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. 2020 Oct 26;10:18241. doi: 10.1038/s41598-020-75318-9

Table 1.

Estimate social ties and SARS memory effects on lead-time advantage.

Dependent variable
Lead-time Δti (C=3.0)
(1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6) (7)
SARSi 1.916*** 2.566*** 4.644 1.590***  − 2.276
(0.345) (0.664) (4.531) (0.593) (4.016)
Social ties Di  − 3.222***  − 2.753***  − 2.310***  − 1.476***  − 1.367***
(0.271) (0.286) (0.372) (0.315) (0.334)
DiSARSi  − 0.617***  − 0.660***  − 0.412**  − 0.453**
(0.238) (0.243) (0.206) (0.211)
logdi  − 3.567***  − 1.125  − 1.744***  − 2.139***
(0.527) (0.720) (0.490) (0.637)
logdiSARSi  − 0.267 0.583
(0.679) (0.599)
SubProvinciali 8.516*** 8.763***
(1.135) (1.163)
GDP_per_capitai 2.818*** 2.762***
(0.599) (0.602)
Constant  − 8.571*** 3.766*** 1.610 16.287*** 7.441*  − 22.169***  − 19.291**
(0.470) (1.007) (1.104) (3.523) (4.121) (7.068) (7.662)
Observations 306 306 306 306 306 305 305
R2 0.092 0.318 0.357 0.131 0.368 0.535 0.537
Adjusted R2 0.089 0.316 0.351 0.128 0.358 0.526 0.526
Residual SE 7.356 (df = 304) 6.376 (df = 304) 6.211 (df = 302) 7.196 (df = 304) 6.176 (df = 300) 5.312 (df = 298) 5.312 (df = 297)
F statistic 30.820*** (df = 1; 304) 141.645*** (df = 1; 304) 55.885*** (df = 3; 302) 45.859*** (df = 1; 304) 34.999*** (df = 5; 300) 57.218*** (df = 6; 298) 49.170*** (df = 7; 297)
AIC 2093.70 2006.20 1992.24 2080.25 1990.93 1893.62 1894.77

*p **p ***p < 0.01.