Table 2.
Significant predictors of expert score and expert agreement. *
| Dependent variable | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Glassberg expert score | Scott expert score | Glassberg–Scott agreement | ||||
| Predictors | All species | Nontruncated species | All species | Nontruncated species | All species | Nontruncated species |
| Attributes of expert opinion maps | ||||||
| Polsby‐Popper index | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Excluded | Excluded |
| Convex hull score | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Excluded | Excluded |
| Detailed edge | Yes | Yes | Yes | Excluded | Excluded | |
| Adjusted R 2 | 0.57 | 0.57 | 0.48 | 0.44 | ||
| Attributes of occurrence‐based maps | ||||||
| Number of occurrence points | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | |
| Moran's I | Yes | Yes | Yes | Yes | ||
| Average density of occurrence points | Yes | Yes | ||||
| Adjusted R 2 | 0.23 | 0.20 | 0.08 | 0 | 0.30 | 0.45 |
| Life‐history traits of butterfly | ||||||
| Mobility | Yes | |||||
| Habitat breadth | Yes | |||||
| Host plant use | Yes | |||||
| Taxonomic family | Yes | |||||
| Oviposition | ||||||
| Overwintering state | Yes | Yes | ||||
| Voltinism | Yes | Yes | Yes | |||
| Local abundance | ||||||
| Distribution | ||||||
| Average wing span | ||||||
| Wing span range | ||||||
| Adjusted r 2 | 0.12 | 0 | 0.04 | 0 | 0.29 | 0.58 |
* Yes indicates significant predictors of each of the dependent variables. Significant predictors identified separately for each of the following 3 groups of predictors: attributes of expert opinion maps, attributes of occurrence‐based maps, and life‐history traits of the butterfly. The explained variance is reported separately for the 3 groups of predictors (also shown in Fig. 2a,b). Overall model fits, which draw on all groups of predictors, are in Fig. 2a,b. excluded indicates predictors excluded by the structure of particular analyses. Attributes of Glassberg map are excluded as predictors of Scott map and vice versa.