Table 6.
Country-specific predicted dates of peak numbers of cases according to strict interventions
| Country | Strict interventions (Lockdowns and closure of educational institutes) | Days to reach peak (days) | Peak number of cases* |
|---|---|---|---|
| China |
January 23-January 29 |
16-21 |
February 13-February14 |
| South Korea |
February 18-February 23 |
11-14 |
February 29-March 3 |
|
Predicted dates of peak numbers of cases:* | |||
| Italy |
March 4-March 11 |
16-21 |
March 20-April 1 |
| Iran |
March 16 |
16-21 |
April 1-April 6 |
| Spain |
March 14 |
16-21 |
March 30-April 4 |
| Germany |
March 22 |
16-21 |
April 7-April 12 |
| USA |
March 22-March 30 |
16-21 |
April 7-April 20 |
| India | March 25 | 16-21 | April 10-April 15 |
*Predicted dates based on implementation of strict lockdown of non-essential businesses, school, and public gathering. We have taken 16-21 days, keeping in mind the effect of China's model of interventions.