Table 1.
Type of distribution used in the model | –2 log-likelihood |
Number of model parameters (k) |
AICa (–2 log-likelihood + 2k) |
Serial interval (days) | |
|
|
|
|
Median (95% CI) | 95th percentile (95% CI) |
Weibull | 520.30 | 2 | 524.30 | 5.83 (5.18-6.54) | 12.51 (11.28-13.95) |
Log-normal | 488.55 | 2 | 492.55 | 5.40 (5.06-6.07) | 11.96 (10.43-13.82) |
Log-logistic | 492.46 | 2 | 496.46 | 5.44 (4.96-5.98) | 12.15 (10.44-14.39) |
Gamma | 500.15 | 2 | 504.15 | 5.77 (5.23-6.33) | 11.79 (10.52 -13.22) |
Generalized gamma | 482.97 | 3 | 488.97 | 5.23 (4.72-5.79) | 13.20 (10.90-18.18) |
aAIC: Akaike information criterion.