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Morbidity and Mortality Weekly Report logoLink to Morbidity and Mortality Weekly Report
. 2020 Oct 16;69(41):1473–1480. doi: 10.15585/mmwr.mm6941a1

Prostate Cancer Incidence and Survival, by Stage and Race/Ethnicity — United States, 2001–2017

David A Siegel 1,, Mary Elizabeth O’Neil 1, Thomas B Richards 1, Nicole F Dowling 1, Hannah K Weir 1
PMCID: PMC7561091  PMID: 33056955

Among U.S. men, prostate cancer is the second leading cause of cancer-related death (1). Past studies documented decreasing incidence of prostate cancer overall since 2000 but increasing incidence of distant stage prostate cancer (i.e., signifying spread to parts of the body remote from the primary tumor) starting in 2010 (2,3). Past studies described disparities in prostate cancer survival by stage, age, and race/ethnicity using data covering ≤80% of the U.S. population (4,5). To provide recent data on incidence and survival of prostate cancer in the United States, CDC analyzed data from population-based cancer registries that contribute to U.S. Cancer Statistics (USCS).* Among 3.1 million new cases of prostate cancer recorded during 2003–2017, localized, regional, distant, and unknown stage prostate cancer accounted for 77%, 11%, 5%, and 7% of cases, respectively, but the incidence of distant stage prostate cancer significantly increased during 2010–2017. During 2001–2016, 10-year relative survival for localized stage prostate cancer was 100%. Overall, 5-year survival for distant stage prostate cancer improved from 28.7% during 2001–2005 to 32.3% during 2011–2016; for the period 2001–2016, 5-year survival was highest among Asian/Pacific Islanders (API) (42.0%), followed by Hispanics (37.2%), American Indian/Alaska Natives (AI/AN) (32.2%), Black men (31.6%), and White men (29.1%). Understanding incidence and survival differences by stage, race/ethnicity, and age can guide public health planning related to screening, treatment, and survivor care. Future research into differences by stage, race/ethnicity, and age could inform interventions aimed at improving disparities in outcomes.

Cases included males with malignant prostate cancer§ and excluded cases diagnosed by autopsy and death certificate only. Incidence data were from USCS during the period 2003–2017 and covered 100% of the U.S. population. Age-adjusted rates were expressed per 100,000 men. Trends in incidence were described using annual percent change (APC) and average annual percent change (AAPC) calculated by joinpoint regression. Statistically significant APC and AAPC were different from zero (p<0.05).** Survival data were from CDC’s National Program of Cancer Registries (NPCR)–funded registries that conducted active case follow-up or linkage with CDC’s National Death Index, and covered 94% of the U.S. population.†† Survival analysis included cases diagnosed during 2001–2016 with follow-up through December 31, 2016. Relative survival (cancer survival in the absence of other causes of death) was calculated§§ for 1, 5, and 10 years after diagnosis, using expected life tables stratified by age, sex, race/ethnicity, socioeconomic status, geographic location, and calendar year of diagnosis.¶¶ Differences between relative survival estimates were determined by comparing 95% confidence intervals (CIs), which allowed for an informal, conservative comparison of estimates. Differences in relative survival were noted when CIs did not overlap.

Incidence and survival were stratified by stage, age, year of diagnosis, and race/ethnicity. There were four categories for race (Black, White, AI/AN, and API) and one for ethnicity (Hispanic). Men categorized by race were all non-Hispanic. Men categorized as Hispanic might be of any race. Stage was defined using Summary Stage, the staging system used by the cancer surveillance community and defined with the following categories: localized (tumor is confined to the organ of origin without extension beyond the primary organ), regional (direct extension of the tumor to adjacent organs or structures or spread to regional lymph nodes), distant (cancer has spread to parts of the body remote from the primary tumor), and unknown.***

During 2003–2017, a total of 3,087,800 new cases of prostate cancer were diagnosed in the United States (Table 1). Over this 15-year period, age-adjusted incidence decreased from 155 per 100,000 in 2003 to 105 in 2017 (Supplementary Table 1, https://stacks.cdc.gov/view/cdc/94592). During 2003–2017, incidence was highest for men aged 70–74 years (764) and Black men (202). Localized, regional, distant, and unknown stage prostate cancer accounted for 77%, 11%, 5%, and 7% of total cases, respectively. The percentage of localized cases decreased from 78% in 2003 to 70% in 2017, and distant cases increased from 4% in 2003 to 8% in 2017. White men had lower percentages of distant (5%) and unknown stage (6%) prostate cancer than did any other race/ethnicity. The overall incidence of prostate cancer decreased during 2003–2017 (AAPC = −2.5%) but increased for cases diagnosed at distant stage (AAPC = 2.2%). More specifically, the increase was observed during 2010–2017 (APC = 5.1%) and began in 2011 or earlier, regardless of race/ethnicity.

