Table 4.

Model results (scaled variables).

Variable	OLS Full	p	Lasso	Adaptive p	GIS Full	p	GIS Reduced	p
R 2 (Predicted R 2 for Lasso)	0.377		0.352 +/- 0.800		0.507		0.500
Rho					0.634	<0.001	0.589	<0.001
Intercept	0.000	0.014	0.000	NA	−0.004	0.732	−0.004	<0.001
Pop. Density	0.163	0.017	0.138	0.038	0.066	<0.001	0.051	<0.001
% Native American	0.090	0.018	0.057	0.038	0.070	<0.001	0.059	<0.001
% Hispanic	0.133	0.022	0.132	<0.001	0.082	<0.001	0.071	<0.001
% Black	0.408	0.029	0.369	<0.001	0.178	<0.001	0.169	<0.001
% Asian	0.008	0.019			−0.009	0.581
% 65 and older	0.022	0.019			0.022	0.182
% Unemployed	0.079	0.018	0.075	0.007	0.052	0.001	0.062	<0.001
Poverty	0.018	0.027			0.012	0.621
% Smoke	−0.061	0.026			−0.006	0.815
% Adult Obesity	−0.045	0.019			0.006	0.721
% Alcohol	0.041	0.020			0.024	0.170
% Alzheimer’s	0.112	0.021	0.149	<0.001	0.073	<0.001	0.097	<0.001
% Asthma	−0.049	0.020			−0.022	0.217
% Atrial Fib.	0.017	0.021			0.011	0.563
% Cancer	−0.010	0.020			−0.016	0.379
% COPD	−0.074	0.027	−0.104	<0.001	−0.047	0.048	−0.053	0.006
% Depression	0.036	0.023			0.043	0.034
% Diabetes	0.183	0.027	0.162	<0.001	0.078	0.001	0.079	<0.001
% Drug Abuse	−0.027	0.022			−0.033	0.096
% HIV	−0.074	0.021			−0.047	0.011
% Heart Failure	−0.027	0.021			−0.009	0.636
% Hepatitis B	−0.048	0.021			−0.031	0.095
% Stroke	0.092	0.022			0.026	0.182
Number of Acute Beds	−0.006	0.018			0.009	0.565
Case Mix Index	0.038	0.017			0.045	0.004
Winning Party	0.029	0.019	0.024	0.089	0.046	0.007	0.032	0.033