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. 2020 Oct 14;12:100651. doi: 10.1016/j.ssmph.2020.100651

Table 4.

Macroeconomic impacts - public Suppression scenario (bn GBP, 2020 prices).

Real GDP Real GDP Real Private Consumption Real Private Consumption Real Government Consumption Real Government Consumption
Total health and prevention-related costs
−668.4
−29.2%
−450.0
−30.0%
−73.4
−16.7%
Total health-related costs −51.4 −2.2% −50.4 −3.4% 8.6 1.9%
 - Hospital Costs, total −0.7 0.0% −7.6 −0.5% 8.9 2.0%
 - hospitalised intensive-care −0.3 0.0% −4.5 −0.3% 5.3 1.2%
 - hospitalised non-intensive-care −0.3
0.0%
−4.3
−0.3%
5.0
1.1%
 - Labour supply losses, total −50.7 −2.2% −40.9 −2.7% −2.9 −0.7%
 - hospitalised fatalities −0.1 0.0% −0.1 0.0% 0.0 0.0%
 - hospitalised recovered −5.2 −0.2% −4.3 −0.3% −0.2 −0.1%
 - non-hospitalised recovered
−44.8
−2.0%
−36.3
−2.4%
−2.5
−0.6%
Total public prevention-related costs −632.9 −27.7% −402.5 −26.8% −93.6 −21.2%
 - School closures −166.2 −7.3% −94.0 −6.3% −41.1 −9.3%
 - labour supply losses, caregivers −166.2
−7.3%
−94.0
−6.3%
−41.1
−9.3%
 - Business closures −501.5 −21.9% −325.2 −21.7% −62.6 −14.2%
 - domestic business closures - other non-essential −386.6 −16.9% −244.4 −16.3% −43.9 −10.0%
 - recreational services sector −44.3 −1.9% −36.7 −2.4% −2.7 −0.6%
 - hotels & restaurants sector −95.5 −4.2% −77.1 −5.1% −5.8 −1.3%