. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2021 Sep 1.

Published in final edited form as: Nat Hum Behav. 2020 Aug 5;4(9):964–971. doi: 10.1038/s41562-020-0931-9

Table 1:

Mean and 95% C.I. of the number of normal hospitalizations, ICU hospitalizations and symptomatic individuals identified/traced (when applicable) at the peak of the epidemic per 1,000 people. The estimated availability of ICU beds is 0.21 beds per 1,000 people.

Scenario		Hospitalization	ICU	Individuals traced
Unmitigated		4.57 (4.10–5.03)	2.56 (2.21–2.91)	-

LIFT		3.22 (2.80–3.67)	1.87 (1.55–2.20)	-

LET Detection 30%	No Tracing	2.70 (2.29–3.12)	1.58 (1.27–1.88)	-
	Tracing 20%	0.86 (0.65–1.10)	0.55 (0.39–0.72)	0.52 (0.36–0.69)
	Tracing 60%	0.35 (0.21–0.50)	0.22 (0.12–0.34)	0.17 (0.08–0.27)

LET Detection 50%	No Tracing	2.35 (1.97–2.75)	1.39 (1.11–1.68)	-
	Tracing 20%	0.44 (0.28–0.62)	0.28 (0.16–0.42)	0.39 (0.23–0.55)
	Tracing 40%	0.29 (0.18–0.43)	0.15 (0.08–0.26)	0.14 (0.05–0.23)