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. 2020 Oct 17;396(10258):1285–1306. doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(20)30677-2

Table.

Population and total fertility rate in 2017, in 2100 with the reference scenario, and in 2100 with the SDG pace scenario and the year of peak population

Population (millions)
Total fertility rate
2017 2100 reference scenario 2100 SDG pace scenario Peak population (year) 2017 2100 reference scenario 2100 SDG pace scenario
Global 7640·47 (7394·65–7867·14) 8785·55 (6825·31–11829·48) 6289·42 (4821·12–8733·4) 9732·92 (2064) 2·37 (2·22–2·55) 1·66 (1·33–2·08) 1·52 (1·15–1·99)
Central Europe, eastern Europe, and central Asia 415·93 (395·18–435·49) 324·99 (217·65–498·18) 248·22 (171·88–387·22) 417·71 (2023) 1·78 (1·59–1·99) 1·80 (1·25–2·40) 1·58 (1·07–2·23)
Central Asia 90·93 (83·02–99·04) 138·93 (85·13–221·17) 91·14 (54·62–153·13) 138·93 (2100) 2·47 (2·26–2·69) 2·14 (1·5–2·83) 1·89 (1·23–2·65)
Armenia 3·03 (2·7–3·35) 1·78 (0·9–3·83) 1·33 (0·83–2·83) 3·04 (2022) 1·58 (1·44–1·72) 1·43 (0·96–2·51) 1·27 (0·95–2·24)
Azerbaijan 10·23 (8·96–11·43) 8·69 (4·42–17·67) 5·75 (3·6–11·91) 11·46 (2045) 1·96 (1·73–2·23) 1·50 (0·98–2·45) 1·29 (0·96–2·17)
Georgia 3·69 (3·37–4·04) 2·78 (1·39–5·26) 1·85 (1·06–3·56) 3·69 (2017) 2·05 (1·86–2·25) 1·59 (1·01–2·55) 1·38 (0·95–2·25)
Kazakhstan 17·90 (16·48–19·23) 30·28 (17·99–48·62) 23·24 (13·87–38·52) 30·28 (2100) 2·39 (2·16–2·63) 1·97 (1·29–2·8) 1·81 (1·12–2·63)
Kyrgyzstan 6·37 (5·59–7·10) 12·45 (6·11–23·68) 6·03 (2·56–12·97) 12·45 (2100) 2·78 (2·59–2·97) 2·25 (1·4–3·29) 1·67 (1·0–2·67)
Mongolia 3·25 (2·87–3·62) 6·07 (1·78–19·73) 4·41 (1·47–14·43) 6·07 (2100) 2·70 (2·49–2·91) 1·98 (0·98–4·27) 1·81 (0·96–3·96)
Tajikistan 9·24 (8·19–10·25) 23·76 (14·82–34·95) 8·20 (4·47–13·75) 23·76 (2100) 3·55 (3·22–3·87) 2·25 (1·68–2·86) 1·54 (1·03–2·14)
Turkmenistan 4·98 (4·56–5·4) 8·96 (3·49–21·58) 5·94 (2·58–15·39) 8·96 (2100) 2·76 (2·47–3·11) 1·91 (1·01–3·51) 1·66 (0·97–3·19)
Uzbekistan 32·24 (24·56–39·91) 44·18 (23·4–76·27) 34·38 (17·71–60·95) 44·99 (2076) 2·35 (2·14–2·57) 1·89 (1·23–2·65) 1·75 (1·12–2·54)
Central Europe 114·80 (112·04–117·49) 52·30 (39·66–70·26) 44·51 (34·98–59·28) 114·80 (2017) 1·43 (1·29–1·59) 1·35 (1·04–1·74) 1·25 (0·96–1·65)
Albania 2·77 (2·47–3·07) 1·97 (1·41–2·7) 1·32 (1·02–1·81) 2·86 (2031) 1·88 (1·63–2·18) 1·49 (1·08–1·97) 1·17 (0·96–1·55)
Bosnia and Herzegovina 3·40 (3·09–3·72) 1·42 (1·13–1·72) 1·19 (0·97–1·45) 3·40 (2017) 1·26 (1·17–1·36) 1·19 (1·0–1·45) 1·09 (0·97–1·31)
Bulgaria 7·05 (6·53–7·58) 2·62 (1·82–3·89) 2·28 (1·71–3·3) 7·05 (2017) 1·47 (1·29–1·67) 1·25 (0·95–1·76) 1·21 (0·94–1·72)
Croatia 4·28 (3·83–4·73) 1·62 (1·27–2·00) 1·22 (1·00–1·48) 4·28 (2017) 1·37 (1·3–1·45) 1·39 (1·13–1·69) 1·15 (0·98–1·37)
Czech Republic 10·59 (10·52–10·67) 6·73 (4·95–9·24) 6·04 (4·67–8·26) 10·60 (2020) 1·58 (1·45–1·73) 1·37 (0·99–1·87) 1·31 (0·96–1·82)
Hungary 9·73 (8·74–10·79) 5·20 (3·62–7·99) 4·53 (3·40–6·82) 9·73 (2017) 1·43 (1·26–1·61) 1·38 (0·98–2·01) 1·25 (0·95–1·86)
Montenegro 0·63 (0·56–0·69) 0·44 (0·38–0·52) 0·30 (0·25–0·34) 0·63 (2022) 1·67 (1·59–1·76) 1·62 (1·42–1·82) 1·18 (1·03–1·34)
North Macedonia 2·17 (1·82–2·52) 1·27 (1·07–1·51) 0·92 (0·8–1·09) 2·19 (2024) 1·51 (1·41–1·61) 1·39 (1·2–1·62) 1·11 (0·97–1·3)
Poland 38·39 (38·12–38·67) 15·42 (11·67–20·66) 13·66 (10·87–18·07) 38·39 (2017) 1·31 (1·16–1·48) 1·17 (0·96–1·55) 1·14 (0·96–1·5)
Romania 19·43 (17·34–21·55) 7·77 (5·02–13·3) 6·60 (4·62–11·17) 19·43 (2017) 1·56 (1·4–1·74) 1·28 (0·92–2·0) 1·24 (0·93–1·93)
Serbia 8·87 (7·85–9·84) 4·14 (3·31–5·14) 3·18 (2·64–3·85) 8·87 (2017) 1·37 (1·21–1·56) 1·34 (1·09–1·62) 1·13 (0·96–1·36)
Slovakia 5·42 (5·01–5·82) 2·56 (1·93–3·47) 2·29 (1·80–3·08) 5·42 (2018) 1·39 (1·23–1·58) 1·30 (0·99–1·70) 1·24 (0·97–1·65)
