Table 7.
Domain | Judgement | Down/Up Grade |
---|---|---|
Limitations in studies | 24 included studies. Risk of bias moderate because although not all studies adjusted for all confounders, exclusion of high risk of bias studies did not reduce the summary RR (Appendix Fig. B5). | No downgrading |
Indirectness | All studies included the desired population, exposures and outcomes | No downgrading |
Inconsistency | The 80% prediction interval included 1 & > twice CI (Fig. 2). High level of heterogeneity in general population studies. Studies controlling for individual measures of BMI, smoking, SES (Appendix Fig. B3) gave slightly higher, less precise summary RR. Exclusion of patient cohorts (6) did not change summary RR & CI (Appendix Fig. B2). | Downgrade one level |
Imprecision | The number of person years in the included studies was greater than 940 000 | No downgrading |
Publication Bias | According to the funnel plot and Egger’s test (P < 0.1), there were no sign of publication bias/funnel plot asymmetry. | No downgrading |
Large Effect Size | Summary RR = 1.02. Precision reduced for cohorts with all individual confounder adjustment but not summary estimate. Insufficient information on unmeasured potential confounders available. | No upgrading |
Plausible confounding towards null | Confounding direction unknown but precision may be affected. | No upgrading |
Dose-response relation | A linear dose–response relationship was assumed in all studies. 5 studies investigated the shape of the dose response relationship with no evidence to suggest non-linear. 95% CI for linear RR excluded 1. | Upgrade one level |
GRADE conclusion | Downgrade one level and upgrade one level | MODERATE CERTAINTY EVIDENCE MEAN RR UNADUSTED FOR CO-POLLUTANTS EQUALS 1.02 PER 10μ/m3 |