Skip to main content
. 2020 Sep 23;9(10):778. doi: 10.3390/pathogens9100778

Table 4.

Risk comparison with different hand washing practices.

a. Estimated risk from different exposure protocols calculated using three dose models.
Risk with Recommended Dose Response Model Risk with High Infectious Dose Model Risk with Low Infectious Dose Model
Median (5%, 95%) Median (5%, 95%) Median (5%, 95%)
No Washing Control Bar Antimicrobial #1 Antimicrobial #2 No Washing Control Bar Antimicrobial #1 Antimicrobial #2 No Washing Control Bar Antimicrobial #1 Antimicrobial #2
Transfer from Meat Preparation Surfaces
Cutting board-to-meat
(high dose)
1.20 × 10−2 2.20 × 10−3 3.80 × 10−4 5.70 × 10−4 8.70 × 10−5 1.60 × 10−5 2.70 × 10−6 4.10 × 10−6 2.10 × 10−2 3.90 × 10−3 6.70 × 10−4 1.00 × 10−3
(0.0 × 100, 2.2 × 10−1) (0.0 × 100, 8.8 × 10−2) (0.0 × 100, 2.2 × 10−2) (0.0 × 100, 3.1 × 10−2) (0.0 × 100, 4.3 × 10−3) (0.0 × 100, 8.8 × 10−4) (0.0 × 100, 1.7 × 10−4) (0.0 × 100, 2.5 × 10−4) (0.0 × 100, 4.0 × 10−1) (0.0 × 100, 1.6 × 10−1) (0.0 × 100, 4.0 × 10−2) (0.0 × 100, 5.6 × 10−2)
Cutting board-to-meat
(low dose)
1.60 × 10−4 2.70 × 10−5 4.80 × 10−6 7.20 × 10−6 1.10 × 10−6 1.90 × 10−7 3.40 × 10−8 5.10 × 10−8 2.70 × 10−4 4.80 × 10−5 8.50 × 10−6 1.30 × 10−5
(3.6 × 10−6, 6.1 × 10−3) (4.0 × 10−7, 1.3 × 10−3) (1.8 × 10−9, 2.6 × 10−4) (0.0 × 100, 3.8 × 10−4) (2.6 × 10−8, 4.4 × 10−5) (2.8 × 10−9, 9.6 × 10−6) (1.3 × 10−11, 1.8 × 10−6) (0.0 × 100, 2.7 × 10−6) (6.5 × 10−6, 1.1 × 10−2) (7.1 × 10−7, 2.4 × 10−3) (3.2 × 10−9, 4.5 × 10−4) (0.0 × 100, 6.8 × 10−4)
Knife-to-meat
(high dose)
3.20 × 10−2 6.50 × 10−3 1.10 × 10−3 1.70 × 10−3 2.60 × 10−4 4.70 × 10−5 7.90 × 10−6 1.20 × 10−5 5.80 × 10−2 1.20 × 10−2 2.00 × 10−3 3.00 × 10−3
(9.2 × 10−4, 3.1 × 10−1) (9.9 × 10−5, 1.6 × 10−1) (1.8 × 10−7, 4.8 × 10−2) (0.0 × 100, 6.9 × 10−2) (6.5 × 10−6, 1.0 × 10−2) (7.0 × 10−7, 2.2 × 10−3) (1.3 × 10−9, 4.1 × 10−4) (0.0 × 100, 6.4 × 10−4) (1.6 × 10−3, 5.4 × 10−1) (1.8 × 10−4, 2.9 × 10−1) (3.3 × 10−7, 8.6 × 10−2) (0.0 × 100, 1.3 × 10−1)
Knife-to-meat
(low dose)
4.70 × 10−4 8.40 × 10−5 1.50 × 10−5 2.20 × 10−5 3.40 × 10−6 5.90 × 10−7 1.00 × 10−7 1.60 × 10−7 8.40 × 10−4 1.50 × 10−4 2.60 × 10−5 3.90 × 10−5
(5.5 × 10−6, 2.6 × 10−2) (4.9 × 10−7, 5.6 × 10−3) (0.0 × 100, 1.1 × 10−3) (0.0 × 100, 1.6 × 10−3) (3.9 × 10−8, 2.1 × 10−4) (3.5 × 10−9, 4.1 × 10−5) (0.0 × 100, 7.9 × 10−6) (0.0 × 100, 1.1 × 10−5) (9.7 × 10−6, 4.7 × 10−2) (8.7 × 10−7, 1.0 × 10−2) (0.0 × 100, 2.0 × 10−3) (0.0 × 100, 2.8 × 10−3)
