Table 4.
Risk Factor Identification With Multivariate Analysis (31 Studies)a
| Risk factor | Associated with: | No. of studies and references |
|---|---|---|
| Demographic-related | ||
| Advanced age | Death; disease progression; unfavorable outcomesb; development of ARDS; myocardial injury; lower odds of hospital discharge | 185,28,43,54,55,59,63,65,68,72,75,81,84,93,94,97,99,109 |
| Male | Death; disease progression; development of severe respiratory failure; disease refractoriness | 555,63,85,89,99 |
| Symptom-related | ||
| Dyspnea | Death; development of critical illness | 368,72,109 |
| Hemoptysis | Development of critical illness | 168 |
| Unconsciousness | Development of critical illness | 168 |
| Anorexia on admission | Disease refractoriness | 189 |
| Fever on admission | A protective factor for disease refractoriness | 189 |
| Hypoxia | Death; disease progression; SpO2-FiO2 ratio negatively correlated with the incidence of ARDS | 528,61,72,93,97 |
| Comorbidity-related | ||
| Presence of any comorbidity (not specific) | Death; disease progression | 428,54,63,81 |
| No. of comorbidities | Development of critical illness | 168 |
| Hypertension | Death; disease progression; myocardial injury | 443,55,60,97 |
| Diabetes | Unfavorable outcomes | 159 |
| Cardiovascular disease (not specific) | Death | 1106 |
| Coronary heart disease | Death; myocardial injury | 394,97,109 |
| Chronic heart failure | Death; myocardial injury | 243,94 |
| Cardiac arrhythmia | Death | 194 |
| Cerebrovascular disease | Death | 1109 |
| COPD | Death; myocardial injury | 343,94,106 |
| Chronic renal failure | Myocardial injury | 143 |
| Cancer | Development of critical illness | 168 |
| Smoking | Death; unfavorable outcomes | 259,94 |
| Complication-related | ||
| ARDS | Death | 1106 |
| PE | Invasive mechanical ventilation | 190 |
| Organ dysfunction (not specific) | Death; development of ARDS | 284,93 |
| Critical disease status | Unfavorable outcomes | 159 |
| Laboratory-related | ||
| Leukocytosis | Unfavorable outcomes | 159 |
| Lymphopenia | Death; disease progression; higher lymphocyte count associated with decreasing mortality | 528,60,62,81,93 |
| Decreased CD4 cell count | Disease progression | 161 |
| Neutrophilia | Death; development of ARDS; unfavorable outcomes | 359,84,97 |
| Neutrophil- lymphocyte ratio | Disease progression | 263,68 |
| Elevated CRP | Death; development of critical illness; myocardial injury | 443,60,65,97 |
| Elevated procalcitonin | Death | 1109 |
| Elevated IL-6 | Disease progression | 252,56 |
| Elevated AST | Death | 297,109 |
| Direct bilirubin | Development of critical illness | 265,68 |
| Elevated troponin | Death; cardiac ejection fraction (TTE); unfavorable outcomes | 343,59,70 |
| Elevated CK-MB | Death | 143 |
| Elevated LDH | Death; development of critical illness | 665,68,75,81,93,97 |
| Elevated D-dimer | Death; development of ARDS | 35,84,97 |
| Serum amyloid A | Disease progression | 162 |
| suPAR | Development of severe respiratory failure | 185 |
| Detectable serum SARS-CoV-2 viral load | Poor prognosis | 152 |
| GFR | Death; log hs-TnT was independently associated with estimated GFR | 270,97 |
| Higher BUN | Disease progression | 165 |
| Lower albumin | Disease progression | 165 |
| RDW | Disease progression | 165 |
| Imaging-related | ||
| Chest radiographic abnormality | Development of critical illness | 168 |
| Visual or software quantification of extent of CT lung abnormality | Predictors of ICU admission or death: %V-WAL <73%; %S-WAL <71%; VOLWAL <2.9 L | 191 |
| Severity score–related | ||
| High SOFA score | Death | 25,20 |
| High APACHE II score | Death | 120 |
| Treatment-related | ||
| ACEI/ARB | Log hs-TnT independently associated with the use of ACEI/ARB | 170 |
| Antiviral treatment | Lower odds of hospital discharge | 175 |
| Early time from illness onset to antiviral treatment | Improvement of prognosis | 154 |
| Administration of hypnotics | Protective effects on patient outcomes | 159 |
| Predictive models | ||
| Host risk score | Severe COVID-19: older age, male, presence of hypertension | 155 |
| Risk nomogram | Severe COVID-19: older age, higher LDH, CRP, RDW, DBIL, and BUN, and lower ALB | 165 |
| Clinical risk score (Web-based calculator) | Development of critical illness: chest radiographic abnormality, age, hemoptysis, dyspnea, unconsciousness, number of comorbidities, cancer history, neutrophil- lymphocyte ratio, lactate dehydrogenase, and direct bilirubin | 168 |
| CALL score | Disease progression: older age, comorbidity, lymphopenia, and increased LDH (>500 U/L)c | 181 |
| Clinical predictors | In-hospital mortality: age, history of hypertension and coronary heart disease | 197 |
| Laboratory predictors | In-hospital mortality: age, hs-CRP, SpO2, neutrophil and lymphocyte count, D-dimer, AST and GFR | 197 |
ACEI, angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitor; ALB, albumin; APACHE, Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation; ARB, angiotensin receptor blocker; ARDS, acute respiratory distress syndrome; AST, aspartate aminotransferase; BUN, serum urea nitrogen; CALL, comorbidity, age, lymphocytes, and lactate dehydrogenase; CK-MB, creatine kinase myocardial band; COPD, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease; COVID-19, coronavirus disease 2019; CRP, C-reactive protein; CT, computed tomography; DBIL, direct bilirubin; FIO2, fraction of inspired oxygen; GFR, glomerular filtration rate; hs-CRP, high-sensitivity CRP; hs-TnT, high-sensitivity troponin T; ICU, intensive care unit; IL-6, interleukin 6; LDH, lactate dehydrogenase; PE, pulmonary embolism; RDW, coefficient of variation of red blood cell distribution width; SARS-CoV-2, severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2; SOFA, Sequential Organ Failure Assessment; SpO2, peripheral capillary oxygen saturation; suPAR, soluble urokinase plasminogen activator receptor; %S-WAL, software-based assessment of well-aerated lung percentage; TTE, transthoracic echocardiogram; VOLWAL, open-source software assessment of well-aerated lung absolute volume; %V-WAL, visual assessment of well-aerated lung percentage.
Unfavorable clinical outcome included death, progression, and/or maintenance of severity status.
SI conversion factor: To convert LDH value to μkat/L, multiply by 0.0167.