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. 2020 Apr 3;24(11):3997–4003. doi: 10.1007/s00784-020-03265-w

Table 3.

Population level estimates of edentulism in 1997 until 2030, and relative and absolute changes between 2030 and 1997. Note that only means are reported. Total N: total population aged 60–80 years, edent. N: total edentulous population, edent. %: prevalence of edentulism. Due to rounding, values in subgroups do not necessarily add up to total values

Parameter 1997 2005 2014 2030 Prevalence decline
Total (million) Edent. (million) Edent. (%) Total (million) Edent. (million) Edent. (%) Total (million) Edent. (million) Edent. (%) Total (million) Edent. (million) Edent. (%) Absolute (million) Relative (%)
Total 18.2 4.5 24.9 20.5 4.5 22.1 21.8 2.7 12.4 21.9 0.9 4.2 3.6 79.7
Sex Male 9.0 2.0 22.4 10.1 2.0 19.6 10.6 1.3 11.9 9.6 0.4 3.9 1.6 81.4
Female 9.2 2.5 26.7 10.4 2.6 24.6 11.2 1.4 12.8 11.3 0.5 4.5 1.9 79.3
Educational level* Low 13.7 3.8 27.7 13.5 3.7 27.3 10.5 1.7 16.4 6.6 0.5 8.1 3.2 85.9
Medium 2.4 0.4 16.7 2.8 0.3 9.9 5.8 0.4 6.7 9.0 0.3 3.2 0.1 27.1
High 2.1 0.3 15.0 3.5 0.2 5.6 5.6 0.2 3.8 6.3 0.1 2.3 0.2 53.8
Smoking pattern* Never 10.9 2.4 22.0 12.7 2.7 20.9 11.6 1.0 8.9 14.9 0.4 2.8 2.0 82.6
Former 4.9 1.1 21.6 6.2 1.1 18.2 7.8 1.3 16.1 5.5 0.2 3.8 0.9 80.4
Current 2.4 1.1 44.8 1.6 0.5 32.6 2.6 0.7 25.9 2.1 0.2 9.8 0.9 80.4

*Taken from DMS waves except for 2030