During 2001–2016, among 3,104,380 men with survival data, 5-year and 10-year relative survival was 97.6% and 97.2%, respectively (Table 2). Men aged ≤49 years and ≥80 years had the lowest 10-year relative survival (95.6% and 82.7%, respectively). For localized prostate cancer, 10-year relative survival was 100%. Ten-year relative survival for regional, distant, and unknown stage was 96.1%, 18.5%, and 78.1%, respectively. For distant stage prostate cancer, 10-year relative survival was highest for ages 60–64 years (21.8%) and was <20% for ages <55 and ≥70 years.

Comparing 2001–2005 with 2011–2016, 5-year relative survival improved from 97.5% to 99.3% for regional stage and from 28.7% to 32.3% for distant stage prostate cancer (Table 3). During 2001–2016, 5-year survival for distant stage prostate cancer was highest among API (42.0%), followed by Hispanics (37.2%), AI/AN (32.2%), Black men (31.6%), and White men (29.1%). Survival by race/ethnicity showed differences by age (Supplementary Table 2, https://stacks.cdc.gov/view/cdc/94593). For unknown stage prostate cancer, 5-year survival was higher for Hispanic (84.4%) and White men (82.8%) than Black men (79.1%).

Discussion

Although approximately three fourths of U.S. men with prostate cancer have localized stage at diagnosis, an increasing number and percentage of men have received diagnoses of distant stage prostate cancer. Survival with distant stage prostate cancer has improved, but fewer than one third of men survive 5 years after diagnosis. Survival disparities by age and race/ethnicity were noted for distant stage prostate cancer during all three periods (i.e., 2001–2005, 2006–2010, and 2011–2016) studied.

The U.S. Preventive Services Task Force (USPSTF) has issued several recommendations that discuss the possible benefits and harms of screening for prostate cancer using prostate-specific antigen (PSA).††† In 2012, USPSTF concluded that the benefits of PSA-based screening do not outweigh the harms and recommended against PSA-based screening for prostate cancer for men of all ages. This recommendation likely contributed to a decrease in overall reported prostate cancer incidence and might have contributed to an increase in the percentage and incidence of distant stage prostate cancer (2,3). Despite decreasing incidence of localized stage prostate cancer, 130,658 to 190,570 new cases were diagnosed each year in the United States during 2003–2017. Even though 10-year survival for localized stage prostate cancer is 100%, many of these patients need treatment, including surgery or radiation, often face long-term effects of their treatment (e.g., urinary incontinence and erectile dysfunction), and ≤6% progress to metastatic prostate cancer (6). Improvements in survival for distant stage prostate cancer might reflect changes in clinical management, which includes increased use of new agents and treatment innovations, such as new hormone and antibody therapies (6). Despite these improvements in survival, increases in distant stage prostate cancer incidence might have contributed to the plateauing of previously declining prostate cancer mortality during 2013–2017 (1,2).

Five-year survival for all stages combined was higher for White men than Black or Hispanic men. However, survival for distant stage prostate cancer was higher for Black than White men, which is different from a past study reporting higher survival for White men than Black men during 2001–2009, but with overlapping 95% CIs (4). In addition, unknown stage prostate cancer represented a higher percentage of total cases (7%) than distant stage prostate cancer (5%), and survival for unknown stage prostate cancer was higher for Hispanic and White men than Black men. Men in the unknown stage category, who had a 5-year relative survival of 84.3%, might include a mixture of situations, such as men not healthy enough for a staging workup, situations where staging is not needed to guide treatment decisions, lack of access to care, or incomplete recording in the medical record (7). Past data suggest that social inequities by race contribute to worse outcomes for Black men than White men with prostate cancer (8). Survival based on distant stage and race/ethnicity might need to be interpreted in the context of the incidence and survival for other prostate cancer stages, as well as diagnostic procedures and social determinants of health such as access to care (7,8).

Although survival by age varied by stage, survival was lowest for ages >75 years for regional, distant, and unknown stage prostate cancer. Lower survival for distant stage at age >75 years compared with younger ages might be secondary to more rapid development of resistant prostate cancer, reduced ability to receive available therapies, and impact of comorbidities (5). Ten-year survival was lower for men aged ≤49 years compared with all ages except ≥80 years. Prostate cancer incidence in men ≤49 years has risen over the past 3 decades, and lower survival for this age group has been reported (9). Prostate cancer behavior, genetics, family history, and treatment patterns might affect prostate cancer incidence and survival patterns for men aged ≤49 years (9).

The findings in this report are subject to least three limitations. First, prostate cancer cases missing from the dataset could result in an undercount of prostate cancer incidence,§§§ and delays in reporting could undercount incidence over the most recent years of the study (10). Second, Collaborative Cancer Staging coding, which was used from 2003 to 2015 to code stage data, might explain the lower numbers of unknown stage cases during those years.¶¶¶ Finally, confidence intervals could not be generated for all survival results that are rounded to 100.0%, and values listed as 100.0% only mean that no excess deaths were observed.

