Table 1. Model parameters.
Parameters | Estimates | References |
---|---|---|
Probability of Symptomatic | 0.63 | [26, 27, 38–40] [44] |
Probability of Hospitalization | 0.016 for age 0–19, 0.18 for age 20–64, 0.30 for age 65+ | [21] |
Probability of Death | 0 for age 0–19, 0.103 for age 20–64, 0.375 for age 65+ | [21, 44] |
Reproductive Number (R0) | 2.4 | [28–30] |
Transmission Rate (β) | 1.02 | [29] |
Exposed Duration | Weibull with mean 4.6 days | [20, 26, 32, 45] |
Transition Duration | 0.5 days | [20] |
Hospitalized Duration | Exponential with mean 7 days | [20, 34, 44] |
Symptomatic Duration | Exponential with mean 2.9 days | [22] |
Symptomatic-Asymptomatic Duration Ratio | 1.5 | [20] |
Proportion of Transmission that Occurs at the Transition or Asymptomatic Stage (θ) | 0.48 | [35] |
Proportion of Infections Generated by those who are Asymptomatic (ω) | 0.24 | [35] |
Percentage of hospitalizations that require ICU | 0% for age 0–19, 29.9% for age 20–64, 35.1% for age 65+ | [21, 44] |
Percentage of ICU patients that require ventilation | 64% | [46] |
ICU Duration (days) | 8 | [36] |
Ventilation Duration (days) | 6 | [47] |
Descriptions and references for the model input parameters.