Skip to main content
. 2020 Oct 12;10(10):e038131. doi: 10.1136/bmjopen-2020-038131

Table 2.

Expected years of life (EYL) and EYL lost during 25 years of follow-up for patients with one or more chronic diseases leading to hospitalisation by age 30, 40 or 50 years and age-matched and sex-matched individuals from the general population without chronic disease, by number of conditions and by socioeconomic factors and psychiatric conditions, overall and by number of chronic diseases

Aged 30 years Aged 40 years Aged 50 years
25-year EYL (95% CI) 25-year EYL (95% CI) 25-year EYL (95% CI)
Patients General population Difference (EYL lost) Patients General population Difference (EYL lost) Patients General population Difference (EYL lost)
Morbidity
 One disease 22.8 (22.6 to 22.9) 24.5 (24.4 to 24.5) 1.7 (1.6 to 1.8) 20.9 (20.8 to 21.0) 23.9 (23.8–23.9) 3.0 (2.9–3.1) 17.6 (17.5 to 17.7) 22.2 (22.17–22.24) 4.6 (4.5–4.7)
 Two diseases 19.3 (18.8 to 19.8) 24.5 (24.4 to 24.6) 5.2 (4.7 to 5.6) 16.2 (15.8 to 16.7) 23.8 (23.7–23.9) 7.5 (7.2–7.9) 12.8 (12.5 to 13.1) 22.2 (22.1–22.2) 9.3 (9.1–9.6)
 Three or more diseases 13.7 (12.3 to 16.2) 24.1 (24.1 to 24.6) 10.4 (8.7 to 12.1) 11.6 (10.4 to 12.8) 23.8 (23.6–24.1) 12.2 (11.2–13.1) 8.8 (8.2 to 9.4) 22.2 (22-0-22.4) 13.4 (12.9–13.9)
All patients
Income
 Low 21.3 (21.0 to 21.5) 24.2 (24.1 to 24.2) 2.9 (2.7 to 3.1) 19.0 (18.8 to 19.2) 23.5 (23.4–23.6) 4.5 (4.3–4.7) 15.2 (15.0 to 15.3) 21.6 (21.5–21.7) 6.4 (6.3–6.6)
 Intermediate 22.7 (22.6 to 23.0) 24.5 (24.5 to 24.6) 1.8 (1.6 to 2.0) 20.5 (20.3 to 20.7) 23.8 (23.8–23.9) 3.4 (3.2–3.5) 17.2 (17.0 to 17.4) 22.4 (22.3–22.4) 5.2 (5.0–5.4)
 High 22.8 (22.6 to 23.1) 24.6 (24.5 to 24.6) 1.7 (1.5 to 2.0) 21.1 (20.9 to 21.4) 23.9 (23.9–24.0) 2.8 (2.6–3.0) 17.7 (17.5 to 17.9) 22.2 (22.1–22.2) 4.5 (4.3–4.7)
 Very high 23.0 (22.9 to 23.4) 24.6 (24.6 to 24.7) 1.56 (1.4 to 1.8) 21.7 (21.4 to 21.9) 24.1 (24.0–24.1) 2.4 (2.3–2.6) 18.2 (18.0 to 18.4) 22.6 (22.6–22.7) 4.4 (4.2–4.6)
Employment
