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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2023 Aug 14.
Published in final edited form as: Lancet Microbe. 2021 May 10;2(7):e331–e341. doi: 10.1016/S2666-5247(21)00031-8

Table 1. Median effective population size of CC131 clades.

Total cases were estimated for each CC131 clade by adjusting the number of genomes of a clade by the proportion of total 2017 cases that were sequenced, before calculating incidence per million population in Norway in 2017. tMRCA Time to most recent common ancestor. HPD 95% Highest Posterior Density.

Clade popSize 2017 [95% HPD] Exponential time period Growth rate [95% HPD] Estimated incidence per million population 2017* popSize/Incidence ratio 2017 tMRCA [95% HPD]
A 5488
[1365-19872]
2004.6-2005.3 3147
[2909-3385]
21.30 0.004 1997
[1968-1983]
B 3341
[1058-8812]
1989.8-1993.9 650
[608-692]
23.67 0.007 1926
[1884-1965]
C1 1123
[314-3284]
2002.8-2005.8 131
[126-137]
26.03 0.023 1993
[1988-1997]
C2 889
[297-2382]
2004.7-2006.7 345
[326-364]
16.57 0.019 1992
[1985-1997]