Table 3.

Summary of the scenarios

	Shock in production capacity in			Shock in
	Agriculture (%)	Industry (%)	Services (%)	Exports demand (%)	Remittances (%)
Optimistic scenario (COVID1)	− 4	− 5	− 5	− 10	− 10
Pessimistic scenario (COVID2)	− 10	− 10	− 10	− 20	− 20

Shock to production capacity reflects a direct shock to sectoral productivity