 Early retirement 19.9 (19.5 to 20.3) 23.7 (23.5 to 23.8) 3.8 (3.5 to 4.2) 17.7 (17.4 to 18.0) 22.6 (22.5–22.7) 4.9 (4.7–5.2) 14.4 (17.9 to 18.2) 20.7 (20.6–20.8) 6.3 (6.1–6.5)
 Unemployed 22.6 (22.2 to 22.9) 24.2 (24.1 to 24.3) 1.6 (1.3 to 1.9) 19.7 (19.3 to 20.2) 23.1 (22.9–23.2) 3.4 (3.0–3.8) 16.6 (16.2 to 17.1) 21.0 (20.8–21.1) 4.4 (3.9–4.8)
 Employed 23.0 (22.8 to 23.1) 24.6 (24.6 to 24.6) 1.6 (1.5 to 1.7) 21.2 (21.1 to 21.4) 24.0 (24.0–24.0) 2.8 (2.7–2.9) 18.1 (17.9 to 18.2) 22.5 (22.5–22.6) 4.5 (4.4–4.6)
Education
 Primary school 21.9 (21.8 to 22.2) 24.3 (24.2 to 24.3) 2.4 (2.2 to 2.5) 20.0 (19.8 to 20.2) 23.6 (23.5–23.6) 3.6 (3.4–3.8) 16.6 (16.5 to 16.8) 22.0 (21.9–22.0) 5.4 (5.3–5.5)
 Youth education/high school 22.6 (22.4 to 22.8) 24.5 (24.5 to 24.6) 2.0 (1.8 to 2.1) 20.5 (20.4 to 20.7) 23.9 (23.9–24.0) 3.4 (3.2–3.6) 16.9 (16.7 to 17.0) 22.3 (22.2–22.3) 5.4 (5.3–5.6)
 Higher education 23.4 (23.1 to 23.6) 24.7 (24.7 to 24.8) 1.4 (1.1 to 1.6) 21.4 (21.2 to 21.7) 24.2 (24.2–24.3) 2.9 (2.6–3.1) 18.1 (17.8 to 18.4) 23.0 (22.9–23.0) 4.9 (4.6–5.2)
Psychiatric conditions
 Schizophrenia 18.1 (15.8 to 19.8) 21.7 (20.8 to 22.5) 3.6 (1.8 to 5.5) 16.9 (15.6 to 18.4) 20.4 (19.7–21.0) 3.5 (2.2–4.8) 12.3 (11.1 to 13.5) 18.4 (17.8–19.0) 6.1 (5.0–7.2)
 Bipolar disorder, depression and recurrent depression 20.4 (18.6 to 21.7) 22.9 (22.3 to 23.6) 2.5 (0.9 to 4.1) 18.0 (17.1 to 18.8) 21.4 (20.9–21.8) 3.4 (2.5–4.2) 14.4 (13.8 to 15.1) 20.0 (19.7–20.3) 5.6 (5.0–6.2)
 Schizotypal disorder 19.1 (16.1 to 21.5) 21.3 (19.5 to 22.5) 2.2 (-0.6 to 4.9) 18.4 (15.6 to 20.5) 20.5 (19.2–21.6) 2.1 (-0.3–4.5) 13.9 (10.3 to 17.4) 19.0 (17.3–20.6) 5.1 (1.7–8.4)
 Personality disorders 19.4 (18.7 to 20.1) 22.5 (22.4 to 23.1) 3.2 (2.5 to 3.9) 17.9 (17.4 to 18.3) 21.5 (21.3–21.8) 3.7 (3.2–4.1) 14.6 (14.3 to 15.0) 19.6 (19.4–19.9) 5.0 (4.5–5.3)
 Other mental illness 18.7 (18.2 to 19.2) 22.2 (21.9 to 22.5) 3.5 3.0 to 4.0) 16.4 (16.1 to 16.8) 20.4 (20.2–20.7) 4.0 (3.6–4.4) 13.0 (12.7 to 13.3) 18.0 (17.8–18.2) 5.0 (4.7–5.3)
Two diseases
Income
 Low 21.8 (21.5 to 22.0) 24.2 (24.1 to 24.2) 2.4 (2.2 to 2.6) 19.8 (19.6 to 20.0) 23.5 (23.4–23.6) 3.7 (3.5–4.0) 16.2 (16.0 to 16.4) 21.6 (21.5–21.7) 5.4 (5.3–5.6)
