Table 1.
Peak demand for UK-wide intensive care unit beds (in 000s) for different intervention scenarios and different intensive care unit (ICU) triggers during the coronavirus disease 2019 epidemic
| Trigger* | Time | PC | CI | CI_HQ | CI_HQ_SD | CI_SD | CI_HQ_SDOL70 | PC_CI_HQ_SDOL70 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.1 | 1st wave | 152 | 119 | 87 | 8† | 20 | 62 | 33 |
| 0.1 | Total | 152 | 119 | 87 | 115 | 84 | 62 | 51† |
| 0.3 | 1st wave | 153 | 119 | 87 | 10† | 22 | 62 | 34 |
| 0.3 | Total | 153 | 119 | 87 | 115 | 73 | 62 | 48† |
| 1 | 1st wave | 154 | 119 | 87 | 11† | 22 | 62 | 35 |
| 1 | Total | 154 | 119 | 87 | 104 | 59 | 62 | 37† |
| 3 | 1st wave | 159 | 119 | 87 | 13† | 22 | 62 | 37 |
| 3 | Total | 159 | 119 | 87 | 82 | 40 | 62 | 37† |
CI=case isolation (home isolation of suspect cases), HQ=household quarantine of family members; SD=general social distancing; SDOL70=social distancing of over 70s; PC=place closures, specifically schools and universities.
For each trigger value of cumulative intensive care unit (ICU) cases (in 000s), the peak demand for ICU beds, and the peak during the first wave when the interventions were in place are shown.
Optimal strategy for minimising peak demand.
More details of these non-pharmaceutical interventions are provided in table 2 of Report 9 (also reproduced in table 2).