Table 5.
Impact of different diagnosis rates on the epidemic after a further relaxation of control
Curve number | average increase rate compared to baseline (%) | Daily confirmed cases curve | Cumulative confirmed cases curve | Cumulative fatal cases curve | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Second peak value | Second peak time | Second outbreak Duration | Stable value (decrease rate compared to baseline) | Stable value (decrease rate compared to baseline) | ||
I | 28.97 | 9976 | 2 | 95 | 1,629,180 (29.73%) | 33,360 (9.103%) |
II | 15.04 | 9649 | 2 | 114 | 1,703,095 (26.54%) | 33,755 (8.027%) |
III | 7.158 | 9985 | 17 | 129 | 1,869,139 (19.38%) | 34,576 (5.790%) |
Baseline | – | 16,007 | 32 | 144 | 2,318,550 (−) | 36,701 (−) |
IV | − 5.425 | 25,733 | 44 | 156 | 2,982,492 (− 28.64%) | 39,401 (− 7.357%) |