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. 2020 Oct 23;3(10):e2026010. doi: 10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2020.26010

Table 3. Estimated Cumulative Case Rates in Hypothetical Scenarios of No SAHOs and Full SAHOs.

Days since first reporting Expected estimated value of cumulative case ratea
Without SAHOs With SAHOs
1 0.083 0.025
5 0.418 0.130
10 2.497 0.775
15 11.572 3.592
20 41.618 12.920
25 116.144 36.057
30 251.511 78.081
35 422.632 131.206
40 551.078 171.082
45 557.582 173.101

Abbreviation: SAHO, stay-at-home order.

a

Log values were retransformed to levels using exponentiation to obtain estimated values.