Table 3.

Scenarios definition (parameters) and results. Baseline scenario has ID $=$ 0. All results can be reproduced using the Python code provided as supplementary material.

ID	Fragile ($f$)	(${\sigma }_f,d_f$) (${\sigma }_r,d_r$)	Severe cases from 18/08/20	Deaths from 18/08/20
0	0%	${\sigma }_r={\sigma }_i$, $d_f=d_i$	150265	26863
1	33%	${\sigma }_r=0$, ${\sigma }_f=100\text{\%}$, $d_r=d_f=d_i$	200189	35770 ($+33\text{\%}$)
2	33%	${\sigma }_r={\sigma }_i$, ${\sigma }_f=100\text{\%}$, $d_r=d_f=d_i$	204190	36483 ($+36\text{\%}$)
3	100%	${\sigma }_f=100\text{\%}$, $d_r=10\text{\%}$	309408	41792 ($+56\text{\%}$)