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. 2020 Oct 10;70:101897. doi: 10.1016/j.resourpol.2020.101897

Table A1.

Returns and volatility spillovers between metals and oil price returns during pandemics

Variables Palladium Platinum Silver
Mean Equation
ϕ1 0.3588*** (0.005) −0.0069*** (0.000) 0.2610*** (0.000)
ϕ2 0.1301 (0.542) 0.0011*** (0.000) −0.0504*** (0.000)
φ1 0.0490 (0.418) 0.0404*** (0.000) 0.0361*** (0.000)
φ2 0.2032*** (0.000) 0.2297*** (0.000) 0.1356*** (0.000)
θ1 0.1091*** (0.000) −0.0110*** (0.000) 0.0283*** (0.000)
θ2 −0.0350*** (0.000) −0.0223*** (0.000) 0.0054*** (0.000)
Variance Equation
c1 1.4084*** (0.005) 1.9713*** (0.000) 0.5792*** (0.000)
c2 0.1455 (0.584) 0.8536*** (0.000) 0.9723*** (0.000)
α11 1.0652*** (0.000) 0.1258*** (0.000) 0.2197*** (0.000)
α12 0.1141*** (0.002) −0.0135*** (0.000) −0.0072*** (0.000)
α21 −0.0501 (0.116) −0.0451*** (0.000) −0.0087*** (0.000)
α22 0.4148*** (0.000) 0.5649*** (0.000) 0.6624*** (0.000)
β11 0.0864* (0.056) 0.5123*** (0.000) 0.6963*** (0.000)
β12 0.0165 (0.436) 0.0392*** (0.000) 0.0110*** (0.000)
β21 0.1039*** (0.001) −0.0236*** (0.000) −0.0131*** (0.000)
β22 0.6280*** (0.000) 0.6075*** (0.000) 0.5273*** (0.000)
ρ12 0.2244*** (0.001) 0.3022*** (0.000) 0.2663*** (0.000)
Model diagnostics
AIC 10.827 10.462 10.393
SBC 11.157 10.791 10.723
Hannan-Quinn 10.961 10.596 10.527

Note: Parameters in mean and variance equations are as defined in the model given in equations [1] to [4[; the subscripts 1 and 2 respectively indicate health and crude oil sectors returns respectively; the asterisks ***, ** and *denote statistical significance at 1%, 5% and 10% level. The values in parentheses – ( ) denote the computed probability values. Best model is selected based on minimum values of Akaike Information Criterion (AIC) and Schwartz Bayesian Criterion (SBC). Note that AIC and SBC are not comparable for the different partitions.