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. 2019 Oct 29;69(3):530–544. doi: 10.1093/sysbio/syz069

Figure 2.

Figure 2.

Computing the probability of a character history, Inline graphic. Blue and orange segments correspond to discrete states 0 and 1, respectively. The probability of the history is the product of the probabilities of waiting times between events (or the probability of no event in the final segment) given the current rate of change.