Slovenia 2·07 (2·05–2·09) 1·15 (0·89–1·50) 0·99 (0·79–1·28) 2·07 (2018) 1·52 (1·39–1·66) 1·36 (1·04–1·77) 1·26 (0·98–1·62)
Eastern Europe 210·20 (192·44–228·28) 133·75 (81·62–226·07) 112·57 (73·79–190·72) 210·20 (2017) 1·55 (1·35–1·79) 1·45 (0·94–2·25) 1·34 (0·88–2·14)
Belarus 9·49 (8·37–10·56) 5·53 (3·72–8·89) 4·91 (3·46–7·84) 9·49 (2017) 1·57 (1·4–1·78) 1·40 (0·99–2·08) 1·34 (0·96–1·96)
Estonia 1·31 (1·3–1·33) 0·82 (0·56–1·24) 0·70 (0·49–1·04) 1·31 (2017) 1·57 (1·38–1·79) 1·48 (1·0–2·13) 1·36 (0·96–2·02)
Latvia 1·95 (1·93–1·96) 0·43 (0·22–0·77) 0·34 (0·17–0·66) 1·95 (2017) 1·58 (1·39–1·79) 1·37 (0·96–2·03) 1·31 (0·93–1·92)
Lithuania 2·85 (2·83–2·87) 1·47 (0·92–2·33) 1·24 (0·85–2·01) 2·85 (2017) 1·62 (1·44–1·82) 1·44 (0·99–2·16) 1·37 (0·96–2·07)
Moldova 3·72 (3·15–4·28) 1·51 (0·94–2·51) 1·27 (0·88–2·0) 3·72 (2017) 1·31 (1·16–1·49) 1·32 (0·97–1·96) 1·19 (0·94–1·8)
Russia 146·19 (129·8–162·59) 106·45 (66·58–178·81) 89·37 (59·76–155·49) 146·19 (2017) 1·61 (1·39–1·85) 1·43 (0·96–2·23) 1·32 (0·92–2·12)
Ukraine 44·69 (37·16–51·85) 17·55 (11·25–28·24) 14·74 (10·32–22·82) 44·69 (2017) 1·40 (1·22–1·61) 1·32 (0·96–1·92) 1·20 (0·94–1·77)
High income 1074·89 (1033·31–1116·72) 956·89 (763·16–1215·89) 827·90 (667·17–1052·54) 1135·08 (2041) 1·67 (1·52–1·84) 1·59 (1·25–1·98) 1·45 (1·12–1·83)
Australasia 28·39 (26·43–30·17) 42·35 (31·04–58·1) 36·02 (26·53–48·89) 42·39 (2096) 1·89 (1·71–2·09) 1·71 (1·22–2·29) 1·55 (1·07–2·11)
Australia 23·94 (22·09–25·64) 36·34 (26·99–49·76) 31·06 (23·32–41·75) 36·38 (2096) 1·86 (1·65–2·09) 1·69 (1·19–2·26) 1·52 (1·06–2·07)
New Zealand 4·45 (4·04–4·85) 6·01 (3·82–9·5) 4·97 (3·31–8·06) 6·01 (2095) 2·10 (1·92–2·32) 1·71 (1·07–2·54) 1·56 (1·01–2·4)
High-income Asia Pacific 187·03 (175·66–198·89) 93·70 (69·78–137·27) 84·10 (66·98–121·59) 187·03 (2017) 1·30 (1·15–1·47) 1·33 (0·95–1·97) 1·23 (0·91–1·82)
Brunei 0·43 (0·39–0·48) 0·42 (0·25–0·68) 0·30 (0·2–0·48) 0·53 (2050) 1·88 (1·74–2·03) 1·67 (1·06–2·44) 1·37 (0·99–2·06)
Japan 128·36 (118·33–139·14) 59·72 (42·89–91·91) 52·69 (42·12–79·96) 128·36 (2017) 1·33 (1·11–1·59) 1·32 (0·96–2·03) 1·20 (0·95–1·85)
Singapore 5·57 (4·91–6·19) 6·78 (5·4–9·68) 6·39 (5·23–9·04) 8·04 (2062) 1·26 (1·05–1·52) 1·27 (0·91–1·99) 1·22 (0·89–1·95)
South Korea 52·67 (48·44–56·79) 26·78 (20·94–36·35) 24·72 (20·26–32·79) 54·29 (2031) 1·24 (1·18–1·30) 1·24 (0·94–1·78) 1·20 (0·92–1·68)
High-income North America 360·88 (324·22–398·6) 379·95 (282·96–509·77) 322·69 (244·94–432·12) 408·40 (2064) 1·79 (1·65–1·95) 1·54 (1·13–2·03) 1·40 (1·03–1·86)
Canada 35·98 (33·29–38·59) 44·09 (36·8–53·16) 37·06 (32·09–43·28) 45·17 (2078) 1·66 (1·42–1·94) 1·58 (1·29–1·90) 1·37 (1·12–1·64)
Greenland 0·06 (0·06–0·06) 0·05 (0·03–0·07) 0·03 (0·02–0·05) 0·06 (2039) 2·02 (1·79–2·26) 1·52 (1·08–2·06) 1·29 (0·99–1·79)
USA 324·84 (288·6–362·83) 335·81 (247·53–456·32) 285·59 (215·82–385·94) 363·75 (2062) 1·81 (1·68–1·95) 1·53 (1·1–2·02) 1·40 (1·02–1·86)
Southern Latin America 65·61 (60·27–70·62) 66·50 (46·02–93·09) 55·32 (38·37–78·46) 78·02 (2057) 2·06 (1·9–2·25) 1·58 (1·14–2·06) 1·48 (1·05–1·98)
Argentina 44·27 (39·11–49·25) 48·27 (31·99–70·54) 39·62 (26·4–57·99) 54·59 (2062) 2·17 (2·02–2·33) 1·62 (1·14–2·13) 1·51 (1·04–2·06)
Chile 17·92 (16·67–19·08) 15·52 (11·73–20·64) 13·43 (10·59–17·41) 20·29 (2046) 1·81 (1·59–2·06) 1·37 (1·04–1·78) 1·29 (1·01–1·68)
Uruguay 3·42 (3·06–3·77) 2·71 (2·07–3·51) 2·27 (1·77–2·92) 3·60 (2042) 1·97 (1·72–2·27) 1·44 (1·16–1·76) 1·37 (1·08–1·70)
Western Europe 432·97 (420·94–445·9) 374·39 (303·66–465·27) 329·75 (270·49–410·49) 447·92 (2038) 1·59 (1·43–1·78) 1·64 (1·28–2·05) 1·50 (1·16–1·88)
Andorra 0·08 (0·08–0·08) 0·03 (0·03–0·04) 0·03 (0·03–0·04) 0·08 (2021) 1·20 (1·06–1·35) 1·23 (1·02–1·50) 1·17 (1·0–1·44)
Austria 8·79 (8·73–8·86) 6·58 (5·22–8·37) 6·01 (4·83–7·60) 9·07 (2033) 1·51 (1·38–1·66) 1·37 (1·02–1·76) 1·31 (1·00–1·71)