In 2018, USPSTF issued a new recommendation stating that prostate cancer screening for men aged 55–69 years should be an individualized decision based on personal preferences when weighing the benefits and harms of screening,**** and several professional organizations have similarly recommended shared decision-making for men deciding about prostate cancer screening.†††† Understanding incidence and long-term survival by stage, race/ethnicity, and age could inform messaging related to the possible benefits and harms of prostate cancer screening and could guide public health planning related to treatment and survivor care. Further research is needed to examine how social determinants of health affect prostate cancer diagnosis and treatment; findings should inform interventions to decrease disparities in outcomes.

Summary.

What is already known about this topic?

Among U.S. men, prostate cancer is the second leading cause of cancer-related death. The incidence of distant stage prostate cancer (signifying spread to parts of the body remote from the primary tumor) has increased since 2010.

What is added by this report?

Additional years of data show continued increases in the incidence of distant stage prostate cancer in the United States. The percentage of distant stage prostate cancer increased from 4% in 2003 to 8% in 2017. Five-year survival for distant stage prostate cancer improved from 28.7% during 2001–2005 to 32.3% during 2011–2016; for the period 2001–2016, 5-year survival was highest among Asian/Pacific Islanders (42.0%), followed by Hispanics (37.2%), American Indian/Alaska Natives (32.2%), Black men (31.6%), and White men (29.1%).

What are the implications for public health?

Understanding the disease trends of distant stage prostate cancer and disparities in prostate cancer survival by stage, race/ethnicity, and age can guide public health planning related to screening, treatment, and survivor care.

TABLE 1. Age-adjusted incidence* of prostate cancer and annual percent change (APC) and average APC (AAPC) in rates per 100,000 men, by selected characteristics — U.S. Cancer Statistics, United States, 2003–2017.

Characteristic No., % of total, and rate
AAPC 2003–2017§
APC§
No. (%) Rate (95%CI) AAPC (95% CI) Yrs APC1 (95% CI) Yrs APC2 (95% CI) Yrs APC3 (95% CI)
Overall
3,087,800 (100)
128.4 (128.2 to 128.5)
−2.5 (−4.1 to 0.9)**
2003–2007
2.0 (−1.6 to 5.7)
2007–2014
-6.6 (−8.8 to −4.4)**
2014–2017
1.6 (−4.0 to 7.6)
Age group (yrs)
≤49
81,420 (3)
5.2 (5.1 to 5.2)
−2.9 (−4.0 to −1.7)**
2003–2009
4.4 (2.2 to 6.6)**
2009–2017
−8.0 (−9.5 to −6.4)**
††

50–54
212,288 (7)
134.5 (133.9 to 135.0)
−1.6 (−3.7 to 0.6)
2003–2009
2.7 (0.2 to 5.2)**
2009–2014
−7.4 (−11.7 to −2.8)**
2014–2017
−0.1 (−7.8 to 8.3)
55–59
410,683 (13)
288.0 (287.1 to 288.9)
−1.8 (−3.6 to 0.0)
2003–2008
2.3 (−0.7 to 5.4)
2008–2014
−6.4 (−9.2 to −3.6)**
2014–2017
1.1 (−5.7 to 8.3)
60–64
569,259 (18)
484.7 (483.4 to 485.9)
−1.9 (−3.7 to −0.1)**
2003–2008
1.9 (−1.1 to 5.0)
2008–2014
−6.9 (−9.6 to −4.1)**
2014–2017
2.2 (−4.4 to 9.2)
65–69
658,449 (21)
720.0 (718.3 to 721.8)
−2.0 (−3.8 to −0.1)**
2003–2008
1.4 (−1.8 to 4.8)
2008–2014
−6.8 (−9.8 to −3.8)**
2014–2017
2.5 (−4.3 to 9.8)
70–74
516,620 (17)
764.0 (762.0 to 766.1)
−2.5 (−4.4 to −0.6)**
2003–2007
2.0 (−2.4 to 6.5)
2007–2014
−7.0 (−9.2 to −4.6)**
2014–2017
2.3 (−4.8 to 9.9)
75–79
346,422 (11)
693.6 (691.3 to 695.9)
−3.1 (−4.9 to −1.3)**
2003–2007
0.6 (−3.1 to 4.5)
2007–2014
−8.0 (−10.2 to −5.9)**
2014–2017
4.1 (−3.1 to 11.7)
≥80
292,659(9)
473.1 (471.4 to 474.8)
−4.6 (−5.9 to −3.2)**
2003–2007
−2.7 (−5.7 to 0.4)
2007–2013
−9.5 (−11.7 to −7.2)**
2013–2017
1.4 (−2.4 to 5.2)
Race/Ethnicity§§
White
2,296,805 (74)
122.2 (122.0 to 122.3)
−2.7 (−4.7 to −0.5)**
2003–2007
2.1 (−2.5 to 7.0)
2007–2014
−7.0 (−9.4 to −4.6)**
2014–2017
1.6 (−6.7 to 10.7)
Black
451,822 (15)
202.3 (201.7 to 203.0)
−2.6 (−3.9 to −1.2)**
2003–2009
−0.5 (−2.2 to 1.1)
2009–2014
−6.6 (−9.5 to −3.7)**
2014–2017
0.4 (−4.3 to 5.3)
AI/AN
12,232 (0)
87.9 (86.2 to 89.6)
−3.4 (−5.3 to −1.4)**
2003–2009
−0.6 (−3.1 to 1.8)
2009–2014
−7.9 (−11.8 to −3.8)**
2014–2017
−1.1 (−7.7 to 6.0)
API
62,184 (2)
67.2 (66.6 to 67.7)
−3.6 (−6.5 to −0.6)**
2003–2011
−3.3 (−4.8 to −1.7)**
2011–2014
−11.1 (−23.5 to 3.3)
2014–2017
3.6 (−3.1 to 10.8)
Hispanic
196,506 (6)
106.0 (105.5 to 106.5)
−3.8 (−4.9 to −2.6)**
2003–2008
−0.5 (−2.5 to 1.5)
2008–2014
−7.4 (−9.1 to −5.7)**
2014–2017
−1.5 (−5.7 to 2.9)
Stage¶¶
Localized
2,373,517 (77)
98.1 (98.0 to 98.3)
−3.3 (−5.1 to −1.4)**
2003–2007
3.1 (−1.2 to 7.5)
2007–2014
−8.0 (−10.1 to −5.9)**
2014–2017
−0.1 (−7.2 to 7.5)
Regional
344,750 (11)
13.5 (13.4 to 13.5)
0.2 (−1.5 to 2.1)
2003–2007
3.3 (−0.9 to 7.7)
2007–2013
−3.2 (−6.1 to −0.2)**
2013–2017
2.5 (−1.9 to 7.2)
Distant
157,175 (5)
7.2 (7.1 to 7.2)
2.2 (1.7 to 2.7)**
2003–2010
−0.7 (−1.5 to 0.2)
2010–2017
5.1 (4.3 to 5.8)**


