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. 2020 Oct 26;96(1):183–202. doi: 10.1016/j.mayocp.2020.10.022

Table 4.

Risk Factor Identification With Multivariate Analysis (31 Studies)a

Risk factor Associated with: No. of studies and references
Demographic-related
 Advanced age Death; disease progression; unfavorable outcomesb; development of ARDS; myocardial injury; lower odds of hospital discharge 185,28,43,54,55,59,63,65,68,72,75,81,84,93,94,97,99,109
 Male Death; disease progression; development of severe respiratory failure; disease refractoriness 555,63,85,89,99
Symptom-related
 Dyspnea Death; development of critical illness 368,72,109
 Hemoptysis Development of critical illness 168
 Unconsciousness Development of critical illness 168
 Anorexia on admission Disease refractoriness 189
 Fever on admission A protective factor for disease refractoriness 189
 Hypoxia Death; disease progression; SpO2-FiO2 ratio negatively correlated with the incidence of ARDS 528,61,72,93,97
Comorbidity-related
 Presence of any comorbidity (not specific) Death; disease progression 428,54,63,81
 No. of comorbidities Development of critical illness 168
 Hypertension Death; disease progression; myocardial injury 443,55,60,97
 Diabetes Unfavorable outcomes 159
 Cardiovascular disease (not specific) Death 1106
 Coronary heart disease Death; myocardial injury 394,97,109
 Chronic heart failure Death; myocardial injury 243,94
 Cardiac arrhythmia Death 194
 Cerebrovascular disease Death 1109
 COPD Death; myocardial injury 343,94,106
 Chronic renal failure Myocardial injury 143
 Cancer Development of critical illness 168
 Smoking Death; unfavorable outcomes 259,94
Complication-related
 ARDS Death 1106
 PE Invasive mechanical ventilation 190
 Organ dysfunction (not specific) Death; development of ARDS 284,93
 Critical disease status Unfavorable outcomes 159
Laboratory-related
 Leukocytosis Unfavorable outcomes 159
 Lymphopenia Death; disease progression; higher lymphocyte count associated with decreasing mortality 528,60,62,81,93
 Decreased CD4 cell count Disease progression 161
 Neutrophilia Death; development of ARDS; unfavorable outcomes 359,84,97
 Neutrophil- lymphocyte ratio Disease progression 263,68
 Elevated CRP Death; development of critical illness; myocardial injury 443,60,65,97
 Elevated procalcitonin Death 1109
 Elevated IL-6 Disease progression 252,56
 Elevated AST Death 297,109
 Direct bilirubin Development of critical illness 265,68
 Elevated troponin Death; cardiac ejection fraction (TTE); unfavorable outcomes 343,59,70
 Elevated CK-MB Death 143
 Elevated LDH Death; development of critical illness 665,68,75,81,93,97
 Elevated D-dimer Death; development of ARDS 35,84,97
 Serum amyloid A Disease progression 162
 suPAR Development of severe respiratory failure 185
 Detectable serum SARS-CoV-2 viral load Poor prognosis 152
 GFR Death; log hs-TnT was independently associated with estimated GFR 270,97
 Higher BUN Disease progression 165
 Lower albumin Disease progression 165
 RDW Disease progression 165
Imaging-related
 Chest radiographic abnormality Development of critical illness 168
 Visual or software quantification of extent of CT lung abnormality Predictors of ICU admission or death: %V-WAL <73%; %S-WAL <71%; VOLWAL <2.9 L 191
Severity score–related
 High SOFA score Death 25,20
 High APACHE II score Death 120
Treatment-related
 ACEI/ARB Log hs-TnT independently associated with the use of ACEI/ARB 170
 Antiviral treatment Lower odds of hospital discharge 175
 Early time from illness onset to antiviral treatment Improvement of prognosis 154
 Administration of hypnotics Protective effects on patient outcomes 159
Predictive models
 Host risk score Severe COVID-19: older age, male, presence of hypertension 155
 Risk nomogram Severe COVID-19: older age, higher LDH, CRP, RDW, DBIL, and BUN, and lower ALB 165
 Clinical risk score (Web-based calculator) Development of critical illness: chest radiographic abnormality, age, hemoptysis, dyspnea, unconsciousness, number of comorbidities, cancer history, neutrophil- lymphocyte ratio, lactate dehydrogenase, and direct bilirubin 168
 CALL score Disease progression: older age, comorbidity, lymphopenia, and increased LDH (>500 U/L)c 181
 Clinical predictors In-hospital mortality: age, history of hypertension and coronary heart disease 197
 Laboratory predictors In-hospital mortality: age, hs-CRP, SpO2, neutrophil and lymphocyte count, D-dimer, AST and GFR 197
a

ACEI, angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitor; ALB, albumin; APACHE, Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation; ARB, angiotensin receptor blocker; ARDS, acute respiratory distress syndrome; AST, aspartate aminotransferase; BUN, serum urea nitrogen; CALL, comorbidity, age, lymphocytes, and lactate dehydrogenase; CK-MB, creatine kinase myocardial band; COPD, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease; COVID-19, coronavirus disease 2019; CRP, C-reactive protein; CT, computed tomography; DBIL, direct bilirubin; FIO2, fraction of inspired oxygen; GFR, glomerular filtration rate; hs-CRP, high-sensitivity CRP; hs-TnT, high-sensitivity troponin T; ICU, intensive care unit; IL-6, interleukin 6; LDH, lactate dehydrogenase; PE, pulmonary embolism; RDW, coefficient of variation of red blood cell distribution width; SARS-CoV-2, severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2; SOFA, Sequential Organ Failure Assessment; SpO2, peripheral capillary oxygen saturation; suPAR, soluble urokinase plasminogen activator receptor; %S-WAL, software-based assessment of well-aerated lung percentage; TTE, transthoracic echocardiogram; VOLWAL, open-source software assessment of well-aerated lung absolute volume; %V-WAL, visual assessment of well-aerated lung percentage.

b

Unfavorable clinical outcome included death, progression, and/or maintenance of severity status.

c

SI conversion factor: To convert LDH value to μkat/L, multiply by 0.0167.