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. 2020 Oct 28;371:m3873. doi: 10.1136/bmj.m3873

Table 2.

Incidence rates and excess of cases of breast cancer compared with never use per 10 000 women years by different age categories and different durations and recency of hormone replacement therapy (HRT) use

HRT and duration of use by recency Age group (years)
50-59 60-69 70-79
Rate per 10 000 Extra cases Rate per 10 000 Extra cases Rate per 10 000 Extra cases
Never use 26 31 30
Oestrogen only:
 Recent use 1-5 years 29 3 35 4 38 8
 Recent use ≥5 years 28 36 5 38 8
Oestrogen-progestogen:
 Past use 1-5 years 25 33 2 35 5
 Past use ≥5 years 24 36 5 38 8
 Recent use 1-<5 years 35 9 46 15 49 19
 Recent use ≥5 years 41 15 57 26 66 36
Tibolone:
 Recent use 1-<5 years 28 35 4 38 8
 Recent use ≥5 years 31 40 9 45 15

Rates were estimated using rates in unexposed populations from Clinical Practice Research Datalink multiplied by adjusted odds ratios derived from subgroup analyses for different age categories (see fig 5). Extra cases were reported only for statistically significant findings. Recent use is within one and five years; past use is five years before the index date.