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. 2020 Oct 26;3:139. doi: 10.1038/s41746-020-00346-8

Table 2.

Performance metrics of recurrent neural network (RNN) and physicians on a balanced test set.

Threshold-independent metrics, (95% CI) Metrics based on a threshold of 0.5 for positive/negative classification, (95% CI)
AUC PR_AUC Brier Acc Sens Spec F1 FPR NPV PPV
RNN 0.901 (0.870–0.932) 0.907 (0.877–0.937) 0.122 (0.088–0.156) 0.846 (0.808–0.884) 0.851 (0.798–0.904) 0.840 (0.787–0.894) 0.847 (0.797–0.897) 0.160 (0.106–0.214) 0.850 (0.797–0.903) 0.842 (0.788–0.896)
Physicians 0.745 (0.699–0.791) 0.747 (0.701–0.793) 0.217 (0.174–0.260) 0.711 (0.664–0.759) 0.594 (0.521–0.667) 0.829 (0.773–0.884) 0.673 (0.609–0.738) 0.171 (0.116–0.227) 0.671 (0.601–0.741) 0.776 (0.715–0.838)

n = 350 admissions/patients.

AUC area under curve, PR_AUC precision-recall AUC, Brier Brier score, Acc accuracy, Sens sensitivity, Spec specificity, F1 F1-score, FPR false-positive rate, NPV negative predictive value, PPV positive predictive value, CI confidence interval.