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. 2020 Oct 15;15(10):e0240150. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0240150

Fig 6. Lombardy forecast for week 5, model d(1, 0).

Fig 6

Blue: actual; red: fitted (in estimation sample) or forecast (out-of-sample). Left: number of patients admitted in ICU. Right: % change of patients admitted in ICU. Training sample: February 28–March 22. Out-of-sample period: March 23–29. Forecast intervals ± 3 forecast standard errors.