Belgium 11·32 (11·23–11·41) 13·48 (10·41–17·46) 11·57 (9·08–14·8) 13·63 (2084) 1·69 (1·52–1·87) 1·60 (1·21–2·06) 1·46 (1·05–1·9)
Cyprus 1·26 (1·14–1·39) 0·79 (0·66–1·00) 0·76 (0·64–0·96) 1·37 (2038) 1·01 (0·87–1·17) 1·18 (0·96–1·52) 1·16 (0·95–1·49)
Denmark 5·73 (5·68–5·78) 6·06 (4·17–8·66) 4·88 (3·66–6·96) 6·24 (2071) 1·75 (1·57–1·95) 1·66 (1·08–2·31) 1·39 (0·99–1·98)
Finland 5·52 (5·47–5·56) 5·24 (4·04–6·70) 4·59 (3·61–5·83) 5·73 (2038) 1·64 (1·47–1·83) 1·60 (1·22–2·01) 1·47 (1·1–1·85)
France 65·71 (59·68–71·56) 67·15 (53·33–85·37) 60·13 (47·63–76·53) 70·64 (2046) 1·84 (1·66–2·05) 1·78 (1·42–2·20) 1·65 (1·28–2·07)
Germany 83·29 (74·7–92·02) 66·42 (53·96–80·86) 60·06 (49·98–72·53) 85·08 (2035) 1·39 (1·24–1·57) 1·35 (1·05–1·69) 1·26 (1·0–1·58)
Greece 10·40 (9·3–11·47) 5·48 (4·07–7·64) 4·73 (3·78–6·5) 10·40 (2017) 1·42 (1·27–1·6) 1·29 (0·97–1·82) 1·19 (0·97–1·68)
Iceland 0·34 (0·33–0·34) 0·38 (0·25–0·56) 0·32 (0·21–0·49) 0·40 (2063) 1·83 (1·68–2·00) 1·72 (1·16–2·40) 1·59 (1·04–2·25)
Ireland 4·86 (4·52–5·22) 5·44 (3·76–8·27) 4·82 (3·3–7·29) 5·77 (2057) 1·84 (1·64–2·07) 1·68 (1·1–2·46) 1·57 (1·01–2·32)
Israel 8·95 (7·82–10·12) 24·07 (13·89–41·48) 17·65 (10·4–30·45) 24·07 (2100) 2·90 (2·64–3·19) 2·36 (1·45–3·54) 2·05 (1·19–3·19)
Italy 60·60 (60·15–61·03) 30·54 (24·61–39·44) 27·79 (23·41–35·51) 60·60 (2017) 1·33 (1·18–1·5) 1·23 (0·99–1·64) 1·17 (0·98–1·58)
Luxembourg 0·59 (0·59–0·6) 0·71 (0·57–0·88) 0·64 (0·52–0·79) 0·77 (2063) 1·48 (1·35–1·61) 1·50 (1·13–1·9) 1·39 (1·06–1·79)
Malta 0·43 (0·39–0·48) 0·29 (0·23–0·36) 0·26 (0·22–0·33) 0·44 (2027) 1·49 (1·32–1·68) 1·27 (1·0–1·64) 1·21 (0·96–1·57)
Netherlands 17·03 (16·89–17·18) 13·58 (10·59–17·52) 11·15 (8·92–13·76) 17·50 (2033) 1·66 (1·49–1·85) 1·59 (1·24–2·01) 1·39 (1·06–1·73)
Norway 5·26 (5·22–5·31) 7·47 (5·15–10·95) 6·47 (4·65–9·82) 7·47 (2099) 1·74 (1·59–1·9) 1·67 (1·09–2·35) 1·52 (1·02–2·28)
Portugal 10·68 (9·53–11·86) 4·50 (3·43–6·1) 4·16 (3·29–5·68) 10·68 (2017) 1·29 (1·14–1·48) 1·26 (0·98–1·73) 1·21 (0·97–1·7)
Spain 46·39 (42·86–49·88) 22·91 (17·89–32·95) 21·54 (17·39–30·84) 46·43 (2019) 1·35 (1·23–1·49) 1·24 (0·96–1·83) 1·21 (0·96–1·78)
Sweden 10·04 (9·34–10·73) 13·11 (9·77–17·63) 10·72 (8·2–14·34) 13·11 (2100) 1·84 (1·69–1·99) 1·72 (1·24–2·31) 1·46 (1·02–2·01)
Switzerland 8·59 (7·91–9·21) 8·33 (7·09–9·84) 7·39 (6·42–8·52) 9·82 (2048) 1·50 (1·34–1·67) 1·43 (1·17–1·73) 1·28 (1·04–1·54)
UK 66·64 (60·8–72·58) 71·45 (55·76–90·29) 63·74 (50·26–82·78) 74·87 (2063) 1·73 (1·55–1·94) 1·61 (1·21–2·04) 1·50 (1·13–1·96)
Latin America and Caribbean 581·95 (553·22–607·72) 575·16 (429·01–787·74) 467·80 (348·39–651·4) 715·51 (2055) 2·18 (1·99–2·4) 1·58 (1·22–2·01) 1·50 (1·13–1·94)
Andean Latin America 61·45 (59·14–63·65) 93·29 (58·24–148·05) 69·71 (42·09–112·88) 97·44 (2078) 2·82 (2·57–3·1) 1·79 (1·17–2·51) 1·69 (1·09–2·39)
Bolivia 11·54 (10·29–12·73) 23·45 (13·29–40·55) 15·82 (8·81–28·66) 23·46 (2099) 3·24 (2·92–3·61) 1·79 (1·07–2·71) 1·66 (1·03–2·59)
Ecuador 16·69 (14·86–18·48) 18·02 (9·97–32·78) 14·54 (8·8–25·8) 21·89 (2060) 2·27 (1·93–2·67) 1·47 (0·99–2·25) 1·39 (0·98–2·14)
Peru 33·22 (33·06–33·36) 51·81 (31·48–85·24) 39·34 (22·54–66·38) 53·92 (2079) 2·96 (2·64–3·33) 1·75 (1·1–2·61) 1·63 (1·04–2·44)
Caribbean 46·27 (43·67–48·92) 31·75 (18·27–54·94) 22·94 (13·48–41·52) 50·19 (2040) 2·24 (2·05–2·44) 1·55 (1·08–2·22) 1·51 (1·02–2·2)
Antigua and Barbuda 0·09 (0·08–0·1) 0·06 (0·04–0·07) 0·05 (0·04–0·06) 0·10 (2037) 1·51 (1·28–1·78) 1·26 (1·01–1·57) 1·22 (1·0–1·54)
The Bahamas 0·38 (0·33–0·42) 0·28 (0·19–0·41) 0·24 (0·17–0·35) 0·42 (2041) 1·54 (1·28–1·85) 1·38 (1·0–1·88) 1·32 (0·98–1·78)
Barbados 0·30 (0·26–0·33) 0·18 (0·13–0·25) 0·15 (0·12–0·21) 0·30 (2031) 1·43 (1·2–1·7) 1·36 (1·02–1·78) 1·22 (0·99–1·64)