 Intermediate 23.1 (22.9 to 23.3) 24.5 (24.5 to 24.6) 1.4 (1.2 to 1.6) 21.0 (20.8 to 21.2) 23.8 (23.8–23.9) 2.9 (2.7–3.0) 17.9 (17.7 to 18.2) 22.4 (22.3–22.5) 4.5 (4.3–4.7)
 High 23.2 (22.9 to 23.4) 24.6 (24.5 to 24.6) 1.4 (1.1 to 1.7) 21.5 (21.3 to 21.8) 23.9 (23.9–24.0) 2.4 (2.2–2.6) 18.3 (18.1 to 18.5) 22.2 (22.1–22.2) 3.9 (3.7–4.0)
 Very high 23.3 (23.1 to 23.6) 24.6 (24.6 to 24.7) 1.3 (1.2 to 1.5) 22.0 (21.8 to 22.2) 24.1 (24.1–24.1) 2.1 (1.9–2.3) 18.7 (18.5 to 19.0) 22.6 (22.5–22.7) 3.9 (3.7–4.1)
Employment
 Early retirement 20.5 (20.1 to 20.9) 23.7 (23.5 to 23.8) 3.1 (2.8 to 3.5) 21.7 (21.5 to 21.8) 24.0 (24.0–24.1) 4.0 (3.8–4.3) 18.6 (18.5 to 18.8) 22.5 (22.5–22.6) 5.2 (5.0–5.4)
 Unemployed 22.8 (22.4 to 23.1) 24.2 (24.1 to 24.3) 1.4 (1.0 to 1.78) 20.0 (19.6 to 20.5) 23.1 (22.9–23.3) 3.1 (2.7–3.5) 17.1 (16.6 to 17.6) 21.0 (20.9–21.2) 3.9 (3.5–4.4)
 Employed 23.3 (23.1 to 23.4) 24.6 (24.6 to 24.6) 1.3 (1.2 to 1.4) 18.6 (18.3 to 18.9) 22.6 (22.5–22.8) 2.4 (2.3–2.5) 15.5 (15.3 to 15.7) 20.7 (20.6–20.8) 3.9 (3.8–4.0)
Education
 Primary school 22.4 (22.1 to 22.5) 24.3 (24.2 to 24.3) 2.0 (1.8 to 2.2) 20.6 (20.4 to 20.8) 23.6 (23.5–23.6) 3.0 (2.9–3.2) 17.4 (17.3 to 17.6) 22.0 (21.9–22.0) 4.6 (4.4–4.7)
 Youth education, high school 23.0 (22.8 to 23.2) 24.5 (24.5 to 24.6) 1.6 (1.4 to 1.7) 21.1 (20.9 to 21.3) 23.9 (23.9–24.0) 2.9 (2.7–3.0) 17.7 (17.5 to 17.9) 22.3 (22.2–22.3) 4.6 (4.5–4.8)
 Higher education 23.7 (23.4 to 23.9) 24.7 (24.7 to 24.8) 1.0 (0.7 to 1.3) 21.8 (21.6 to 22.2) 24.2 (24.2–24.3) 2.4 (2.1–2.6) 18.9 (18.5 to 19.2) 23.0 (22.9–23.0) 4.1 (3.8–4.4)
Psychiatric conditions
 Schizophrenia 18.2 (15.8 to 20.0) 21.8 (20.8 to 22.6) 3.7 (1.7 to 5.6) 17.7 (16.2 to 19.2) 20.3 (19.5–20.9) 2.6 (1.2–3.9) 13.0 (11.7 to 14.3) 18.4 (17.8–19.1) 5.4 (4.3–6.6)
 Bipolar disorder, depression and recurrent depression 20.6 (18.7 to 22.0) 22.9 (22.3 to 23.7) 2.3 (0.7 to 4.0) 18.8 (17.8 to 19.7) 21.4 (20.9–21.9) 2.6 (1.6–3.5) 15.4 (14.7 to 16.1) 20.0 (19.6–20.3) 4.6 (3.9–5.3)
