Table 4. Decision tree model estimates and recorded data for the annual burden of rabies in Oriental Mindoro Province.

Year	2020	2021	2022
Recorded deaths (PHO)	9	7	9
Estimated deaths	10 [9-12]	7 [7-10]	10 [9-13]
Estimated exposures	198 [133-258]	149 [91-210]	302 [192-408]
Estimated exposures not given PEP	61 [55-73]	42 [42-61]	61 [55-79]
Estimated exposure incidence per 100,000	22 [15-28]	16 [10-23]	33 [21-45]
Laboratory-confirmed animal cases (RADDL)	3	7	18
Estimated rabid dogs	510 [322-715]	388 [217-581]	781 [477-1,090]
Estimated % confirmed animal cases	0.59% [0.42-0.93]	1.81% [1.2-3.23]	2.3% [1.65-3.77]
Estimated rabid dogs per 1,000 dogs	3.46 [1.55-6.59]	2.57 [1.08-5.43]	5.3 [2.27-10.27]

Median values are shown together with 95% prediction intervals in brackets. Recorded human deaths are from the PHO and animal case data from the RADDL. PEP: Post-exposure prophylaxis; PHO: Provincial Health Office; RADDL: Regional Animal Disease Diagnostic Laboratory.