Belize 0·39 (0·35–0·44) 0·51 (0·35–0·76) 0·44 (0·32–0·65) 0·60 (2066) 2·23 (1·96–2·53) 1·32 (1·0–1·9) 1·28 (0·99–1·83)
Bermuda 0·07 (0·06–0·07) 0·03 (0·03–0·05) 0·03 (0·02–0·04) 0·07 (2022) 1·30 (1·16–1·46) 1·33 (1·01–1·76) 1·27 (1·0–1·7)
Cuba 11·38 (10·25–12·44) 4·52 (2·49–9·0) 4·07 (2·37–8·24) 11·38 (2017) 1·51 (1·43–1·6) 1·41 (0·98–2·24) 1·35 (0·97–2·15)
Dominica 0·07 (0·06–0·08) 0·04 (0·03–0·08) 0·04 (0·02–0·07) 0·07 (2033) 1·60 (1·35–1·92) 1·41 (0·99–2·16) 1·35 (0·99–2·14)
Dominican Republic 10·45 (9·31–11·57) 7·73 (4·22–13·55) 5·52 (2·82–10·34) 12·09 (2047) 2·37 (2·04–2·75) 1·46 (1·01–2·1) 1·39 (1·0–2·01)
Grenada 0·11 (0·1–0·12) 0·07 (0·04–0·13) 0·06 (0·04–0·11) 0·11 (2036) 1·88 (1·59–2·23) 1·43 (0·99–2·24) 1·37 (0·98–2·17)
Guyana 0·74 (0·67–0·82) 0·59 (0·38–0·84) 0·29 (0·18–0·44) 0·83 (2048) 2·50 (2·16–2·88) 1·61 (1·27–1·95) 1·31 (1·02–1·65)
Haiti 11·82 (9·85–13·74) 12·94 (5·93–26·7) 8·19 (4·28–18·56) 16·25 (2058) 3·14 (2·81–3·52) 1·42 (0·98–2·42) 1·39 (0·99–2·39)
Jamaica 2·78 (2·47–3·08) 0·85 (0·41–1·63) 0·71 (0·33–1·39) 2·78 (2023) 1·58 (1·39–1·79) 1·36 (1·0–1·88) 1·31 (1·0–1·87)
Puerto Rico 3·67 (3·24–4·09) 1·11 (0·83–1·47) 1·04 (0·81–1·37) 3·67 (2017) 1·21 (1·1–1·33) 1·19 (1·0–1·46) 1·16 (0·99–1·45)
Saint Lucia 0·18 (0·16–0·2) 0·11 (0·09–0·15) 0·10 (0·08–0·13) 0·19 (2038) 1·54 (1·28–1·84) 1·28 (1·01–1·66) 1·22 (1·0–1·6)
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines 0·11 (0·1–0·13) 0·05 (0·02–0·09) 0·04 (0·02–0·07) 0·11 (2017) 1·86 (1·56–2·2) 1·37 (0·99–1·99) 1·31 (0·98–1·91)
Suriname 0·57 (0·52–0·63) 0·54 (0·31–0·95) 0·39 (0·24–0·67) 0·66 (2051) 2·20 (1·91–2·53) 1·50 (1·01–2·25) 1·34 (0·98–2·09)
Trinidad and Tobago 1·39 (1·24–1·55) 0·91 (0·56–1·58) 0·69 (0·49–1·17) 1·43 (2033) 1·70 (1·49–1·94) 1·37 (0·98–2·11) 1·22 (0·97–1·93)
Virgin Islands 0·10 (0·09–0·12) 0·07 (0·03–0·15) 0·06 (0·03–0·13) 0·10 (2017) 2·04 (1·74–2·38) 1·71 (1·03–2·65) 1·60 (1·01–2·56)
Central Latin America 255·49 (238·67–271·43) 277·23 (212·16–369·14) 216·55 (165·24–288·6) 334·73 (2059) 2·35 (2·12–2·63) 1·52 (1·23–1·9) 1·44 (1·12–1·83)
Colombia 50·61 (43·06–58·08) 46·55 (37·52–57·43) 42·36 (33·74–53·16) 61·49 (2052) 2·12 (1·82–2·45) 1·45 (1·18–1·75) 1·38 (1·09–1·66)
Costa Rica 4·65 (4·18–5·15) 3·87 (2·73–5·94) 3·50 (2·49–5·51) 5·48 (2049) 1·75 (1·61–1·92) 1·30 (0·99–1·89) 1·27 (0·99–1·86)
El Salvador 6·09 (5·31–6·83) 1·43 (0·83–2·51) 1·06 (0·67–1·71) 6·27 (2029) 1·95 (1·7–2·22) 1·32 (1·02–1·68) 1·27 (1·0–1·62)
Guatemala 16·92 (14·23–19·63) 21·89 (12·54–43·16) 17·51 (11·06–34·45) 25·56 (2067) 2·80 (2·41–3·24) 1·32 (0·96–2·33) 1·31 (0·97–2·28)
Honduras 9·50 (8·57–10·41) 14·39 (9·06–22·6) 11·18 (7·34–17·84) 15·91 (2072) 2·89 (2·51–3·36) 1·48 (1·01–2·16) 1·41 (1·01–2·07)
Mexico 126·57 (112·47–141·47) 145·97 (117·7–184·64) 107·62 (84·36–134·39) 170·71 (2062) 2·42 (2·07–2·86) 1·44 (1·18–1·71) 1·36 (1·08–1·63)
Nicaragua 6·40 (5·48–7·34) 4·81 (2·2–10·53) 3·84 (1·94–8·73) 7·92 (2049) 2·46 (2·1–2·88) 1·44 (0·99–2·37) 1·39 (0·99–2·27)
Panama 3·92 (3·48–4·38) 6·94 (5·19–9·14) 5·00 (3·89–6·69) 6·94 (2100) 2·31 (1·97–2·69) 1·81 (1·39–2·29) 1·48 (1·11–1·93)
Venezuela 30·83 (27·57–34·14) 31·37 (17·79–55·21) 24·48 (14·22–43·11) 38·05 (2056) 2·24 (1·99–2·52) 1·63 (1·07–2·35) 1·52 (1·03–2·27)
Tropical Latin America 218·74 (195·05–242·09) 172·89 (116·09–257·01) 158·60 (110·0–239·95) 244·46 (2044) 1·78 (1·61–1·99) 1·47 (1·03–2·04) 1·40 (0·98–2·0)
Brazil 211·81 (187·73–234·87) 164·75 (114·27–240·69) 151·64 (108·04–225·76) 235·49 (2043) 1·76 (1·58–1·97) 1·44 (1·03–1·97) 1·37 (1·01–1·93)
Paraguay 6·93 (5·88–8·05) 8·14 (4·52–13·93) 6·96 (3·68–12·18) 9·42 (2063) 2·55 (2·18–2·97) 1·84 (1·18–2·6) 1·70 (1·06–2·49)
North Africa and Middle East 600·18 (579·17–621·86) 978·20 (714·8–1403·72) 697·16 (491·18–1041·03) 996·53 (2084) 2·71 (2·51–2·94) 1·78 (1·29–2·49) 1·69 (1·13–2·44)