 Schizotypal disorder 19.9 (16.7 to 22.2) 21.2 (19.4 to 22.5) 1.3 (-1.3 to 3.9) 19.4 (16.5 to 21.4) 20.6 (19.1–21.7) 1.1 (-1.2–3.4) 13.5 (9.6 to 17.8) 19.0 (17.1–20.7) 5.5 (1.9–9.1)
 Personality disorders 19.6 (18.9 to 20.3) 22.6 (22.4 to 23.1) 2.3 (2.2 to 3.7) 18.4 (17.9 to 18.9) 21.5 (21.2–21.8) 3.1 (2.6–3.5) 15.4 (15.0 to 15.8) 19.6 (19.4–19.9) 4.2 (3.9–4.6)
 Other mental illness 19.2 (18.7 to 19.8) 22.2 (21.9 to 22.5) 3.0 (2.4 to 3.5) 17.2 (16.8 to 17.5) 20.4 (20.2–20.7) 3.3 (2.8–3.8) 14.0 (13.6 to 14.3) 18.0 (17.8–18.3) 4.1 (3.8–4.4)
Two diseases
Income
 Low 17.9 (17.0 to 18.9) 24.2 (23.9 to 24.4) 6.2 (5.3 to 7.2) 15.0 (14.3 to 15.7) 23.4 (23.1–23.6) 8.4 (7.7–9.1) 11.7 (11.2 to 12.2) 21.5 (21.3–21.7) 9.9 (9.5–10.3)
 Intermediate 19.4 (18.5 to 20.7) 24.5 (24.3 to 24.6) 5.1 (4.1 to 6.0) 16.0 (15.1 to 16.9) 23.8 (23.6–23.9) 7.8 (7.0–8.5) 13.1 (12.4 to 13.7) 22.2 (22.1–22.4) 9.2 (8.7–9.6)
 High 19.9 (18.8 to 21.0) 24.5 (24.4 to 24.6) 4.5 (3.6 to 5.5) 17.3 (16.3 to 18.4) 23.9 (23.8–24.1) 6.7 (5.8–7.5) 13.7 (13.0 to 14.4) 22.0 (21.9–22.2) 8.3 (7.7–9.0)
 Very high 20.6 (19.3 to 21.7) 24.6 (24.5 to 24.7) 4.1 (3.1 to 5.1) 18.2 (17.2 to 19.5) 24.0 (23.9–24.2) 5.7 (4.8–6.6) 14.7 (13.9 to 15.5) 22.7 (22.5–22.8) 8.0 (7.4–8.6)
Employment
 Early retirement 17.1 (15.8 to 18.2) 23.6 (23.2 to 24.2) 6.6 (5.2 to 8.0) 17.4 (16.9 to 18.0) 24.0 (23.9–24.1) 8.4 (7.6–9.2) 14.2 (13.8 to 14.6) 22.5 (22.4–22.6) 9.3 (8.8–9.7)
 Unemployed 19.9 (18.2 to 21.7) 24.3 (23.9 to 24.5) 4.3 (1.4 to 7.2) 15.9 (14.0 to 17.7) 22.8 (22.4–23.4) 7.0 (5.5–8.4) 12.9 (11.3 to 14.5) 20.6 (20.1–21.0) 7.7 (6.3–9.0)
 Employed 20.1 (19.5 to 20.7) 24.6 (24.5 to 24.6) 4.5 (3.9 to 5.0) 14.0 (13.2 to 14.8) 22.4 (21.9–22.8) 6.5 (6.1–7.0) 11.4 (10.9 to 11.8) 20.6 (20.3–20.9) 8.3 (7.9–8.7)
Education
 Primary school 18.8 (18.0 to 19.7) 24.3 (24.2 to 24.5) 5.5 (4.6 to 6.4) 15.5 (14.8 to 16.2) 23.5 (23.3–23.7) 8.0 (7.4–8.5) 12.8 (12.4 to 13.3) 21.9 (21.8–22.0) 9.1 (8.8–9.4)
 Youth education, high school 19.6 (18.8 to 20.4) 24.5 (24.4 to 24.6) 4.9 (4.1 to 5.6) 16.8 (16.1 to 17.5) 23.9 (23.7–24.0) 7.0 (6.4–7.6) 13.0 (12.4 to 13.5) 22.2 (22.0–22.4) 9.2 (8.8–9.7)
