Extended Data Fig. 4. Weekly percent increase in mortality as a result of the Covid-19 pandemic by country, by age group.

The turquoise shading shows the credible intervals around the median prediction, from 5% (dark) to 95% (light) in 10% increments, obtained from 16,000 posterior draws as described in Methods. The background shading indicates the magnitude of the weekly increase that was detectable with a posterior probability of at least 90%.