Table 2. Mediation of the association between maternal depressive symptomsa and whether young person studied at higher education by the young person's educational achievement, depressive symptoms, and locus of control (n = 9852).
| Mediator | OR | CI | p | % mediated |
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Educational achievement at 14 |
Total effectb | 0.84 | 0.78,0.92 | p < 0.001 |
60.4 |
| Controlled direct effectc | 0.93 | 0.87,1.01 | p = 0.08 | ||
| Natural indirect effectd | 0.90 | 0.88,0.93 | p < 0.001 |
||
| Educational achievement at 16 |
Total effect | 0.81 | 0.73,0.89 | p < 0.001 |
82.7 |
| Controlled direct effect | 0.96 | 0.89,1.05 | p = 0.39 | ||
| Natural indirect effect |
0.84 | 0.80,0.88 | p < 0.001 |
||
| Young person's depressive symptoms at 16 |
Total effect | 0.88 | 0.82,0.94 | p < 0.001 |
6.0 |
| Controlled direct effect | 0.88 | 0.83-0.95 | p < 0.001 |
||
| Natural indirect effect |
0.99 | 0.98-1.00 | p = 0.12 |
||
| Young person's locus of control at 16 |
Total effect | 0.87 | 0.82-0.94 | p < 0.001 |
34.4 |
| Controlled direct effect | 0.92 | 0.85-0.98 | p = 0.02 |
||
| Natural indirect effect |
0.95 | 0.94,0.97 | p < 0.001 |
Exposure: number of times the mother scored 13+ on the Edinburgh Postnatal Depression Scale during the child's lifetime. Odds ratios therefore represent associations per additional occasion.
Total effect is the effect of the exposure on the outcome. Note that paramed calculates this from the direct and indirect effects, so the estimated total effect differs slightly between models.
Controlled direct effect is the effect of the exposure on the outcome while controlling for the mediator.
Natural indirect effect and is the effect of the exposure on the outcome that works through the mediator.