at cohort entry
Underweight (<18.5) 46 (1.6) 182 124 (1.7) 0.96 (0.71-1.29) .77 0.83 (0.61-1.11) .21
Normal (18.5-24.9) 906 (32.1) 2 795 714 (25.6) 1 [Reference] NA 1 [Reference] NA
Overweight (25.0-29.9) 549 (19.4) 1 918 201 (17.5) 0.81 (0.73-0.91) <.001 1.04 (0.94-1.16) .44
Obese (30.0-34.9) 259 (9.2) 733 314 (6.7) 1.03 (0.90-1.19) .64 1.27 (1.11-1.46) .001
Morbidly obese (>35.0) 151 (5.3) 355 770 (3.2) 1.30 (1.10-1.55) .003 1.37 (1.15-1.63) <.001
Missing BMI 915 (32.4) 4 949 562 (45.3) 0.54 (0.49-0.59) <.001 0.92 (0.82-1.04) .18
Smoking status at cohort entry
Never smoker 1165 (41.2) 4 229 870 (38.7) 1 [Reference] NA 1 [Reference] NA
Ex-smoker 312 (11.0) 1 158 945 (10.6) 1.03 (0.91-1.17) .66 1.19 (1.05-1.35) .007
Current smoker 701 (24.8) 1 852 089 (16.9) 1.37 (1.25-1.50) <.001 1.32 (1.20-1.45) <.001
Missing 648 (22.9) 3 693 781 (33.8) 0.56 (0.51-0.62) <.001 1.09 (0.95-1.24) .22

Abbreviations: aIRR, adjusted incident rate ratio; BMI, body mass index (calculated as weight in kilograms divided by height in meters squared); NA, not applicable; NI, not included in model; ON, optic neuritis.