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. 2019 Dec 20;112(10):1047–1054. doi: 10.1093/jnci/djz238

Table 2.

Association of oral leukoplakia with risk of oral cavity cancer compared with the KPNC population, 1997–2012

Anatomic site Overall
<12 mo after leukoplakia diagnosis
≥12 mo after leukoplakia diagnosis
No. observed SIR (95% CI)* No. observed SIR (95% CI)* No. observed SIR (95% CI)*
All oral cavity cancers 161 40.8 (34.8 to 47.6) 73 103.3 (81.0 to 129.9) 88 27.2 (21.8 to 33.5)
 Lip 9 11.3 (5.2 to 21.4) 3 22.1 (4.6 to 64.5) 6 9.3 (3.4 to 20.2)
 Tongue 112 99.6 (82.0 to 119.9) 47 267.9 (196.8 to 356.2) 65 69.1 (53.3 to 88.1)
 Gingiva 5 32.3 (10.5 to 75.3) 2 85.8 (10.4 to 309.8) 3 23.2 (4.8 to 67.8)
 Floor of mouth 13 61.5 (32.7 to 105.1) 11 306.3 (152.9 to 548.0) 2 11.6 (1.4 to 41.7)
 Palate 9 43.2 (19.8 to 82.0) 3 86.5 (17.8 to 252.8) 6 35.2 (12.9 to 76.5)
 Other mouth 13 60.9 (32.4 to 104.1) 7 223.8 (90.0 to 461.1) 6 33.4 (12.3 to 72.7)
*

SIRs and exact 95% Poisson confidence intervals for the comparison of oral cavity cancer incidence between patients with oral leukoplakia (n = 4886) vs the entire KPNC population. SIRs were adjusted for age, sex, and calendar year. CI = confidence interval; KPNC = Kaiser Permanente Northern California; SIR = standardized incidence ratio.