 Higher education 20.7 (19.3 to 21.9) 24.7 (24.6 to 24.8) 4.0 (2.4 to 5.7) 17.4 (16.3 to 18.6) 24.2 (24.1–24.4) 6.8 (5.8–7.9) 13.4 (12.3 to 14.4) 23.1 (22.9–23.2) 9.7 (9.0–10.4)
Psychiatric conditions
 Schizophrenia 14.1 (6.2 to 21.7) 19.7 (15.4 to 22.4) 5.6 (-2.9 to 14.1) 9.7 (6.5 to 15.0) 20.9 (18.7–22.7) 11.2 (8.0–14.4) 9.4 (6.4 to 12.7) 18.3 (16.3–19.9) 8.9 (5.6–12.3)
 Bipolar disorder, depression and recurrent depression 16.7 (9.4 to 22.4) 19.3 (17.5 to 23.6) 2.6 (-4.7 to 10.0) 13.5 (10.8 to 16.0) 21.1 (19.4–22.5) 7.7 (5.0–10.4) 11.6 (10.1 to 13.2) 19.8 (18.7–20.7) 8.2 (6.7–9.7)
 Schizotypal disorder 8.9 (1.5 to 19.1) 20.3 (9.7 to 24.0) 11.4 (-5.6 to 28.3) 3.7 (1.0 to 14.9) 19.4 (15.3–22.2) 15.7 (10.8–20.6) 12.9 (4.5 to 19.6) 15.2 (10.6–21.4) 2.3 (-5.8–10.5)
 Personality disorders 17.6 (15.4 to 19.8) 21.7 (20.6 to 23.2) 4.1 (0.9 to 7.3) 14.6 (13.3 to 16.0) 21.7 (20.8–22.5) 7.1 (5.8–8.3) 12.1 (11.2 to 13.1) 19.7 (19.0–20.3) 7.6 (6.8–8.4)
 Other mental illness 15.8 (14.3 to 17.5) 21.8 (20.7 to 23.0) 6.0 (4.3 to 7.7) 13.0 (12.1 to 14.1) 20.1 (19.1–20.9) 7.0 (6.0–8.1) 10.7 (10.0 to 11.4) 17.8 (17.1–18.4) 7.1 (6.4–7.9)
Three or more diseases
Income
 Low 12.3 (10.0 to 15.5) 23.8 (23.1 to 24.6) 11.5 (8.2 to 14.8) 10.6 (9.2 to 12.2) 23.3 (22.7–24.0) 12.7 (11.1–14.4) 7.9 (7.1 to 8.7) 21.2 (20.8–21.8) 13.4 (12.6–14.2)
 Intermediate 15.1 (11.5 to 19.3) 23.1 (23.4 to 24.8) 8.0 (3.6 to 12.4) 14.0 (11.2 to 16.6) 23.4 (23.0–24.1) 9.4 (7.0–11.8) 9.2 (7.8 to 10.6) 22.1 (21.7–22.5) 13.0 (11.8–14.1)
 High 13.1 (7.8 to 18.1) 15.9 (23.7 to 24.9) 2.8 (-12.0 to 17.6) 10.5 (7.5 to 14.6) 23.8 (23.3–24.3) 13.3 (10.8–15.9) 10.2 (8.5 to 11.9) 22.2 (21.8–22.5) 12.0 (10.6–13.3)
 Very high 11.2 (7.4 to 20.0) 23.8 (23.0 to 24.5) 12.6 (8.7 to 16.4) 10.0 (6.3 to 14.6) 23.9 (23.6–24.4) 13.9 (10.4–17.4) 10.0 (8.1 to 12.1) 22.7 (22.4–23.0) 12.7 (11.1–14.4)
Employment
 Early retirement 11.4 (8.9 to 14.8) 23.2 (20.0 to 24.6) 11.8 (2.2 to 21.3) 12.1 (10.8 to 14.7) 23.9 (23.7–24.2) 10.9 (8.9–12.9) 10.2 (9.1 to 11.2) 22.5 (22.3–22.7) 12.2 (11.3–13.2)
