Table 5.
Associations of predictors with class membership.
| Class #1 (Low) as Referent | Class #2 (Rising) as Referent | Class #3 (Declining) as Referent | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Estimate (SE) | p-Value | Estimate (SE) | p-Value | Estimate (SE) | p-Value | |
| C#2 (rising) ON | ||||||
| Neighborhood poverty | 0.043(0.020) | .031 | ||||
| Bar/pub density | 0.040(0.023) | .084 | ||||
| Suggestions to get help | 1.406(0.690) | .042 | ||||
| AA involvement | −0.376(0.149) | .012 | ||||
| Drinkers in social network | 0.633(0.294) | .032 | ||||
| Returned to alcohol/drug treatment | 1.680(0.757) | .026 | ||||
| ASI psychiatric severity | 2.535(1.101) | .021 | ||||
| ASI drug severity | −2.823(4.097) | |||||
| Recruited from detoxification program | 0.771(0.513) | |||||
| Recruited from inpatient program | 0.363(0.362) | |||||
| Early onset of regular drinking | 0.200(0.368) | |||||
| Male gender | −0.216(0.325) | |||||
| Income above $25K | 0.238(0.333) | |||||
| Married/partnereda | 0.052(0.308) | |||||
| Less than high school | 0.550(0.412) | |||||
| More than high school | 0.037(0.355) | |||||
| Whitea | 0.341(0.346) | |||||
| C#3 (declining) ON | ||||||
| Neighborhood poverty | −0.004(0.025) | −0.047 (0.029) | ||||
| Bar/pub density | 0.055(0.024) | .020 | 0.014 (0.013) | |||
| Suggestions to get help | 2.563(0.537) | .000 | 1.157 (0.723) | |||
| AA involvement | −0.401(0.142) | .005 | −0.025 (0.172) | |||
| Drinkers in social network | −0.273(0.555) | −0.906 (0.481) | .060 | |||
| Returned to alcohol/drug treatment | 1.127(0.694) | −0.554 (0.803) | ||||
| ASI psychiatric severity | 0.153(1.516) | −2.382 (1.658) | ||||
| ASI drug severity | 2.293(4.627) | 5.117 (3.640) | ||||
| Recruited from detoxification program | 0.830(0.632) | 0.059 (0.734) | ||||
| Recruited from inpatient program | −0.535(0.404) | −0.897 (0.453) | .048 | |||
| Early onset of regular drinking | 0.576(0.396) | |||||
| Male gender | 0.489(0.370) | 0.705 (0.473) | ||||
| Income above $25K | −0.014(0.368) | −0.252 (0.385) | ||||
| Married/partnereda | 0.221(0.313) | 0.169 (0.386) | ||||
| Less than high school | 0.009(0.426) | −0.541 (0.543) | ||||
| More than high school | −0.192(0.379) | −0.229 (0.496) | ||||
| Whitea | 0.486(0.408) | 0.145 (0.496) | ||||
| C#4 (high) ON | ||||||
| Neighborhood poverty | 0.038(0.026) | −0.005 (0.025) | 0.042 (0.032) | |||
| Bar/pub density | 0.044(0.024) | .064 | 0.004 (0.013) | −0.011 (0.013) | ||
| Suggestions to get help | 3.303(0.914) | .000 | 1.898 (1.223) | 0.741 (0.807) | ||
| AA involvement | −0.751(0.216) | .001 | −0.375 (0.236) | −0.350 (0.210) | .095 | |
| Drinkers in social network | 0.706(0.294) | .016 | 0.073 (0.105) | 0.978 (0.483) | .043 | |
| Returned to alcohol/drug treatment | 2.061(1.025) | .044 | 0.381 (1.240) | 0.934 (0.891) | ||
| ASI psychiatric severity | 4.904(1.582) | .002 | 2.369 (1.658) | 4.751 (1.493) | ||
| ASI drug severity | 1.352(4.011) | 4.176 (2.784) | −0.941 (3.405) | |||
| Recruited from detoxification program | −0.157(0.756) | −0.928 (0.875) | −0.987 (0.733) | |||
| Recruited from inpatient program | −0.305(0.477) | −0.667 (0.453) | 0.230 (0.491) | |||
| Early onset of regular drinking | 0.410(0.443) | 0.209 (0.409) | −0.167 (0.388) | |||
| Male gender | 0.855(0.394) | .030 | 1.071 (0.419) | .011 | 0.366 (0.480) | |
| Income above $25K | 0.146(0.399) | −0.092 (0.389) | 0.160 (0.414) | |||
| Married/partnereda | −0.132(0.380) | −0.184 (0.410) | −0.353 (0.388) | |||
| Less than high school | −0.347(0.638) | −0.897 (0.783) | −0.356 (0.622) | |||
| More than high school | 0.079(0.470) | 0.042 (0.557) | 0.271 (0.426) | |||
| Whitea | −0.330(0.456) | −0.671 (0.500) | −0.353 (0.388) | |||
a
Compared to all others.
Notes: Auxiliary variables exerting influence on the latent trajectory intercept (Drinkers in social network, P = .061; Returned to treatment, P = .092; Early onset, P = .070; Less than high school education, P = .066) and slope (Neighborhood poverty, P = .008; Suggestions to get help, P = .086; Early onset, P = .007).