Table 2.
The performance of all algorithms discussed in this paper. The Netherlands is abbreviated as NL. *As input, each algorithm requires the population size of each region and a time series of the infected cases in each region at any time .
| Algorithm | Additional input* | Error (Hubei) | Error (NL) | Bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NIPA | – | 0.122 | 0.0381 | |
| NIPA separate | – | 0.129 | 0.0487 | |
| NIPA static prior | Static traffic network | 0.135 | 0.0384 | Over |
| NIPA dynamic prior | Dynamic traffic network | 0.129 | 0.0429 | |
| Logistic function | – | 0.186 | 0.0735 | Under |
| Hill function | – | 0.142 | 0.0531 | |
| Gompertz function | – | 0.141 | 0.0528 | |
| LSTM | – | 0.160 | 0.0570 | Under |