Table 1. Optimal parameter values and interquartiles for day-zero, transmission rate (β) and fraction (ϵ) of the cases of exposed individuals in the total population that enter to the compartment Ic.
The resulting value of R0 along with the minimum and maximum value is also given.
Parameter | Day-zero | β | ϵ | R0 |
---|---|---|---|---|
Mean | January 14 | 0.7 | 0.0707 | 4.53 |
Interquartiles | January 5—January 23 | 0.665-0.719 | 0.023-0.1 | 4.40-4.65 |
Distribution Function | Normal | Burr | Birnbaum-Saunders | |
Parameters (95% CI) | μ = 1.67 (1.53, 1.80), σ = 4.43 (4.33, 4.52) | α = 0.654 (0.653, 0.655), c = 276.061 (248.911, 306.172), k = 0.0537 (0.048, 0.060) | μ = 0.0492 (0.048, 0.0505), α = 0.934 (0.914, 0.954) |