Afghanistan 32·85 (22·83–42·06) 129·77 (99·93–163·5) 42·72 (30·95–56·47) 129·78 (2099) 6·01 (5·71–6·3) 1·65 (1·34–1·98) 1·36 (1·05–1·68)
Algeria 40·46 (35·82–45·76) 78·83 (42·12–138·32) 60·07 (32·98–108·92) 78·83 (2100) 2·81 (2·49–3·12) 2·01 (1·11–3·17) 1·82 (1·02–3·01)
Bahrain 1·47 (1·31–1·64) 1·86 (1·44–2·43) 1·54 (1·23–1·99) 2·25 (2057) 2·05 (1·87–2·22) 1·37 (1·03–1·8) 1·28 (1·0–1·71)
Egypt 96·48 (90·07–102·86) 199·06 (100·92–389·44) 163·92 (78·68–318·32) 199·06 (2100) 2·66 (2·43–2·91) 2·08 (1·24–3·18) 1·91 (1·1–2·97)
Iran 82·18 (75·84–88·06) 70·00 (37·48–155·1) 62·23 (35·86–134·17) 95·32 (2049) 1·73 (1·47–2·03) 1·55 (1·0–2·77) 1·48 (0·98–2·68)
Iraq 43·30 (31·84–54·1) 108·12 (81·77–140·03) 73·25 (57·14–96·24) 108·19 (2097) 3·76 (3·42–4·15) 1·53 (1·1–1·95) 1·39 (1·01–1·84)
Jordan 10·65 (9·76–11·56) 21·17 (13·45–33·82) 14·13 (9·05–23·47) 21·39 (2090) 3·05 (2·8–3·35) 1·70 (1·09–2·46) 1·51 (1·02–2·26)
Kuwait 4·26 (3·82–4·71) 4·54 (2·72–11·2) 4·15 (2·64–9·8) 5·67 (2057) 1·42 (1·28–1·57) 1·47 (0·88–3·15) 1·44 (0·88–3·1)
Lebanon 8·51 (5·68–11·78) 8·75 (6·44–11·72) 6·56 (4·94–8·57) 11·54 (2058) 2·40 (2·06–2·81) 1·45 (1·15–1·76) 1·37 (1·07–1·69)
Libya 6·91 (5·97–7·83) 8·58 (4·33–18·42) 6·99 (3·79–14·63) 9·11 (2062) 2·12 (1·78–2·55) 1·66 (1·0–3·01) 1·57 (0·98–2·85)
Morocco 35·49 (32·61–38·85) 32·80 (24·7–42·98) 28·44 (21·38–37·14) 42·45 (2051) 2·14 (1·88–2·45) 1·39 (1·06–1·79) 1·33 (1·02–1·73)
Oman 4·54 (4·51–4·56) 9·30 (6·61–13·15) 6·56 (4·96–9·2) 9·30 (2098) 2·55 (2·3–2·81) 1·64 (1·08–2·3) 1·40 (1·0–2·03)
Palestine 4·85 (4·53–5·16) 9·85 (7·43–12·79) 5·56 (4·2–7·07) 10·06 (2087) 3·49 (3·16–3·86) 1·80 (1·46–2·13) 1·49 (1·17–1·79)
Qatar 2·75 (2·53–2·98) 2·33 (1·65–3·28) 1·88 (1·39–2·71) 3·53 (2052) 2·04 (1·87–2·22) 1·51 (1·04–2·12) 1·39 (1·01–2·0)
Saudi Arabia 34·44 (30·56–38·38) 33·04 (20·11–64·71) 27·30 (19·0–50·78) 44·68 (2052) 1·67 (1·47–1·88) 1·39 (0·97–2·49) 1·32 (0·97–2·37)
Sudan 40·26 (34·71–45·49) 81·94 (64·79–100·52) 51·16 (41·32–62·99) 84·37 (2086) 4·22 (3·86–4·62) 1·45 (1·16–1·74) 1·27 (1·02–1·55)
Syria 18·13 (15·31–20·58) 13·46 (7·19–25·63) 10·15 (6·41–19·48) 20·12 (2044) 2·17 (1·88–2·51) 1·38 (0·95–2·18) 1·28 (0·93–2·13)
Tunisia 11·44 (10·35–12·47) 11·68 (7·67–18·46) 9·93 (6·71–15·74) 13·63 (2055) 1·77 (1·52–2·09) 1·52 (1·01–2·29) 1·44 (1·0–2·22)
Turkey 80·46 (80·02–80·94) 101·64 (79·79–127·94) 86·10 (70·31–109·64) 112·51 (2068) 1·79 (1·61–2·0) 1·34 (1·01–1·73) 1·26 (1·0–1·63)
United Arab Emirates 9·73 (8·43–11·17) 3·45 (2·54–4·79) 3·15 (2·37–4·36) 10·17 (2029) 1·31 (1·17–1·49) 1·27 (1·0–1·72) 1·23 (0·99–1·71)
Yemen 30·45 (25·79–35·17) 47·13 (31·0–65·81) 30·70 (20·55–45·36) 56·15 (2069) 4·53 (4·16–4·96) 1·39 (1·02–1·82) 1·33 (1·01–1·78)
South Asia 1782·68 (1637·81–1941·51) 1441·70 (955·35–2242·79) 1200·21 (853·24–1858·76) 2117·38 (2049) 2·27 (2·04–2·54) 1·33 (0·96–1·90) 1·27 (0·95–1·82)
Bangladesh 156·98 (140·23–173·23) 81·30 (55·58–120·99) 74·19 (52·72–110·08) 173·49 (2039) 2·00 (1·81–2·22) 1·19 (0·99–1·59) 1·17 (0·99–1·56)
Bhutan 0·96 (0·82–1·09) 0·77 (0·54–1·14) 0·72 (0·52–1·05) 1·19 (2051) 1·98 (1·76–2·27) 1·35 (1·02–1·83) 1·30 (1·01–1·79)
India 1380·56 (1235·54–1535·78) 1093·15 (724·48–1714·29) 929·87 (663·75–1443·47) 1605·60 (2048) 2·14 (1·93–2·39) 1·29 (0·99–1·89) 1·24 (0·98–1·8)
Nepal 29·89 (26·62–32·83) 18·09 (11·14–34·73) 15·55 (10·34–29·96) 34·57 (2043) 2·21 (1·96–2·52) 1·20 (0·98–1·91) 1·19 (0·98–1·89)
Pakistan 214·29 (198·94–228·96) 248·39 (151·17–427·14) 179·88 (120·72–320·32) 314·08 (2062) 3·40 (2·99–3·9) 1·31 (0·99–2·04) 1·27 (0·99–1·99)
Southeast Asia, east Asia, and Oceania 2158·80 (1981·55–2321·29) 1437·41 (979·55–2435·23) 1263·48 (864·11–2156·81) 2249·56 (2032) 1·72 (1·63–1·83) 1·61 (1·14–2·44) 1·50 (1·03–2·36)
East Asia 1485·71 (1316·09–1646·5) 768·13 (463·86–1587·39) 733·09 (457·41–1486·17) 1506·02 (2024) 1·52 (1·43–1·61) 1·47 (0·91–2·66) 1·41 (0·89–2·56)
