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. 2020 Oct 17;101:409–411. doi: 10.1016/j.ijid.2020.10.027

Fig. 1.

Fig. 1

Daily COVID-19 cases from January 25 to August 31, 2020, shown as vertical bars. Vertical dashed lines indicate the start of control measures. Solid curved lines represent the predicted number of daily cases for the second wave based on two exponential models, one for the growth phase starting from February 27 to March 26 (asterisk), and another for the decay phase starting from March 27 to May 3, a day before the CMCO. Dotted lines represent the corresponding 95% confidence interval.