Unknown
212,358 (7)
9.6 (9.6 to 9.7)
−2.8 (−5.3 to −0.2)**
2003–2005
−16.5 (−26.3 to −5.4)**
2005–2015
−3.8 (−5.4 to −2.1)**
2015–2017
19.1 (1.2 to 40.1)**
Stage by race/ethnicity
Localized
White
1,782,452 (78)
94.5 (94.3 to 94.6)
−3.4 (−5.3 to −1.4)**
2003–2007
3.1 (−1.3 to 7.8)
2007–2014
−8.4 (−10.7 to −6.1)**
2014–2017
0.5 (−7.1 to 8.7)
Black
349,321 (77)
153.8 (153.3 to 154.3)
−2.9 (−4.4 to −1.5)**
2003–2008
1.5 (−1.0 to 4.0)
2008–2014
−7.0 (−9.2 to −4.8)**
2014–2017
−1.7 (−7.0 to 3.9)
AI/AN
8,818 (72)
61.8 (60.4 to 63.2)
−3.9 (−6.2– to −1.6)**
2003–2008
1.1 (−3.0 to 5.3)
2008–2014
−9.0 (−12.5 to −5.3)**
2014–2017
−1.6 (−9.8 to 7.4)
API
45,682 (73)
48.9 (48.5 to 49.4)
−4.7 (−7.5 to −1.9)**
2003–2007
−0.4 (−7.4 to 7.1)
2007–2014
−8.9 (−12.2 to −5.5)**
2014–2017
−0.2 (−10.2 to 10.9)
Hispanic
143,627 (73)
76.3 (75.8 to 76.7)
−4.7 (−5.9 to −3.6)**
2003–2008
0.0 (−2.0 to 2.1)
2008–2014
−8.8 (−10.6 to −7.1)**
2014–2017
−4.1 (−8.4 to 0.4)
Regional
White
267,155 (12)
13.5 (13.5 to 13.6)
0.5 (−1.5 to 2.5)
2003–2007
4.1 (−0.6 to 9.0)
2007–2013
−3.3 (−6.5 to −0.1)**
2013–2017
2.8 (−2.1 to 7.9)
Black
43,672 (10)
17.5 (17.3 to 17.6)
−0.1 (−2.1 to 2.0)
2003–2010
0.1 (−1.6 to 1.8)
2010–2013
−4.7 (−14.0 to 5.5)
2013–2017
3.3 (0.0 to 6.6)**
AI/AN
1,412 (12)
8.7 (8.2 to 9.2)
−0.7 (−2.1 to 0.7)






