Table 1.
Values of AIC (and values of BIC in brackets) for the four models fitted to the data from 31 December 2019 to 25 March 2020.
| Country | Models |
|||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| (Identity, Poisson) | (Log, Poisson) | (Identity, negative binomial) | (Log, negative binomial) | |
| China | −99.1 (−94.1) | −100.0 (−95.0) | −123.7 (−116.3) | −138.2 (−130.8) |
| Denmark | −97.9 (−93.0) | −112.7 (−107.8) | −135.2 (−127.8) | −142.0 (−134.6) |
| Estonia | −106.3 (−101.5) | −108.7 (−103.8) | −121.0 (−113.8) | −121.3 (−114.1) |
| France | −99.6 (−94.6) | −100.7 (−95.8) | −111.3 (−103.9) | −141.9 (−134.5) |
| Germany | −96.4 (−91.5) | −114.9 (−110.0) | −114.9 (−107.5) | −139.2 (−131.8) |
| Italy | −110.2 (−105.3) | −114.1 (−109.2) | −123.1 (−115.7) | −132.1 (−124.7) |
| Malaysia | −103.6 (−98.7) | −120.5 (−115.5) | −123.1 (−115.7) | −143.0 (−135.6) |
| Philippines | −99.9 (−95.1) | −109.9 (−105.1) | −127.2 (−120.0) | −130.1 (−122.9) |
| Qatar | −96.6 (−91.7) | −107.5 (−102.7) | −107.6 (−100.4) | −114.3 (−107.0) |
| South Korea | −98.4 (−93.5) | −98.9 (−94.0) | −113.4 (−106.0) | −140.7 (−133.3) |
| Sri Lanka | −98.1 (−93.3) | −106.5 (−101.8) | −111.6 (−104.5) | −117.2 (−110.1) |
| Sweden | −103.6 (−98.6) | −119.8 (−114.8) | −118.3 (−110.9) | −139.8 (−132.4) |
| Taiwan | −110.2 (−105.3) | −122.9 (−118.0) | −121.0 (−113.7) | −128.8 (−121.5) |
| Thailand | −107.5 (−102.7) | −109.7 (−104.9) | −121.1 (−114.0) | −138.7 (−131.6) |
| United Arab Emirates | −120.3 (−115.5) | −122.9 (−118.2) | −128.3 (−121.2) | −128.4 (−121.2) |
| United Kingdom | −107.3 (−102.4) | −129.6 (−124.7) | −134.4 (−127.0) | −139.1 (−131.7) |
| United States of America | −107.9 (−102.9) | −114.7 (−109.8) | −121.7 (−114.3) | −125.5 (−118.1) |
| Vietnam | −97.3 (−92.4) | −100.1 (−95.3) | −136.2 (−128.9) | −139.6 (−132.4) |