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. 2020 Oct 17;396(10258):1285–1306. doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(20)30677-2

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© 2020 The Author(s). Published by Elsevier Ltd. This is an Open Access article under the CC BY 4.0 license

This is an open access article under the CC BY license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/).

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Population size in ten countries in the reference, slower, faster, fastest, and SDG pace scenarios, 1990–2100

The reference scenario is presented with 95% UIs, which are represented by the shaded area. Countries were selected on the basis of the most populous countries in 2017 and those projected to be the most populous in 2100. Past estimates up to 2017 are from GBD 2017, and estimates for 2018–2100 are means of each scenario. GBD=Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study. SDG=Sustainable Development Goal. UI=uncertainty interval.