API
8,014 (13)
7.8 (7.6 to 8.0)
0.9 (−2.2 to 4.0)
2003–2011
1.1 (−1.0 to 3.1)
2011–2014
−8.1 (−20.8 to 6.7)
2014–2017
10.1 (2.8 to 17.9)**
Hispanic
21,853 (11)
10.3 (10.2 to 10.5)
−1.4 (−2.0 to −0.9)**
2003–2017
−1.4 (−2.0 to −0.9)**




Distant
White
110,453 (5)
6.4 (6.3 to 6.4)
2.7 (2.1 to 3.2)**
2003–2010
−0.2 (−1.1 to 0.8)
2010–2017
5.6 (4.8 to 6.4)**


Black
28,946 (6)
15.1 (14.9 to 15.2)
0.1 (−0.6 to 0.8)
2003–2011
−2.4 (−3.4 to −1.3)**
2011–2017
3.5 (2.2 to 4.8)**


AI/AN
911 (7)
7.7 (7.1 to 8.2)
2.2 (0.8 to 3.6)**






API
3,867 (6)
4.7 (4.6 to 4.9)
1.7 (−0.5 to 4.0)
2003–2006
3.7 (−4.4 to 12.5)
2006–2010
−5.0 (−10.8 to 1.1)
2010–2017
4.9 (3.3 to 6.6)**
Hispanic
12,275 (6)
7.5 (7.4 to 7.6)
0.5 (−0.3 to 1.3)
2003–2011
−1.6 (−2.9 to −0.4)**
2011–2017
3.4 (2.0 to 4.8)**


Unknown
White
136,745 (6)
7.8 (7.8 to 7.9)
−6.1 (−9.0 to −3.1)**
2003–2005
−19.2 (−35.1 to 0.7)
2005–2017
−3.8 (−5.7 to −1.8)**


Black
29,883 (7)
16.0 (15.8 to 16.2)
−4.2 (−5.7 to −2.7)**






AI/AN
1,091 (9)
9.8 (9.2 to 10.4)
−6.0 (−8.4 to −3.5)**






API
4,621 (7)
5.7 (5.5 to 5.8)
−2.0 (−3.7 to −0.2)**






Hispanic 18,751 (10) 11.9 (11.7 to 12.1) −4.2 (−6.1 to −2.2)**

Abbreviations: AI/AN = American Indian/Alaska Native; API = Asian/Pacific Islander; CI = confidence interval.

* Incidence data are compiled from cancer registries that meet the U.S. Cancer Statistics publication criteria for the period 2003–2017 (covering 100% of the U.S. population). Characteristic values with other, missing, or blank results are not included. Rates are age-adjusted to the 2000 U.S. Standard population.

Cases included International Classification of Diseases for Oncology, Third Edition malignant cancers only.

§ Trends were considered to increase or decrease if p<0.05; otherwise trends were considered stable.

Denominator for this column is 3,087,800, except for stage by race/ethnicity, where the denominator is the total number of cases for the respective race/ethnicity grouping.

** p<0.05.

†† Trend described for the period 2003–2017 by previous APC columns.

§§ White, Black, AI/AN, and API men are non-Hispanic. Hispanic men might be of any race. Counts exclude unspecified or unknown race/ethnicity. Excludes 67,696 cases with non-Hispanic unknown race.

¶¶ Defined by merged Summary Stage. https://www.cdc.gov/cancer/uscs/public-use/dictionary/merged-summary-stage.htm.

TABLE 2. Relative survival of men with prostate cancer, 1, 5, and 10 years after diagnosis — United States, 2001–2016*.

