Table 2.
Modelled change in the R ratio over time on day 7, day 14, and day 28 after the introduction of different composites of NPIs
| Day 7 | Day 14 | Day 28 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate 1: ban on public events and gatherings of more than ten people | 0·94 (0·85–1·03) | 0·87 (0·73–1·05) | 0·71 (0·55–0·93) |
| Candidate 2: workplace closure plus ban on public events and gatherings of more than ten people | 0·84 (0·76–0·93) | 0·78 (0·64–0·94) | 0·62 (0·47–0·82) |
| Candidate 3: Workplace closure plus ban on public events and gatherings of more than ten people plus internal movement limits | 0·81 (0·71–0·92) | 0·76 (0·60–0·95) | 0·58 (0·41–0·81) |
| Candidate 4: School and workplace closure plus ban on public events and gatherings of more than ten people plus internal movement limits plus stay at home requirement | 0·65 (0·54–0·78) | 0·58 (0·42–0·78) | 0·48 (0·32–0·71) |
Data are R ratio (95% CI). The reference period is the day before introduction of an NPI. An R ratio of more than 1 indicates increased transmission, and an R ratio of less than 1 indicates decreased transmission. NPI=non-pharmaceutical intervention. R=time-varying reproduction number.