Table 5. Estimate, standard error (SE) and 95% confidence interval (CI_95%) of the parameters of the hyper-logistic growth model fitted using the log-normal distribution to the COVID-19 daily case reporting data from Italy for the first two weeks (RMSE = 92.16, R² = 99.68%) and for the first three weeks (RMSE = 224.41, R² = 99.87%) from 2020-02-20.

Peak	Data of the first two weeks			Data of the first three weeks
statistic	Estimate	SE	CI95%	Estimate	SE	CI95%
Time (day)	43.38	2.34	[39.04, 48.22]	38.97	1.14	[36.80, 41.27]
New positive cases	3793.60	433.34	[3032.63, 4745.53]	4733.35	325.46	[4136.58, 5416.22]

Notes: RMSE = root mean square error.