Table 1. Summary of Key Analysis Assumptions Used to Estimate the Effects of Colorectal Cancer and Women’s Breast and Cervical Cancers in the United States.
Analysis Assumption | Breast Cancer | Cervical Cancer | Colorectal Cancer |
---|---|---|---|
Study cohort | 50-year-old women | 21-year-old women | 50-year-old men and women |
Screening agea | 50–74 y | 21–65 y | 50–75 y |
Eligible US population for the test (million)b | 48.7 | 96.7 | 95.9 |
Follow-up period | Lifetime or until death by any cause | ||
Screening tests includeda | Mammogram | Cytology or pap smear | High-sensitivity FOBT, flexible sigmoidoscopy, or colonoscopy |
Screening intervalsa | Every 2 years | Every 3 years | Annual screening with high-sensitivity FOBT Sigmoidoscopy every 5 years, with high-sensitivity FOBT every 3 years Screening colonoscopy every 10 years |
Baseline screening rate (%)c | 78.3 | 79.9 | 67.7 |
Age eligible US population screened in baseline (millions)b | 37.4 | 76.8 | 63.5 |
Other screening scenarios (number of additional people needed to be screened to reach the goal [in millions] by cancer typeb) | Increase in baseline rate by 10 percentage points (breast, 4.8; cervical, 9.6; colorectal, 9.4) Screening rate of 90% (breast, 5.6; cervical, 9.7; colorectal, 20.9) Screening rate of 100% (breast, 10.4; cervical, 19.3; colorectal, 30.3) |
Abbreviations: BRFSS, Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System; FOBT, fecal occult blood test.
Based on US Preventive Services Task Force recommendations, 2008.
Author calculations based on annual estimates of the resident population by sex, race, and Hispanic origin for 2016 from the US Census.
Based on BRFSS 2016 data (7).