Characteristic No. 1-year relative survival % (95% CI) 5-year relative survival % (95% CI) 10-year relative survival % (95% CI)
Overall
3,104,380
99.0 (98.9–99.0)
97.6 (97.5–97.6)
97.2 (97.2–97.3)
Age group (yrs)
≤49
83,692
99.3 (99.2–99.3)
96.7 (96.6–96.7)
95.6 (95.6–95.9)
50–54
214,757
99.6 (99.5–99.6)
97.8 (97.6–97.8)
96.9 (96.9–97.1)
55–59
407,302
99.7 (99.6–99.7)
98.4 (98.3–98.4)
98.0 (98.0–98.1)
60–64
559,872
99.7 (99.7–99.7)
98.8 (98.8–98.8)
98.7 (98.7–98.9)
65–69
650,004
99.9 (99.9–99.9)
99.6 (99.5–99.6)
99.5 (99.5–99.7)
70–74
525,876
99.8 (99.8–99.8)
99.5 (99.4–99.5)
99.4 (99.4–99.6)
75–79
361,735
99.1 (99.0–99.1)
98.4 (98.2–98.4)
97.9 (97.9–98.3)
≥80
301,315
92.1 (92.0–92.1)
84.6 (84.2–84.6)
82.7 (82.7–83.5)
Race/Ethnicity
White
2,323,828
99.1 (99.0–99.1)
97.9 (97.9–97.9)
97.8 (97.8–97.9)
Black
459,665
98.4 (98.4–98.4)
95.6 (95.4–95.6)
93.5 (93.5–93.8)
AI/AN
11,983
98.2 (97.7–98.2)
95.7 (94.7–95.7)
93.4 (93.4–95.0)
API
55,310
98.7 (98.6–98.7)
95.1 (94.8–95.1)
92.0 (92.0–92.6)
Hispanic
193,770
98.4 (98.3–98.4)
95.3 (95.1–95.3)
93.1 (93.1–93.4)
Stage§
Localized
2,393,365
100.0
100.0
100.0
Regional
328,421
100.0 (100.0–100.0)
98.6 (98.5–98.6)
96.1 (96.1–96.4)
Distant
145,923
75.6 (75.3–75.6)
30.7 (30.4–30.7)
18.5 (18.5–18.9)
Unknown
236,919
93.2 (93.1–93.2)
84.3 (84.0–84.3)
78.1 (78.1–78.5)
Stage by age group (yrs)
Localized
≤49
65,134
100.0 (99.8–100.0)
99.9 (99.7–99.9)
99.8 (99.8–99.9)
50–54
167,635
100.0
100.0
100.0
55–59
318,323
100.0
100.0
100.0
60–64
437,309
100.0
100.0
100.0
65–69
512,706
100.0
100.0
100.0
70–74
421,401
100.0
100.0
100.0
75–79
283,797
100.0
100.0
100.0
≥80
187,081
100.0 (99.9–100.0)
100.0 (99.9–100.0)
100.0 (100.0–100.0)
Regional
≤49
12,140
99.8 (99.6–99.8)
97.0 (96.5–97.0)
92.6 (92.6–93.4)
50–54
32,016
100.0
97.9 (97.6–97.9)
94.1 (94.1–94.6)
55–59
58,398
100.0
99.0 (98.7–99.0)
95.9 (95.9–96.4)
60–64
76,162
100.0
100.0 (91.2–100.0)
97.8 (97.8–98.2)
65–69
77,433
100.0
100.0
99.9 (99.9–100.0)
70–74
42,562
100.0
100.0
99.6 (99.6–100.0)
75–79
17,034
99.3 (98.8–99.3)
94.2 (93.1–94.2)
90.4 (90.4–92.3)
≥80
12,678
90.7 (89.9–90.7)
70.8 (69.0–70.8)
64.4 (64.4–67.3)
Distant
≤49
3,083
84.9 (83.6–84.9)
31.1 (29.2–31.1)
19.0 (19.0–20.9)
50–54
6,488
85.4 (84.5–85.4)
32.7 (31.3–32.7)
19.1 (19.1–20.5)
55–59
12,607
84.3 (83.6–84.3)
35.5 (34.5–35.5)
20.8 (20.8–21.9)
60–64
18,268
83.2 (82.6–83.2)
35.1 (34.2–35.1)
21.8 (21.8–22.8)
65–69
21,311
82.4 (81.8–82.4)
36.2 (35.3–36.2)
21.2 (21.2–22.1)
70–74
21,066
77.9 (77.3–77.9)
33.3 (32.5–33.3)
19.8 (19.8–20.9)
75–79
21,299
73.4 (72.8–73.4)
29.9 (29.0–29.9)
18.5 (18.5–19.6)
≥80
41,810
63.3 (62.8–63.3)
22.5 (21.8–22.5)
14.6 (14.6–15.8)
Unknown
≤49
3,340
97.8 (97.2–97.8)
91.7 (90.5–91.7)
88.3 (88.3–89.8)
50–54
8,625
98.3 (98.0–98.3)
93.0 (92.2–93.0)
88.7 (88.7–89.8)
55–59
17,984
98.2 (97.9–98.2)
93.0 (92.4–93.0)
88.7 (88.7–89.5)
60–64
28,148
97.8 (97.5–97.8)
92.1 (91.6–92.1)
87.5 (87.5–88.3)
65–69
38,573
97.5 (97.3–97.5)
91.3 (90.8–91.3)
85.4 (85.4–86.2)
70–74
40,864
96.6 (96.3–96.6)
89.2 (88.6–89.2)
82.8 (82.8–83.8)
75–79
39,622
94.2 (93.9–94.2)
85.6 (84.9–85.6)
77.7 (77.7–79.0)
≥80 59,766 82.7 (82.3–82.7) 65.7 (64.9–65.7) 57.2 (57.2–58.7)

Source: CDC’s National Program of Cancer Registries, https://www.cdc.gov/cancer/npcr.

Abbreviations: AI/AN = American Indian/Alaska Native; API = Asian/Pacific Islander; CI = confidence interval.

* Data were compiled from 45 population-based registries that cover approximately 94% of the US population. Counts for age and stage do not sum to the total because of multiple primaries methodology. When the relative survival is calculated stratified by a tumor or demographic characteristic, each cancer was included for patients diagnosed with multiple primary prostate cancers at the different category-levels.

