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. 2020 Oct 15;5(1):135–159. doi: 10.1007/s41885-020-00076-x

Table 9.

Selected NPIs and COVID-19 transmission rate (fatality-based measure), with country characteristics interactions, FE, selected countries, N = 3179

(1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6) (7) (8)
SH 0.3344*** 0.3430*** 0.3572*** 0.3379*** 0.3945*** 0.3444*** 0.3721*** 0.3762***
(0.0588) (0.0589) (0.0605) (0.0610) (0.0617) (0.0606) (0.0626) (0.0645)
SWC 0.7902*** 0.7699*** 0.7530*** 0.7571*** 0.7274*** 0.7795*** 0.7715*** 0.8083***
(0.0439) (0.0438) (0.0467) (0.0462) (0.0468) (0.0456) (0.0458) (0.0480)
ET 0.1906*** 0.2410*** − 0.2107 − 0.2035 − 0.1107 0.0878 0.0992* − 0.0307
(0.0528) (0.0532) (0.1457) (0.1444) (0.1448) (0.0548) (0.0555) (0.1482)
ET* ln GDP pc 0.3131*** 0.5412*** 0.6103*** 0.8000***
(0.0612) (0.0792) (0.0837) (0.1492)
SWC* ln GDP pc 0.0084 − 0.0873 − 0.0586 − 0.1902**
(0.0386) (0.0574) (0.0606) (0.0901)
ET * Pop density − 1.7854** − 1.9982*** − 1.5689** − 0.4518
(0.7302) (0.7239) (0.7265) (0.7560)
SWC* Pop density − 0.3973*** − 0.3923*** − 0.3533*** − 0.3416***
(0.1131) (0.1120) (0.1126) (0.1182)
ET* ln surface area 0.0807 0.1822** 0.2539*** 0.4729***
(0.0898) (0.0921) (0.0928) (0.1025)
SWC* ln surface area − 0.1616*** − 0.2005*** − 0.1931*** − 0.3137***
(0.0597) (0.0633) (0.0632) (0.0670)
ET* PM2.5 0.0717 0.3373*** 0.3848*** 0.3399***
(0.0759) (0.0844) (0.0847) (0.0900)
SWC* PM2.5 − 0.0256 − 0.0593 − 0.0801 − 0.0829
(0.0450) (0.0581) (0.0580) (0.0615)
ET* Empl. rate − 0.2211*** 0.016 0.0117 − 0.2866***
(0.0697) (0.0668) (0.0671) (0.0930)
SWC* Empl. rate − 0.1171** − 0.0886* − 0.1008** − 0.0224
(0.0536) (0.0474) (0.0479) (0.0641)
ET* Health expnd., % GDP − 0.2617*** − 0.2321*** − 0.5288***
(0.0731) (0.0753) (0.1085)
SWC* Health expnd., % GDP 0.2803*** 0.2522*** 0.3507***
(0.0599) (0.0624) (0.0778)
ET* Physicians per 1000 people − 0.01 − 0.0636
(0.0794) (0.0870)
SWC* Physicians per 1000 people 0.0928 0.0994
(0.0573) (0.0632)
ET* % 65 yo + 0.5105*** 0.4865*** 0.4727***
(0.0701) (0.0973) (0.1011)
SWC* % 65 yo + − 0.1753*** − 0.2254*** − 0.3408***
(0.0574) (0.0649) (0.0683)
R2 adj. 0.252 0.262 0.260 0.274 0.282 0.276 0.276 0.296

Note: COVID-19 transmission rate alternative measure is constructed using 14 days duration to fatality and 1% mortality rate (See Data Section for further details). The subset of selected countries includes those with number of infected> 19 when school or workplace closures are enacted, 55 countries. SH denotes “stay-at-home” policy. ET denotes extensive testing NPI; SWC denotes schools and workplaces closures NPI. Coefficients presented, standard errors in parenthesis. Statistical significance is denoted as 10%, ∗∗5%, and ∗∗∗1% levels