China 1412·48 (1244·31–1571·26) 731·89 (455·61–1499·32) 699·74 (452·81–1402·01) 1431·91 (2024) 1·53 (1·43–1·63) 1·47 (0·96–2·55) 1·41 (0·95–2·49)
North Korea 25·72 (22·82–28·77) 12·98 (10·6–15·87) 11·01 (8·87–13·29) 26·08 (2028) 1·32 (1·17–1·51) 1·30 (1·09–1·53) 1·22 (1·03–1·45)
Taiwan (province of China) 23·58 (23·4–23·77) 10·89 (8·32–14·78) 10·53 (8·29–14·58) 23·87 (2027) 1·04 (0·92–1·19) 1·30 (0·98–1·8) 1·26 (0·95–1·78)
Oceania 12·60 (11·58–13·65) 34·16 (25·28–44·82) 14·28 (11·29–18·26) 34·16 (2100) 4·02 (3·67–4·37) 1·99 (1·58–2·56) 1·41 (1·1–1·88)
American Samoa 0·06 (0·05–0·06) 0·11 (0·06–0·2) 0·07 (0·04–0·12) 0·11 (2100) 2·92 (2·55–3·34) 2·13 (1·37–3·06) 1·67 (1·03–2·56)
Federated States of Micronesia 0·10 (0·09–0·12) 0·17 (0·1–0·29) 0·11 (0·07–0·18) 0·17 (2094) 2·72 (2·42–3·07) 1·79 (1·14–2·58) 1·48 (1·0–2·22)
Fiji 0·91 (0·85–0·97) 1·12 (0·67–1·71) 0·62 (0·38–0·92) 1·14 (2077) 2·61 (2·3–2·96) 1·98 (1·48–2·51) 1·61 (1·17–2·09)
Guam 0·17 (0·15–0·19) 0·27 (0·07–0·7) 0·17 (0·05–0·5) 0·27 (2100) 2·95 (2·71–3·19) 2·26 (1·06–3·95) 1·92 (0·99–3·64)
Kiribati 0·12 (0·11–0·13) 0·34 (0·24–0·48) 0·14 (0·1–0·19) 0·34 (2100) 3·71 (3·26–4·2) 2·32 (1·82–2·9) 1·40 (1·02–1·86)
Marshall Islands 0·06 (0·05–0·06) 0·08 (0·05–0·11) 0·06 (0·04–0·09) 0·08 (2074) 2·86 (2·55–3·22) 1·75 (1·31–2·2) 1·63 (1·21–2·13)
Northern Mariana Islands 0·04 (0·04–0·05) 0·04 (0·03–0·06) 0·03 (0·02–0·04) 0·05 (2039) 2·06 (1·82–2·31) 1·72 (1·32–2·18) 1·48 (1·11–1·91)
Papua New Guinea 9·23 (8·26–10·22) 27·01 (20·42–34·21) 11·37 (9·41–13·71) 27·01 (2100) 4·21 (3·83–4·59) 1·83 (1·52–2·18) 1·32 (1·08–1·57)
Samoa 0·20 (0·18–0·21) 1·06 (0·08–3·56) 0·17 (0·02–1·01) 1·06 (2100) 4·69 (4·23–5·22) 4·47 (2·26–7·32) 2·51 (1·02–5·21)
Solomon Islands 0·64 (0·56–0·71) 1·08 (0·61–1·69) 0·29 (0·18–0·47) 1·18 (2078) 4·20 (3·8–4·64) 1·91 (1·44–2·43) 1·41 (1·04–1·84)
Tonga 0·10 (0·1–0·11) 0·31 (0·18–0·51) 0·13 (0·08–0·24) 0·31 (2100) 3·17 (2·77–3·61) 2·62 (1·81–3·67) 1·48 (0·99–2·46)
Vanuatu 0·29 (0·27–0·31) 0·68 (0·52–0·88) 0·34 (0·26–0·46) 0·68 (2097) 3·73 (3·41–4·12) 1·77 (1·41–2·13) 1·40 (1·05–1·75)
Southeast Asia 660·48 (625·64–694·46) 635·12 (457·86–894·48) 516·10 (371·34–744·67) 786·84 (2052) 2·08 (1·88–2·32) 1·61 (1·21–2·07) 1·49 (1·11–1·99)
Cambodia 16·12 (14·15–18·18) 15·93 (10·77–24·35) 13·14 (9·58–20·41) 20·77 (2056) 2·73 (2·49–3·04) 1·30 (1·0–1·9) 1·27 (0·99–1·85)
Indonesia 258·13 (228·44–286·87) 228·69 (141·13–387·53) 202·69 (128·87–346·57) 300·51 (2047) 1·97 (1·7–2·3) 1·51 (1·01–2·21) 1·43 (1·0–2·14)
Laos 6·97 (6·44–7·47) 6·81 (5·23–8·77) 5·45 (4·25–7·1) 9·23 (2056) 2·90 (2·64–3·21) 1·28 (1·01–1·6) 1·24 (1·0–1·55)
Malaysia 30·64 (27·09–34·12) 41·33 (31·7–54·14) 35·13 (27·51–45·19) 44·19 (2070) 2·02 (1·81–2·26) 1·64 (1·26–2·08) 1·53 (1·18–1·97)
Maldives 0·46 (0·42–0·5) 0·57 (0·37–1·01) 0·48 (0·34–0·83) 0·68 (2062) 1·87 (1·72–2·02) 1·38 (0·96–2·36) 1·32 (0·95–2·26)
Mauritius 1·27 (1·15–1·4) 0·72 (0·5–1·12) 0·66 (0·49–1·02) 1·30 (2031) 1·32 (1·22–1·44) 1·27 (0·97–1·88) 1·23 (0·97–1·82)
Myanmar 52·80 (48·36–57·31) 49·77 (36·66–69·05) 45·82 (34·4–64·21) 63·51 (2051) 2·02 (1·85–2·21) 1·38 (1·03–1·84) 1·32 (1·02–1·79)
Philippines 103·47 (94·56–111·89) 169·46 (117·16–237·9) 107·03 (70·59–159·4) 173·28 (2085) 3·12 (2·85–3·45) 1·78 (1·3–2·3) 1·59 (1·1–2·1)
Seychelles 0·10 (0·09–0·11) 0·09 (0·05–0·16) 0·07 (0·04–0·14) 0·11 (2042) 2·15 (1·9–2·43) 1·68 (1·05–2·54) 1·57 (1·02–2·46)
Sri Lanka 21·60 (19·45–23·8) 10·45 (6·85–15·11) 7·31 (4·49–10·97) 22·34 (2031) 1·80 (1·52–2·11) 1·46 (1·11–1·87) 1·38 (1·06–1·77)
Thailand 70·63 (62·64–78·58) 34·66 (26·07–49·31) 33·20 (25·66–47·55) 71·97 (2028) 1·21 (1·07–1·38) 1·28 (1·0–1·76) 1·24 (0·99–1·73)
Timor-Leste 1·29 (1·19–1·39) 2·94 (2·16–3·93) 1·69 (1·24–2·24) 2·94 (2098) 4·14 (3·63–4·69) 1·81 (1·39–2·26) 1·39 (1·04–1·82)