White, Black, AI/AN, and API men are non-Hispanic. Hispanic men might be of any race. Counts exclude unspecified or unknown race/ethnicity. Excludes 59,824 cases of non-Hispanic unknown race.

§ Percentage of total for localized, regional, distant, and unknown is 77%, 11%, 5%, and 8%, respectively.

CI could not be calculated.

TABLE 3. Five-year relative survival for men with prostate cancer, by period and selected characteristics — United States, 2001–2016*.

Characteristic 2001–2016
2001–2005
2006–2010
2011–2016
No. Relative survival % (95% CI) No. Relative survival % (95% CI) No. Relative survival % (95% CI) No. Relative survival % (95% CI)
Overall
3,104,380
97.6 (97.5–97.6)
965,748
97.3 (97.2–97.4)
1,052,255
98.2 (98.1–98.3)
1,086,532
97.2 (97.1–97.3)
Age group (yrs)
≤49
83,692
96.7 (96.6–96.9)
25,688
96.3 (96.0–96.6)
31,384
97.1 (96.8–97.3)
26,621
96.9 (96.5–97.2)
50–54
214,757
97.8 (97.6–97.9)
63,318
97.8 (97.6–98.0)
76,549
97.9 (97.7–98.1)
74,893
97.4 (97.2–97.7)
55–59
407,302
98.4 (98.3–98.5)
117,213
98.6 (98.4–98.7)
143,170
98.6 (98.5–98.7)
146,920
97.7 (97.5–97.9)
60–64
559,872
98.8 (98.8–98.9)
154,088
98.7 (98.6–98.9)
195,058
99.2 (99.1–99.4)
210,727
98.4 (98.2–98.6)
65–69
650,004
99.6 (99.5–99.7)
185,518
99.1 (98.9–99.3)
213,975
99.9 (99.7–100.0)
250,514
99.5 (99.3–99.6)
70–74
525,876
99.5 (99.4–99.6)
175,220
99.1 (98.8–99.3)
171,457
99.9 (99.9–100.0)
179,201
99.3 (99.0–99.4)
75–79
361,735
98.4 (98.2–98.6)
134,039
98.0 (97.6–98.3)
120,166
99.0 (98.7–99.2)
107,532
97.7 (97.4–98.0)
≥80
301,315
84.6 (84.2–84.9)
110,671
85.7 (85.2–86.3)
100,506
86.9 (86.3–87.4)
90,144
79.7 (78.9–80.6)
Race/Ethnicity
White
2,323,828
97.9 (97.9–98.0)
752,786
97.8 (97.7–97.9)
792,482
98.6 (98.5–98.6)
778,682
97.3 (97.2–97.5)
Black
459,665
95.6 (95.4–95.7)
130,818
94.8 (94.6–95.1)
152,416
96.1 (95.9–96.3)
176,445
95.7 (95.3–95.9)
AI/AN
11,983
95.7 (94.7–96.6)
3,361
94.6 (92.7–96.1)
3,991
96.4 (94.8–97.5)
4,632
95.5 (93.2–97.1)
API
55,310
95.1 (94.8–95.5)
14,865
95.4 (94.7–96.0)
18,207
95.5 (94.9–96.0)
22,241
94.7 (93.9–95.3)
Hispanic
193,770
95.3 (95.1–95.5)
52,951
94.9 (94.5–95.2)
64,680
96.0 (95.7–96.3)
76,154
95.2 (94.8–95.6)
Stage*
Localized
2,393,365
100.0§
753,909
100.0§
836,008
100.0§
803,466
100.0§
Regional
328,421
98.6 (98.5–98.7)
87,320
97.5 (97.3–97.8)
106,635
99.0 (98.8–99.2)
134,467
99.3 (98.9–99.5)
Distant
145,923
30.7 (30.4–31.0)
37,195
28.7 (28.1–29.2)
40,895
30.2 (29.7–30.8)
67,835
32.3 (31.6–33.0)
Unknown
236,919
84.3 (84.0–84.5)
87,357
83.0 (82.6–83.4)
68,748
84.2 (83.7–84.6)
80,818
86.7 (86.1–87.2)
Stage by race/ethnicity
Localized 
White
1,807,824
100.0§
592,631
100.0§
634,465
100.0§
580,741
100.0§
Black
354,643
100.0§
99,964
100.0§
121,260
100.0§
133,420
100.0§
AI/AN
8,626
100.0§
2,477
99.9 (97.3–100.0)
2,960
100.0§
3,189
100.0§
API
41,192
99.6 (99.1–99.8)
11,622
99.6 (98.1–99.9)
13,940
99.6 (98.6–99.9)
15,631
99.8 (97.4–100.0)
Hispanic
142,007
100.0§
39,557
100.0§
48,798
100.0§
53,655
100.0§
Regional
White
254,394
98.6 (98.5–98.8)
68,723
97.5 (97.2–97.7)
83,382
99.0 (98.7–99.2)
102,290
99.4 (99.0–99.7)
Black
42,843
98.8 (98.3–99.1)
11,027
97.9 (96.9–98.5)
13,494
99.3 (98.3–99.7)
18,322
98.9 (97.7–99.5)
AI/AN
1,366
98.2 (93.2–99.5)
354
97.3 (87.8–99.4)
431
98.5 (82.2–99.9)
581
97.5 (79.3–99.7)
API
6,671
97.4 (96.5–98.1)
1,491
97.1 (95.0–98.4)
2,091
97.9 (96.3–98.9)
3,089
96.9 (94.7–98.2)
Hispanic
20,794
97.5 (97.0–98.0)
5,145
96.8 (95.7–97.7)
6,424
97.9 (96.9–98.5)
9,225
98.0 (96.7–98.8)
Distant 
White
101,621
29.1 (28.7–29.5)
25,864
27.2 (26.6–27.9)
28,392
28.5 (27.9–29.1)
47,367
30.8 (29.9–31.6)
Black
28,330
31.6 (30.9–32.3)
7,718
29.9 (28.6–31.1)
8,047
31.0 (29.9–32.2)
12,565
33.3 (31.8–34.9)
AI/AN
796
32.2 (27.8–36.8)
180
29.0 (21.6–36.8)
219
27.9 (21.3–34.8)
397
39.0 (30.4–47.4)
API
3,153
42.0 (39.6–44.3)
650
38.1 (33.9–42.3)
853
43.3 (39.5–47.0)
1,650
41.5 (36.8–46.1)
Hispanic
11,418
37.2 (36.1–38.4)
2,655
35.3 (33.3–37.4)
3,213
37.4 (35.5–39.3)
5,550
37.5 (35.2–39.9)
Unknown
White
160,180
82.8 (82.5–83.2)
65,593
83.3 (82.8–83.8)
46,266
82.0 (81.4–82.5)
48,322
83.0 (82.2–83.8)
Black
33,879
79.1 (78.3–79.8)
12,113
78.3 (77.1–79.5)
9,619
78.8 (77.5–80.0)
12,148
80.9 (79.3–82.4)
AI/AN
1,196
82.2 (78.1–85.7)
350
76.9 (69.4–82.8)
381
84.6 (77.6–89.6)
465
84.1 (74.8–90.3)
API
4,298
82.7 (80.9–84.4)
1,102
82.0 (78.5–84.9)
1,323
81.1 (78.0–83.7)
1,873
85.4 (81.5–88.5)
Hispanic 19,572 84.4 (83.5–85.2) 5,598 80.6 (79.0–82.1) 6,249 86.5 (85.1–87.7) 7,727 85.8 (83.9–87.6)