 Unemployed 11.7 (8.6 to 21.8) 22.4 (21.8 to 24.5) 10.7 (5.8 to 15.5) 14.9 (6.9 to 20.6) 22.9 (21.2–23.9) 8.0 (-0.9–16.9) 7.6 (4.3 to 12.8) 21.1 (19.9–22.0) 13.5 (10.9–16.0)
 Employed 14.7 (12.6 to 18.3) 24.2 (24.1 to 24.7) 9.5 (7.0 to 12.1) 10.6 (9.2 to 12.2) 21.5 (20.7–23.6) 10.9 (8.9–12.9) 8.0 (7.3 to 8.8) 20.2 (19.5–21.0) 12.2 (11.3–13.2)
Education
 Primary school 13.9 (11.1 to 17.5) 23.7 (23.3 to 24.5) 9.8 (7.2 to 12.5) 11.9 (10.2 to 13.6) 237 (23.3–24.1) 11.8 (10.2–13.4) 8.9 (8.1 to 9.7) 22.0 (21.7–22.2) 13.1 (12.4–13.8)
 Youth education, high school 12.8 (10.6 to 16.5) 24.3 (23.9 to 24.8) 11.5 (7.5 to 15.4) 11.1 (9.2 to 13.2) 23.6 (23.3–24.1) 12.5 (10.7–14.2) 8.8 (7.8 to 10.0) 22.3 (21.9–22.6) 13.4 (12.7–14.2)
 Higher education 13.9 (8.9 to 18.9) 21.4 (22.9 to 24.8) 7.5 (-0.9 to 15.9) 12.6 (8.1 to 17.1) 23.9 (23.4–24.4) 11.3 (7.4–15.1) 9.0 (6.6 to 11.4) 22.6 (22.2–23.1) 13.6 (11.6–15.7)
Psychiatric conditions
 Schizophrenia Could not be est. 8.7 (0.2 to 22.8) 8.7 (0.6 to 16.8) 5.5 (0.4 to 9.3) 12.3 (6.0–23.6) 6.9 (-2.7–16.4) 5.2 (2.0 to 9.3) 15.7 (10.2–19.5) 10.5 (6.2–14.9)
 Bipolar disorder, depression and recurrent depression 2.4 (0.4 to 19.9) 9.1 (3.2 to 24.0) 6.8 (-1.4 to 15.0) 11.6 (5.9 to 18.4) 15.3 (11.0–22.5) 3.6 (-3.9–11.2) 6.4 (4.5 to 9.0) 20.1 (18.0–22.3) 13.7 (11.8–15.5)
 Schizotypal disorder 1.4 (0.02 to 2.6) Could not be estimated −1.4 (-3.1 to 0.2) Could not be est. 7.4 (0.1–13.5) 7.4 (-0.2–15.1) Could not be est. Could not be est. Could not be est.
 Personality disorders 12.6 (7.0 to 19.9) Could not be est. −12.6 (-17.7 to -7.6) 13.2 (10.0 to 16.3) 21.2 (18.7–22.8) 8.0 (4.8–11.3) 9.1 (7.5 to 10.8) 18.6 (17.4–20.5) 9.6 (8.0–11.1)
 Other mental illness 10.0 (6.0 to 15.1) 22.8 (16.3 to 24.6) 12.7 (-2.8 to 28.3) 10.8 (8.7 to 12.9) 19.8 (17.2–21.7) 9.0 (6.3–11.7) 7.9 (6.9 to 8.9) 17.7 (16.3–19.2) 9.9 (8.6–11.1)

*Years of life lost were calculated as the difference in the area between the mean Kaplan-Meier survival curve in the patient and the general population cohorts.