Vietnam 96·14 (84·73–108·05) 72·85 (51·69–104·23) 62·76 (45·22–89·57) 107·25 (2044) 1·85 (1·68–2·05) 1·39 (1·02–1·86) 1·33 (1·01–1·79)
Sub-Saharan Africa 1026·04 (988·37–1062·59) 3071·21 (2477·11–3838·43) 1584·66 (1226·15–2057·39) 3071·21 (2100) 4·62 (4·33–4·93) 1·73 (1·42–2·06) 1·52 (1·18–1·89)
Central sub-Saharan Africa 121·67 (99·15–143·25) 343·47 (251·51–459·5) 161·60 (118·8–225·04) 343·76 (2097) 4·88 (4·62–5·13) 1·70 (1·29–2·18) 1·38 (1·06–1·81)
Angola 28·20 (25·98–30·71) 84·34 (69·18–101·51) 46·71 (38·24–56·04) 84·68 (2095) 5·12 (4·72–5·54) 1·55 (1·3–1·81) 1·41 (1·14–1·68)
Central African Republic 4·62 (3·94–5·33) 2·56 (1·52–3·74) 1·17 (0·62–1·8) 5·15 (2041) 3·56 (3·18–4·0) 1·34 (1·1–1·63) 1·15 (1·0–1·4)
Congo (Brazzaville) 4·91 (4·24–5·61) 5·20 (3·76–6·95) 3·92 (2·79–5·3) 6·72 (2059) 3·30 (2·99–3·66) 1·29 (1·02–1·63) 1·24 (1·01–1·58)
Democratic Republic of the Congo 80·88 (57·85–102·65) 246·35 (170·29–346·15) 106·12 (73·79–156·78) 246·35 (2100) 5·05 (4·73–5·37) 1·75 (1·27–2·3) 1·34 (1·01–1·85)
Equatorial Guinea 1·35 (1·24–1·45) 3·03 (2·49–3·65) 2·09 (1·83–2·35) 3·17 (2083) 3·88 (3·36–4·44) 1·39 (1·21–1·55) 1·29 (1·13–1·44)
Gabon 1·70 (1·55–1·86) 1·99 (1·55–2·53) 1·60 (1·27–2·02) 2·47 (2063) 2·79 (2·47–3·17) 1·30 (1·03–1·62) 1·25 (1·01–1·54)
Eastern sub-Saharan Africa 393·18 (375·73–410·77) 1056·10 (843·46–1316·08) 570·85 (443·91–734·14) 1062·77 (2093) 4·65 (4·36–4·98) 1·73 (1·43–2·04) 1·48 (1·15–1·83)
Burundi 10·91 (9·54–12·33) 42·57 (23·09–71·74) 14·89 (8·04–30·36) 42·57 (2100) 5·30 (4·99–5·65) 1·61 (1·0–2·53) 1·46 (1·0–2·39)
Comoros 0·72 (0·61–0·83) 0·78 (0·53–1·14) 0·51 (0·37–0·77) 0·99 (2060) 3·39 (2·92–3·9) 1·39 (1·03–1·88) 1·22 (0·99–1·69)
Djibouti 1·11 (0·98–1·23) 1·19 (0·86–1·58) 0·91 (0·68–1·22) 1·59 (2057) 3·82 (3·33–4·34) 1·33 (1·04–1·71) 1·28 (1·01–1·65)
Eritrea 5·86 (4·22–7·49) 7·01 (5·45–8·75) 4·90 (3·92–5·9) 9·05 (2062) 4·03 (3·55–4·57) 1·27 (1·12–1·44) 1·22 (1·06–1·38)
Ethiopia 102·88 (89·58–116·2) 223·45 (180·08–276·35) 153·93 (124·17–192·18) 240·29 (2080) 4·79 (4·42–5·2) 1·33 (1·04–1·63) 1·28 (1·02–1·59)
Kenya 48·33 (42·49–53·83) 74·14 (43·62–121·46) 59·25 (34·84–98·73) 83·85 (2071) 3·38 (2·95–3·84) 1·59 (1·03–2·29) 1·49 (1·01–2·15)
Madagascar 26·11 (20·4–31·8) 105·77 (70·49–159·25) 42·22 (28·81–63·17) 105·77 (2100) 4·89 (4·36–5·45) 1·61 (1·16–2·15) 1·45 (1·02–2·0)
Malawi 17·19 (14·94–19·28) 36·52 (28·13–46·18) 25·73 (19·35–33·03) 38·73 (2080) 4·46 (4·16–4·79) 1·60 (1·29–1·92) 1·51 (1·16–1·87)
Mozambique 30·04 (27·82–32·01) 46·36 (35·88–58·68) 32·08 (25·71–40·46) 54·73 (2070) 4·16 (3·84–4·49) 1·26 (1·01–1·52) 1·20 (1·0–1·48)
Rwanda 12·55 (11·27–13·78) 33·02 (20·94–47·92) 19·57 (13·0–29·36) 33·33 (2092) 4·43 (4·01–4·91) 1·49 (1·01–2·08) 1·41 (1·0–2·02)
Somalia 16·88 (12·48–21·43) 62·52 (47·58–77·67) 6·59 (4·33–9·24) 62·52 (2100) 6·10 (5·72–6·5) 2·57 (2·24–2·88) 1·31 (1·18–1·45)
South Sudan 9·94 (8·73–11·24) 68·95 (52·11–88·18) 17·54 (13·85–21·6) 68·95 (2100) 5·93 (5·56–6·35) 2·46 (2·07–2·83) 1·30 (1·03–1·58)
Tanzania 53·97 (48·57–59·61) 185·96 (129·06–258·26) 88·79 (59·28–129·12) 185·96 (2100) 4·79 (4·44–5·18) 1·60 (1·12–2·1) 1·46 (1·01–1·99)
Uganda 39·08 (35·69–42·45) 119·86 (102·59–138·26) 73·35 (61·22–86·28) 120·63 (2093) 5·24 (4·99–5·51) 1·72 (1·48–1·97) 1·60 (1·32–1·87)
Zambia 17·36 (15·31–19·45) 47·33 (33·77–63·96) 30·22 (20·43–42·41) 47·65 (2093) 4·68 (4·21–5·22) 1·69 (1·23–2·12) 1·58 (1·1–2·04)
Southern sub-Saharan Africa 77·37 (71·35–83·41) 124·03 (81·94–180·27) 96·98 (61·99–144·44) 125·14 (2087) 2·62 (2·38–2·9) 1·92 (1·39–2·54) 1·77 (1·24–2·38)
Botswana 2·28 (2·05–2·53) 3·09 (2·19–4·41) 2·78 (1·96–3·94) 3·41 (2067) 2·36 (2·2–2·53) 1·61 (1·15–2·15) 1·51 (1·07–2·02)
eSwatini 1·12 (1·05–1·2) 1·54 (0·84–2·63) 1·20 (0·64–2·08) 1·72 (2068) 3·04 (2·65–3·51) 1·63 (1·03–2·35) 1·54 (1·01–2·26)