Source: CDC’s National Program of Cancer Registries. https://www.cdc.gov/cancer/npcr.

Abbreviations: AI/AN = American Indian/Alaska Native; API = Asian/Pacific Islander; CI = confidence interval.

* Data were compiled from 45 population-based registries that cover approximately 94% of the U.S. population. Counts for age and stage do not sum to the total because of multiple primaries methodology. When the relative survival is calculated stratified by a tumor or demographic characteristic, each cancer was included for patients diagnosed with multiple primary prostate cancers at the different category levels. 

White, Black, AI/AN, and API men are non-Hispanic. Hispanic men might be of any race. Counts exclude unspecified or unknown race/ethnicity. Excludes 59,824 cases of non-Hispanic unknown race.

§ CI could not be calculated.

Indicates nonoverlapping 95% CIs when comparing 2001–2005 with 2011–2016.

Acknowledgments

Reda J. Wilson, Division of Cancer Prevention and Control, National Center for Chronic Disease Prevention and Health Promotion, CDC; state and regional cancer registry and health department personnel.

All authors have completed and submitted the International Committee of Medical Journal Editors form for disclosure of potential conflicts of interest. No potential conflicts of interest were disclosed.

Footnotes

Rates were adjusted to the 2000 U.S. standard population.

**

A maximum of two joinpoints were used to determine a change in direction of trend.

††

Registries met USCS publication criteria and included all U.S. states and the District of Columbia except for Connecticut, Hawaii, Indiana, Iowa, Kansas, and New Mexico.

§§

The cohort method was used to estimate survival when all patients had a full 1, 5, and 10 years of follow-up. The complete method was used when not all patients had the full 5 or 10 years of follow-up for 5-year and 10-year survival time estimates. https://surveillance.cancer.gov/survival/cohort.html.

†††

Information about the benefits and harms of prostate cancer screening can be found at the CDC website. Digital rectal examination to screen for prostate cancer is not recommended by USPSTF because of lack of evidence of the benefits. https://www.cdc.gov/cancer/prostate/basic_info/benefits-harms.htm, https://www.uspreventiveservicestaskforce.org/uspstf/recommendation/prostate-cancer-screening-2012, https://www.uspreventiveservicestaskforce.org/uspstf/recommendation/prostate-cancer-screening.

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