Table 3. Estimated Cumulative Case Rates in Hypothetical Scenarios of No SAHOs and Full SAHOs.
Days since first reporting | Expected estimated value of cumulative case ratea | |
---|---|---|
Without SAHOs | With SAHOs | |
1 | 0.083 | 0.025 |
5 | 0.418 | 0.130 |
10 | 2.497 | 0.775 |
15 | 11.572 | 3.592 |
20 | 41.618 | 12.920 |
25 | 116.144 | 36.057 |
30 | 251.511 | 78.081 |
35 | 422.632 | 131.206 |
40 | 551.078 | 171.082 |
45 | 557.582 | 173.101 |
Abbreviation: SAHO, stay-at-home order.
Log values were retransformed to levels using exponentiation to obtain estimated values.