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. 2020 Oct 9;38(2):489–504. doi: 10.1016/j.ijforecast.2020.10.001

Table 2.

The performance of all algorithms discussed in this paper. The Netherlands is abbreviated as NL. *As input, each algorithm requires the population size Ni of each region i and a time series of the infected cases yi[k] in each region i at any time k.

Algorithm Additional input* Error (Hubei) Error (NL) Bias
NIPA 0.122 0.0381
NIPA separate 0.129 0.0487
NIPA static prior Static traffic network 0.135 0.0384 Over
NIPA dynamic prior Dynamic traffic network 0.129 0.0429
Logistic function 0.186 0.0735 Under
Hill function 0.142 0.0531
Gompertz function 0.141 0.0528
LSTM 0.160 0.0570 Under