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. 2020 Oct 17;396(10258):1285–1306. doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(20)30677-2

Figure 4.

Figure 4

Map of the year that the net reproduction rate falls below the replacement level

Replacement is defined as a net reproduction rate of 1. Past estimates are calculated on the basis of GBD 2017 estimates and future estimates are calculated from the reference forecast. GBD=Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study.