Meat-to-cutting board
(high dose)
1.90 × 10−1 6.00 × 10−2 1.40 × 10−2 2.00 × 10−2 3.00 × 10−3 5.40 × 10−4 1.00 × 10−4 1.50 × 10−4 3.40 × 10−1 1.10 × 10−1 2.40 × 10−2 3.50 × 10−2
(3.9 × 10−2, 4.0 × 10−1) (5.2 × 10−3, 2.6 × 10−1) (2.2 × 10−4, 1.1 × 10−1) (0.0 × 100, 1.4 × 10−1) (3.2 × 10−4, 2.7 × 10−2) (3.5 × 10−5, 6.3 × 10−3) (1.6 × 10−6, 1.3 × 10−3) (0.0 × 100, 1.8 × 10−3) (7.1 × 10−2, 6.8 × 10−1) (9.2 × 10−3, 4.7 × 10−1) (4.0 × 10−4, 2.1 × 10−1) (0.0 × 100, 2.6 × 10−1)
Meat-to-cutting board
(low dose)
5.70 × 10−3 1.00 × 10−3 1.90 × 10−4 2.80 × 10−4 4.10 × 10−5 7.30 × 10−6 1.40 × 10−6 2.00 × 10−6 1.00 × 10−2 1.80 × 10−3 3.40 × 10−4 5.00 × 10−4
(5.1 × 10−4, 6.1 × 10−2) (5.2 × 10−5, 1.5 × 10−2) (3.1 × 10−6, 3.2 × 10−3) (0.0 × 100, 4.8 × 10−3) (3.6 × 10−6, 5.5 × 10−4) (3.7 × 10−7, 1.1 × 10−4) (2.2 × 10−8, 2.3 × 10−5) (0.0 × 100, 3.5 × 10−5) (9.0 × 10−4, 1.1 × 10−1) (9.3 × 10−5, 2.7 × 10−2) (5.5 × 10−6, 5.7 × 10−3) (0.0 × 100, 8.6 × 10−3)
Meat-to-knife
(high dose)
2.80 × 10−1 1.00 × 10−1 1.20 × 10−2 7.90 × 10−3 7.80 × 10−3 1.10 × 10−3 9.00 × 10−5 5.80 × 10−5 5.00 × 10−1 1.90 × 10−1 2.20 × 10−2 1.40 × 10−2
(2.4 × 10−1, 3.2 × 10−1) (7.5 × 10−2, 1.3 × 10−1) (8.2 × 10−3, 1.7 × 10−2) (5.3 × 10−3, 1.1 × 10−2) (5.2 × 10−3, 1.1 × 10−2) (7.1 × 10−4, 1.6 × 10−3) (6.0 × 10−5, 1.3 × 10−4) (3.8 × 10−5, 8.4 × 10−5) (4.3 × 10−1, 5.6 × 10−1) (1.4 × 10−1, 2.4 × 10−1) (1.5 × 10−2, 3.1 × 10−2) (9.4 × 10−3, 2.0 × 10−2)
Meat-to-knife
(low dose)
6.30 × 10−3 8.70 × 10−4 7.30 × 10−5 4.70 × 10−5 4.60 × 10−5 6.20 × 10−6 5.20 × 10−7 3.30 × 10−7 1.10 × 10−2 1.60 × 10−3 1.30 × 10−4 3.80 × 10−5
(4.2 × 10−3, 9.1 × 10−3) (5.7 × 10−4, 1.3 × 10−3) (4.7 × 10−5, 1.1 × 10−4) (3.0 × 10−5, 6.8 × 10−5) (3.0 × 10−5, 6.7 × 10−5) (4.0 × 10−6, 9.0 × 10−6) (3.4 × 10−7, 7.5 × 10−7) (2.1 × 10−7, 4.8 × 10−7) (7.4 × 10−3, 1.6 × 10−2) (1.0 × 10−3, 2.2 × 10−3) (8.4 × 10−5, 1.9 × 10−4) (5.4 × 10−5, 1.2 × 10−4)
Transfer from Typical Kitchen Surfaces
Countertop 6.30 × 10−6 1.20 × 10−6 2.10 × 10−7 3.10 × 10−7 4.50 × 10−8 2.80 × 10−9 1.50 × 10−9 2.20 × 10−9 1.10 × 10−5 2.10 × 10−6 3.70 × 10−7 5.50 × 10−7
(5.1 × 10−7, 1.3 × 10−4) (6.2 × 10−8, 2.7 × 10−5) (5.0 × 10−9, 5.0 × 10−6) (1.0 × 10−10, 7.8 × 10−6) (3.6 × 10−9, 9.0 × 10−7) (4.4 × 10−10, 1.9 × 10−7) (3.5 × 10−11, 3.6 × 10−8) (7.1 × 10−13, 5.6 × 10−8) (9.0 × 10−7, 2.3 × 10−4) (1.1 × 10−7, 4.8 × 10−5) (8.8 × 10−9, 8.9 × 10−6) (1.8 × 10−10, 1.4 × 10−5)
