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. 2020 Sep 5;9:202–203. doi: 10.1016/j.cegh.2020.08.015

Table 1.

Results of meta-regression with incidence of COVID-19 as dependent variable by region & income group.

Number of Countries (%) Regression Coefficient (95% CI) for BCG
(Per 10,000 Population)
P value
Global (160 Countries)
No BCG 20 (12.5) Ref
≤70% Coverage 9 (5.6) −6.5 (−8.4 to −4.5) <0.001
>70% Coverage 131 (81.9) −10.1 (−11.4 to −8.7) <0.001
Region Wise
East Asia & Pacific (18)
No BCG 2 (11.1) Ref
≤70% Coverage 1 (5.6) −4.0 (−6.7 to −1.2) 0.004
>70% Coverage 15 (83.3) −4.2 (−6.7 to −1.6) 0.001
Europe & Central Asia (40)
No BCG 13 (32.5)
≤70% Coverage 1 (2.5) 11.0 (−12.5 to 34.4) 0.359
>70% Coverage 26 (65.0) −18.4 (−28.8 to −8.0) 0.001
Latin America & the Caribbean (27)
No BCG 1 (3.7) Ref
>70% Coverage 26 (96.3) −14.3 (-28.8 to 0.2) 0.054
Middle East & North Africa (18)
No BCG 2 (11.1) Ref
≤70% Coverage 1 (5.6) 254.4 (198.8 to 310.0) <0.001
>70% Coverage 15 (83.3) 290.0 (231.9 to 348.1) <0.001
Income Group (World Bank)
Upper Middle Income (48)
No BCG 2 (4.2) Ref
≤70% Coverage 2 (4.2) 0.5 (−9.8 to 10.7) 0.929
>70% Coverage 44 (91.7) −3.2 (−10.5 to 4.2) 0.398
High Income (42)
No BCG 18 (42.9) Ref
≤70% Coverage 1 (2.4) 16.7 (−12.2 to 45.7) 0.258
>70% Coverage 23 (54.8) −17.7 (−27.2 to −8.1) <0.001

Note 1: Adjusted for population density, income group, latitude, and percentage of total population under age groups 15–64 and above 65 years.

Note 2: Estimates cannot be calculated for South Asia and Sub-Saharan African region (8 and 47 countries respectively) because all these countries have implemented BCG policy. North American countries are not implementing BCG policy.