Table 5. Decision tree estimates for the burden of rabies from January 2020 to December 2022 by municipality.
| Municipality | Population (2020 census) | Estimated dog population | Estimated rabid dogs | Confirmed animal cases | Estimated % confirmed cases | Estimated exposures | Recorded human deaths | Estimated human deaths | Estimated exposure incidence 100 k/year |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baco | 39,817 | 6,140 [4,050-12,520] | 51 [14-98] | 7 | 13.73% [7.14%-50%] | 19 [8-30] | 0 | 0 [0-0] | 16 [6-25] |
| Bansud | 42,671 | 6,590 [4,390-13,340] | 59 [27-103] | 0 | 0% [0%-0%] | 22 [15-33] | 1 | 1 [1-2] | 17 [12-26] |
| Bongabong | 76,973 | 12,010 [7,810-24,010] | 197 [139-272] | 2 | 1.02% [0.74%-1.44%] | 75 [65-91] | 6 | 6 [6-9] | 33 [28-39] |
| Bulalacao | 44,366 | 6,960 [4,510-14,100] | 64 [35-106] | 0 | 0% [0%-0%] | 24 [20-32] | 1 | 1 [1-2] | 18 [15-24] |
| Calapan | 145,786 | 22,710 [14,920-45,680] | 200 [61-366] | 2 | 1% [0.55%-3.28%] | 77 [26-131] | 0 | 0 [0-0] | 18 [6-30] |
| Gloria | 50,496 | 7,650 [5,130-15,720] | 91 [50-141] | 1 | 1.1% [0.71%-2%] | 35 [26-47] | 2 | 2 [2-4] | 23 [17-31] |
| Mansalay | 59,114 | 9,070 [6,000-18,700] | 267 [167-382] | 4 | 1.5% [1.05%-2.4%] | 104 [70-135] | 5 | 5 [5-8] | 59 [40-76] |
| Naujan | 109,587 | 17,050 [11,180-34,140] | 129 [44-229] | 2 | 1.55% [0.87%-4.55%] | 50 [19-78] | 0 | 0 [0-0] | 15 [6-24] |
| Pinamalayan | 90,383 | 13,850 [9,220-28,590] | 200 [134-288] | 1 | 0.5% [0.35%-0.75%] | 78 [58-100] | 5 | 5 [5-8] | 29 [21-37] |
| Pola | 35,455 | 5,620 [3,620-11,230] | 105 [62-165] | 1 | 0.95% [0.61%-1.61%] | 40 [30-56] | 4 | 4 [4-6] | 38 [28-52] |
| Puerto Galera | 41,961 | 6,560 [4,320-12,950] | 98 [27-187] | 4 | 4.08% [2.14%-14.81%] | 38 [13-63] | 0 | 0 [0-0] | 30 [10-50] |
| Roxas | 58,849 | 9,250 [5,980-18,530] | 158 [97-228] | 3 | 1.9% [1.32%-3.09%] | 60 [46-74] | 1 | 1 [1-2] | 34 [26-42] |
| San Teodoro | 19,121 | 3,000 [1,9506,120] | 24 [3-62] | 0 | 0% [0%-0%] | 9 [2-18] | 0 | 0 [0-0] | 16 [3-31] |
| Socorro | 41,585 | 6,430 [4,200-13,230] | 12 [2-37] | 0 | 0% [0%-0%] | 4 [1-8] | 0 | 0 [0-0] | 4 [1-6] |
| Victoria | 52,175 | 8,100 [5,280-16,290] | 20 [6-47] | 1 | 5% [2.13%-16.75%] | 8 [4-11] | 0 | 0 [0-0] | 5 [3-7] |
| Oriental Mindoro | 908,339 | 140,990 | 1,678 | 28 | Avg = 1.67% | 646 | 25 | 35 | Avg = 24 |
Median values are in bold and 95% prediction intervals are shown in brackets. Human data is from the PHO and animal data is from the RADDL. PHO: Provincial Health Office; RADDL: Regional Animal Disease Diagnostic Laboratory.