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. 2020 Aug 26;43(11):2796–2803. doi: 10.2337/dc20-1005

Table 4.

Adjusted mean change* in BMI and WC per 1-SD increment in 20-year change, Y0, or Y20 APDQS

Each 1-SD (13-point) increment Concurrent 20-year change (Y0–Y20) Subsequent 10-year change (Y20–Y30)
β SE P value β SE P value
BMI, kg/m2 (n = 2,436)
 20-year change (Y0–20) −0.39 0.14 0.004 −0.17 0.10 0.09
 Y0 −0.65 0.14 <0.001 −0.37 0.11 <0.001
 Y20 −0.24 0.09 0.008
WC, cm (n = 2,434)
 20-year change (Y0–20) −0.90 0.27 <0.001 −0.10 0.21 0.64
 Y0 −1.35 0.29 <0.001 −0.77 0.22 <0.001
 Y20 −0.31 0.19 0.10
Weight, kg (n = 2,439)
 20-year change (Y0–20) −1.14 0.33 <0.001 −0.05 0.23 0.84
 Y0 −1.65 0.36 <0.001 −0.61 0.25 0.014
 Y20 −0.20 0.21 0.32
*

Multivariable linear models are reported. Model was adjusted for current age, sex, race (White or Black), total energy intake (Y0 and 20-year change), smoking status (Y0; never, former, and current), physical activity level (Y0 and 20-year change; tertiles), and highest grade of education achieved during follow-up.

Joint predictor models. Each model included Y0 APDQS and 20-year change in APDQS. Depending on outcome variables, the following variables were also included in the model: Y0 BMI for concurrent 20-year change in BMI, Y20 BMI for subsequent 10-year change in BMI, Y0 WC for concurrent 20-year change in WC, and Y20 WC for subsequent 10-year change in WC, Y0 weight for concurrent 20-year change in weight, and Y20 weight for subsequent 10-year change in weight.

Single predictor models.