Lesotho 1·95 (1·67–2·21) 2·13 (1·5–2·93) 1·65 (1·11–2·33) 2·55 (2061) 2·87 (2·63–3·16) 1·57 (1·24–1·91) 1·47 (1·12–1·86)
Namibia 2·35 (2·11–2·6) 4·33 (3·39–5·49) 3·75 (2·94–4·82) 4·39 (2086) 3·01 (2·76–3·3) 1·79 (1·44–2·16) 1·66 (1·31–2·03)
South Africa 54·95 (49·03–60·64) 74·69 (53·07–101·36) 60·36 (41·88–84·31) 77·97 (2073) 2·29 (2·05–2·61) 1·70 (1·28–2·19) 1·57 (1·14–2·03)
Zimbabwe 14·71 (13·32–16·04) 38·25 (18·75–70·08) 27·24 (11·74–52·86) 38·25 (2100) 3·78 (3·53–4·04) 2·22 (1·46–3·12) 2·03 (1·21–2·96)
Western sub-Saharan Africa 433·82 (413·56–453·7) 1547·61 (1215·77–1972·7) 755·23 (564·94–1007·71) 1547·61 (2100) 4·94 (4·63–5·27) 1·70 (1·38–2·07) 1·53 (1·14–1·95)
Benin 11·59 (10·51–12·74) 30·30 (23·72–38·02) 17·45 (14·1–21·57) 31·06 (2088) 4·78 (4·44–5·17) 1·33 (1·07–1·63) 1·25 (1·02–1·53)
Burkina Faso 21·12 (18·12–24·13) 71·89 (52·65–94·98) 34·25 (25·43–45·13) 72·11 (2096) 5·40 (5·07–5·77) 1·41 (1·04–1·8) 1·35 (1·01–1·72)
Cameroon 27·77 (23·78–31·89) 43·10 (31·7–57·42) 32·84 (23·58–44·69) 49·67 (2071) 3·94 (3·51–4·42) 1·41 (1·06–1·81) 1·35 (1·02–1·74)
Cape Verde 0·55 (0·48–0·61) 0·50 (0·34–0·81) 0·46 (0·32–0·74) 0·68 (2053) 2·19 (1·82–2·61) 1·33 (0·99–2·01) 1·30 (0·98–1·97)
Chad 15·22 (13·39–17·03) 123·32 (101·78–148·38) 32·91 (27·13–39·34) 123·32 (2100) 6·72 (6·42–7·04) 2·19 (1·9–2·54) 1·46 (1·23–1·71)
Côte d'Ivoire 24·97 (22·78–27·06) 60·60 (36·7–103·99) 35·06 (24·56–63·47) 61·50 (2090) 4·50 (4·13–4·93) 1·35 (0·98–2·24) 1·32 (1·0–2·24)
The Gambia 2·13 (1·93–2·33) 3·63 (2·92–4·4) 2·26 (1·86–2·72) 4·10 (2074) 4·14 (3·69–4·66) 1·32 (1·09–1·56) 1·22 (1·01–1·45)
Ghana 30·21 (26·66–33·57) 51·91 (36·61–73·17) 36·29 (26·62–52·53) 55·12 (2079) 3·47 (3·02–3·98) 1·43 (1·01–1·95) 1·35 (1·0–1·86)
Guinea 11·82 (10·84–12·84) 26·79 (19·56–35·59) 14·11 (11·12–18·93) 27·93 (2084) 4·63 (4·38–4·9) 1·36 (1·03–1·73) 1·21 (1·01–1·58)
Guinea-Bissau 1·86 (1·63–2·07) 3·42 (2·09–5·64) 2·23 (1·54–3·81) 3·75 (2076) 4·63 (4·23–5·04) 1·33 (1·0–2·06) 1·29 (1·0–2·01)
Liberia 4·72 (4·14–5·28) 7·46 (5·79–9·22) 5·00 (3·9–6·28) 8·70 (2071) 4·25 (3·84–4·74) 1·32 (1·08–1·57) 1·27 (1·02–1·52)
Mali 20·25 (17·82–22·67) 85·21 (65·68–109·09) 34·82 (26·47–45·41) 85·21 (2100) 6·02 (5·72–6·37) 1·47 (1·13–1·82) 1·39 (1·05–1·77)
Mauritania 3·91 (3·56–4·29) 8·87 (5·97–13·47) 6·30 (4·67–9·57) 9·19 (2085) 4·15 (3·85–4·5) 1·34 (0·99–2·02) 1·31 (0·99–1·97)
Niger 21·38 (19·34–23·65) 185·04 (129·68–257·03) 57·81 (40·17–81·88) 185·04 (2100) 7·08 (6·76–7·43) 1·79 (1·34–2·25) 1·65 (1·16–2·15)
Nigeria 206·09 (188·25–224·28) 790·73 (594·39–1055·64) 408·54 (292·03–567·19) 790·73 (2100) 5·11 (4·71–5·51) 1·69 (1·25–2·16) 1·57 (1·11–2·07)
São Tomé and Príncipe 0·20 (0·18–0·22) 0·20 (0·14–0·28) 0·16 (0·12–0·22) 0·28 (2058) 3·25 (2·83–3·71) 1·25 (1·0–1·63) 1·21 (1·0–1·6)
Senegal 14·69 (13·24–16·1) 32·21 (21·14–47·97) 18·79 (13·11–29·99) 33·77 (2083) 4·57 (4·23–4·97) 1·34 (1·0–1·97) 1·30 (1·0–1·95)
Sierra Leone 7·83 (7·21–8·48) 12·03 (8·72–16·31) 8·03 (6·02–10·88) 14·20 (2070) 4·25 (3·83–4·7) 1·28 (1·02–1·66) 1·23 (1·01–1·59)
Togo 7·52 (6·72–8·35) 10·39 (7·35–13·92) 7·90 (5·96–10·86) 12·39 (2068) 3·82 (3·54–4·12) 1·27 (1·0–1·68) 1·23 (1·0–1·65)

Data in parentheses are 95% uncertainty intervals, unless specified otherwise. The SDG pace scenario had a custom rate of change that would allow all locations to meet the SDG targets for educational attainment and contraceptive met need by 2030. Population and total fertility rate values are presented as means. Estimates in 2017 are from GBD 2017 estimates. Peak population was calculated from 1990 up to 2100. Super-regions, regions, and countries are listed in alphabetical order. GBD=Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study. SDG=Sustainable Development Goal.