TABLE 1.
Risk stratification tools (cut‐off) | Setting | References | Reduced biopsies (%) | Reduced indolent PCa diagnosis (%) | Missed csPCa (%) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Univariable | |||||
PSA test (≥3.0 ng/mL) a | Population based screening | 5, 9, 12, 15, 16 | N/A | N/A | N/A |
MRI in triage setting (≥PI‐RADS 3) | Clinical suspicion | 50‐52 | 27‐29 | 20 | 3‐7 |
Multivariable | |||||
RPCRC (compared to PSA ≥3.0 ng/mL) | Clinical suspicion + biopsy naive | 41 | 33 | 14 | 7 |
RPCRC (compared to PSA ≥3.0 ng/mL) | Clinical suspicion + prior negative biopsy | 41 | 37 | 16 | 9 |
RPCRC (≥4%) | Clinical suspicion | 47 | 32 | 25 | 5 |
PCPTRC 2.0 (≥4%) | Clinical suspicion | 47 | 16 | 15 | 3 |
RPCRC + MRI (≥5%) | Clinical suspicion + biopsy naive | 65 | 2 | 10 | 15 |
RPCRC + MRI (≥5%) | Clinical suspicion + prior negative biopsy | 65 | 27 | 14 | 3 |
PHI (90% sensitivity) | Clinical suspicion | 75, 81 | 30‐56 | 31‐33 | 5–11 |
4K score (≥20%) | Clinical suspicion + biopsy naive | 90 | 74 | 38 | 26 |
4K score (≥20%) | Clinical suspicion + prior negative biopsy | 90 | 41 | 73 | 2 |
STHLM3 risk‐based model (≥10%) | Clinical suspicion | 108, 110 | 32‐53 | 17‐76 | 0 |
Note: Head to head comparisons cannot be made based on the data in this table and performance of risk stratification tools should be confirmed in an external validation.
In the population‐based screening studies there were no biopsies performed if the PSA was lower than 3.0 ng/mL. Therefore, it is not possible to assess the missed cancers following this strategy.