Hand towel 1.60 × 10−6 2.90 × 10−7 2.00 × 10−9 0.00 × 100 1.10 × 10−8 2.10 × 10−9 1.40 × 10−11 0.00 × 100 2.80 × 10−6 5.20 × 10−7 3.60 × 10−9 0.00 × 100
(2.2 × 10−7, 1.5 × 10−5) (2.6 × 10−8, 3.1 × 10−6) (0.0 × 100, 5.4 × 10−7) (0.0 × 100, 7.8 × 10−7) (1.6 × 10−9, 1.1 × 10−7) (1.9 × 10−10, 2.2 × 10−8) (0.0 × 100, 3.8 × 10−9) (0.0 × 100, 5.5 × 10−9) (3.9 × 10−7, 2.6 × 10−5) (4.7 × 10−8, 5.4 × 10−6) (0.0 × 100, 9.5 × 10−7) (0.0 × 100, 1.4 × 10−6)
Dish cloth 1.60 × 10−6 3.00 × 10−7 5.50 × 10−8 8.10 × 10−8 1.20 × 10−8 2.10 × 10−9 3.90 × 10−10 5.70 × 10−10 2.90 × 10−6 5.30 × 10−7 9.80 × 10−8 1.40 × 10−7
(2.1 × 10−7, 1.6 × 10−5) (2.6 × 10−8, 3.4 × 10−6) (1.1 × 10−9, 6.9 × 10−7) (0.0 × 100, 1.0 × 10−6) (1.5 × 10−9, 1.1 × 10−7) (1.8 × 10−10, 2.4 × 10−8) (7.7 × 10−12, 4.9 × 10−9) (0.0 × 100, 7.3 × 10−9) (3.8 × 10−7, 2.9 × 10−5) (4.6 × 10−8, 6.0 × 10−6) (1.9 × 10−9, 1.2 × 10−6) (0.0 × 100, 1.8 × 10−6)
Kitchen sponge 3.90 × 10−6 7.30 × 10−7 1.30 × 10−7 1.90 × 10−7 2.80 × 10−8 5.10 × 10−9 9.30 × 10−10 1.40 × 10−9 6.90 × 10−6 1.30 × 10−6 2.30 × 10−7 3.40 × 10−7
(4.3 × 10−7, 4.4 × 10−5) (5.3 × 10−8, 9.1 × 10−6) (2.3 × 10−9, 1.9 × 10−6) (1.3 × 10−9, 2.8 × 10−6) (3.1 × 10−9, 3.1 × 10−7) (3.7 × 10−10, 6.5 × 10−8) (1.6 × 10−11, 1.3 × 10−8) (9.1 × 10−12, 2.0 × 10−8) (7.7 × 10−7, 7.8 × 10−5) (9.4 × 10−8, 1.6 × 10−5) (4.1 × 10−9, 3.3 × 10−6) (2.3 × 10−9, 4.9 × 10−6)
b. Risk reduction factor a with different hand washing protocols compared to “no washing”.
Control Bar Antimicrobial #1 Antimicrobial #2
Transfer from Meat Preparation Surfaces
Cutting board-to-meat (high dose) 5.5 32 21
Cutting board-to-meat (low dose) 5.9 33 22
Knife-to-meat (high dose) 4.9 29 19
Knife-to-meat (low dose) 5.6 31 21
Meat-to-cutting board (high dose) 3.2 14 10
Meat-to-cutting board (low dose) 5.7 30 20
Meat-to-knife (high dose) 2.8 23 35
Meat-to-knife (low dose) 7.2 86 134
Transfer from Typical Kitchen Surfaces
Kitchen surface 5.3 30 20
Hand towel 5.5 800 >800
Dish cloth 5.3 29 20
Kitchen sponge 5.3 30 21

a = Determined by comparing the median estimated risk from “no washing” to the median risk after washing with each of the three bar soaps. Calculations using the recommended best fit model are shown. b = Could not be calculated since the median estimated risk was 0.0 × 100.